Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $112.4000 (2%) ($110.1900 - $113.9000) on Tue. Nov. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.29% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $112.4000(2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWN(46%)    IWM(45%)    IWC(44%)    PEJ(44%)    IBUY(43%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.145% (StdDev 2.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.04(3.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.67(3.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.76(7.29%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   40.9%
Market Cap   $3.224b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 6.88% (three month std-dev: 2.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.81%(58%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 2.1%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -3.02%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 4.86%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.9%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2017	89.78	104.76	108.67	109.04	109.53	111.01	112.4(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	110	67	50	0.4	70%	0.4	46.4	2.29%	0	1.1	68	INF
2	Nov_20_2017	89.42	103.82	108.26	107.28	107.61	109.75	110.2(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	150	61	54	0.24	70%	0.38	35.3	2.28%	0	0.9	75	INF
3	Nov_17_2017	89.08	102.94	108.17	106.52	106.26	108.05	109.4(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	110	67	84	0.41	71%	0.42	31.7	2.31%	0	0.9	77	INF
4	Nov_16_2017	88.71	102.26	108.12	106.12	105.64	105.48	108.8(4.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-20	6	93	0.45	71%	0.45	33.3	2.33%	0	0.9	76	INF
5	Nov_15_2017	88.31	101.75	107.81	106.8	106.41	104.48	104.4(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-21	-140	-65	110	0.62	69%	0.42	41.3	2.3%	0	0.4	74	INF

6	Nov_14_2017	87.94	101.52	107.7	108.28	108.31	105.8	103.6(-2.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-22	-160	-79	151	0.28	69%	0.4	50.4	2.32%	0	0.3	71	INF
7	Nov_13_2017	87.59	101.28	107.05	109.32	109.55	108.35	106.4(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-70	-65	186	0.43	72%	0.42	53.9	2.3%	0	0.7	76	INF
8	Nov_10_2017	87.22	100.67	105.82	109.96	110.05	110.83	107.4(-4.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	61	50	3	233	0.58	72%	0.51	51.8	2.3%	0	0.9	79	INF
9	Nov_9_2017	86.78	99.93	104.46	110.32	109.71	110.75	112.2(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	114	50	61	271	0.34	74%	0.58	49	2.22%	0	1.7	76	INF
10	Nov_8_2017	86.28	98.95	102.48	108.96	108.48	109.27	111.8(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	93	40	47	229	0.46	74%	0.58	40.9	2.26%	0	2	67	INF

11	Nov_7_2017	85.78	98.12	100.59	107.08	107.1	108.66	108.8(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	103	100	71	198	0.39	73%	0.54	31.3	2.25%	0	1.8	62	INF
12	Nov_6_2017	85.32	97.6	99.01	104.4	105.1	107.69	109.6(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	137	190	127	167	0.55	73%	0.54	14.8	2.25%	0	2.3	65	INF
13	Nov_3_2017	84.86	97.09	97.2	101	101.4	105.54	109.2(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	135	300	141	116	0.71	69%	0.53	-4	2.29%	0	2.6	71	INF
14	Nov_2_2017	84.41	96.57	95.74	97.72	97.93	102.5	105.4(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	159	330	182	91	0.75	71%	0.51	-30.5	2.26%	0	2.2	69	INF
15	Nov_1_2017	83.98	96.36	94.95	95.08	94.8	97.25	102.4(7.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	98	170	117	39	1.09	70%	0.49	-47.6	2.5%	0	1.6	65	INF

16	Oct_31_2017	83.57	96.34	94.57	93.24	92.86	93.35	95.4(3.02%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	16	20	27	-17	0.85	67%	0.42	-51.3	2.36%	0	-0.2	48	INF
17	Oct_30_2017	83.22	96.81	94.88	92.84	92.72	92.35	92.6(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-30	-1	-37	0.37	66%	0.39	-42.5	2.35%	0	-1	37	INF
18	Oct_27_2017	82.9	97.27	95.06	92.76	92.82	92.37	92.8(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-30	-28	-66	0.37	66%	0.39	-33.7	2.35%	0	-1	35	INF
19	Oct_26_2017	82.58	97.83	95.09	93.4	93.32	93.1	92.2(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-20	-28	-76	0.42	66%	0.39	-17.6	2.35%	0	-1.3	35	INF
20	Oct_25_2017	82.26	98.24	95.26	94.76	94.25	93.28	93.2(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-90	-37	-83	0.15	66%	0.4	1.2	2.35%	0	-1.3	33	INF

21	Oct_24_2017	81.93	98.52	95.62	96.12	95.73	93.55	93.4(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-75	-170	-69	-94	0.23	66%	0.4	22.9	2.35%	0	-1.3	32	INF
22	Oct_23_2017	81.6	98.66	96.24	97.24	97.53	95.23	92.2(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-76	-160	-70	-93	0.21	66%	0.39	40.9	2.35%	0	-1.6	27	INF
23	Oct_20_2017	81.28	98.76	97.14	97.6	98.29	97.9	96(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-10	-29	-73	0.97	61%	0.42	49.1	2.37%	0	-0.7	41	INF
24	Oct_19_2017	80.94	98.58	97.58	96.92	97.81	99.83	99(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	25	170	53	-58	0.28	64%	0.48	45	2.4%	0	0.1	41	INF
25	Oct_18_2017	80.55	98.2	97.89	95.8	96.26	98.68	100(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	49	190	84	-56	0.47	64%		37.7	2.39%	0	0.4	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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