Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $99.0000 (-1%) ($97.4000 - $100.6000) on Thu. Oct. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $99.0000(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    IWN(45%)    IWC(44%)    PEJ(44%)    IBUY(43%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.92(2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.58(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.58(0.43%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   35.6%
Market Cap   $2.84b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 4.4% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.66%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.66%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.4%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2017	80.94	98.58	97.58	96.92	97.81	99.83	99(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	25	170	53	-58	0.28	64%	0.48	45	2.4%	0	0.1	41	0
2	Oct_18_2017	80.55	98.2	97.89	95.8	96.26	98.68	100(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	49	190	84	-56	0.47	64%	0.46	37.7	2.39%	0	0.4	51	0
3	Oct_17_2017	80.18	97.63	98.17	95.12	94.87	95.8	99(5.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	60	41	-72	0.34	64%	0.24	31.4	2.4%	0	0.3	52	0
4	Oct_16_2017	79.99	97.07	98.75	95.28	94.78	93.84	94(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-90	-33	-80	0.46	61%	0.4	30.2	2.35%	0	-0.5	51	0
5	Oct_13_2017	79.67	96.81	99.57	96.72	96.23	93.94	92.6(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-72	-180	-77	-58	0.2	61%	0.34	35.8	2.35%	0	-0.7	54	0

6	Oct_12_2017	79.4	96.66	100.75	98.32	98.23	95.73	93.4(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-77	-180	-98	-15	0.47	63%	0.35	42.6	2.35%	0	-0.5	58	0
7	Oct_11_2017	79.12	96.39	101.51	100.2	99.98	98.53	96.6(-3.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-48	-110	-79	44	0.47	66%	0.39	49.5	2.33%	0	0	65	0
8	Oct_10_2017	78.81	95.98	101.77	101.6	101.53	100.73	99.8(-1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-60	-39	110	0.24	70%	0.43	54.3	2.31%	0	0.6	75	0
9	Oct_9_2017	78.47	95.38	101.4	102.76	102.58	101.43	101.2(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-80	-30	157	0.32	70%	0.46	60.3	2.31%	0	0.9	79	0
10	Oct_6_2017	78.11	94.73	100.64	102.88	103.32	102.33	100.6(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-50	-39	175	0.23	67%	0.45	61.4	2.31%	0	0.9	76	0

11	Oct_5_2017	77.76	94.08	99.79	103.56	103.53	103.73	102.8(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	51	10	-4	214	0.35	67%	0.49	64.7	2.32%	0	1.3	78	0
12	Oct_4_2017	77.38	93.29	98.62	103	103.24	104.31	103.6(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	99	80	50	245	0.32	67%	0.48	66.5	2.32%	0	1.6	82	0
13	Oct_3_2017	77.01	92.47	97.08	101.92	101.69	103.34	105.6(3.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	109	110	64	242	0.46	67%	0.5	67.4	2.32%	0	2.1	82	0
14	Oct_2_2017	76.63	91.45	95.19	99.84	100.05	102.17	101.8(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	125	150	91	226	0.33	64%	0.45	68.5	2.29%	0	1.9	80	0
15	Sep_29_2017	76.29	90.75	93.76	98.04	97.85	100.04	104(4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	122	150	97	196	0.64	70%	0.45	73	2.38%	0	2.7	83	0

16	Sep_28_2017	75.95	89.92	92.1	95.48	95.49	97.93	100(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	103	180	86	155	0.36	68%	0.38	83.9	2.4%	0	2.7	80	0
17	Sep_27_2017	75.66	89.16	90.71	93.6	93.73	95.65	98.2(3.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	105	150	97	130	0.59	68%	0.37	93.3	2.4%	0	2.9	79	0
18	Sep_26_2017	75.38	88.5	89.59	91.52	91.83	93.05	95.2(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	69	100	64	85	0.46	67%	0.33	106.8	2.38%	0	2.9	72	0
19	Sep_25_2017	75.13	87.87	88.76	89.84	90.12	91.8	92.8(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	53	140	51	57	0.4	65%	0.33	104.2	2.37%	0	2.4	72	0
20	Sep_22_2017	74.88	87.31	88.26	88.8	88.83	90.61	91.2(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	54	140	58	41	0.23	71%	0.31	89.6	2.55%	0	1.8	57	0

21	Sep_21_2017	74.65	86.83	87.87	88.2	87.96	88.44	90.6(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	30	42	23	0.45	71%	0.3	87.9	2.56%	0	1.6	54	0
22	Sep_20_2017	74.43	86.38	87.52	87.4	87.33	87.04	87.8(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-30	-8	-4	0.23	67%	0.11	81.3	2.54%	0	0.6	59	0
23	Sep_19_2017	74.35	86.08	87.53	87.36	87.28	87.49	86.8(-0.91%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-3	10	-5	2	0.19	67%	0.11	79.9	2.58%	0	0.3	55	0
24	Sep_18_2017	74.27	85.76	87.49	87.48	87.39	87.63	87.6(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	20	11	18	0.3	67%	0.12	71.5	2.58%	0	0.6	67	0
25	Sep_15_2017	74.18	85.39	87.58	87.6	87.28	87.08	88.2(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-30	1	34	0.58	67%		69.5	2.58%	0	0.9	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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