Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $87.8000 (1.15%) ($85.6000 - $88.0000) on Wed. Sep. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.54% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $87.8000(1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    IWN(45%)    IWC(44%)    PEJ(44%)    IBUY(43%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.27% (StdDev 2.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.4(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.52(0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.38(1.64%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   42.1%
Market Cap   $2.518b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 2.78% (three month std-dev: 2.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.02%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.81%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.88%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.57%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 3.1%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.05%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2017	74.43	86.38	87.52	87.4	87.33	87.04	87.8(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-30	-8	-4	0.23	67%	0.11	81.3	2.54%	0	0.6	59	INF
2	Sep_19_2017	74.35	86.08	87.53	87.36	87.28	87.49	86.8(-0.91%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-3	10	-5	2	0.19	67%	0.11	79.9	2.58%	0	0.3	55	INF
3	Sep_18_2017	74.27	85.76	87.49	87.48	87.39	87.63	87.6(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	20	11	18	0.3	67%	0.12	71.5	2.58%	0	0.6	67	INF
4	Sep_15_2017	74.18	85.39	87.58	87.6	87.28	87.08	88.2(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-30	1	34	0.58	67%	0.12	69.5	2.58%	0	0.9	72	INF
5	Sep_14_2017	74.09	84.86	87.62	87.48	87.16	87.15	86.6(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10	-8	47	0.19	67%	0.12	57.2	2.58%	0	0.5	69	INF

6	Sep_13_2017	74	84.47	87.55	87.64	87.2	87.48	87.6(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	20	10	4	66	0.23	67%	0.14	54.8	2.58%	0	0.8	73	INF
7	Sep_12_2017	73.9	84.07	87.39	87.72	87.28	87.18	87.4(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-20	7	81	0.19	67%	0.12	52.9	2.58%	0	0.9	71	INF
8	Sep_11_2017	73.81	83.75	86.97	87.48	87.29	86.93	88.2(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-40	-11	80	0.31	67%	0.15	50.6	2.58%	0	1.2	78	INF
9	Sep_8_2017	73.7	83.28	86.33	87.56	87.44	87.38	87.6(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10	-12	88	0.27	67%	0.14	48	2.58%	0	1.2	77	INF
10	Sep_7_2017	73.6	82.89	85.76	87.8	87.81	87.65	87.4(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10	6	114	0.19	67%	0.16	45.2	2.58%	0	1.3	82	INF

11	Sep_6_2017	73.48	82.47	85.18	87.44	87.79	87.5	88(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	-10	1	118	0.29	67%	0.18	36.6	2.58%	0	1.6	76	INF
12	Sep_5_2017	73.35	82.12	84.54	87	87.24	87.98	86.2(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	70	14	124	0.26	67%	0.19	41.6	2.58%	0	1.3	68	INF
13	Sep_1_2017	73.21	81.9	83.92	86.32	86.37	88.08	88.6(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	82	140	64	135	0.23	68%	0.21	49.6	2.55%	0	2.2	69	INF
14	Aug_31_2017	73.06	81.55	83.02	84.88	84.71	86.51	88.8(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	79	140	67	116	0.54	64%	0.19	51	2.57%	0	2.6	73	INF
15	Aug_30_2017	72.92	81.3	81.83	83.44	83.19	84.66	85.6(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	60	110	53	80	0.23	62%	0.15	62.8	2.63%	0	1.8	65	INF

16	Aug_29_2017	72.81	81.21	81.09	82.6	82.18	82.9	85.8(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	50	38	59	0.39	62%	0.15	73.1	2.63%	0	2	67	INF
17	Aug_28_2017	72.7	80.78	80.43	81.76	81.47	81.73	82.8(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	10	13	32	0.25	60%	0.11	68.8	2.62%	0	0.9	53	INF
18	Aug_25_2017	72.62	80.42	80.21	81.16	81.27	81.45	81.4(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	20	13	19	0.18	58%	0.08	63.2	2.65%	0	0.4	46	INF
19	Aug_24_2017	72.56	80.17	79.97	80.84	80.83	81.21	81.6(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	30	20	8	0.18	58%	0.1	60.4	2.66%	0	0.5	46	INF
20	Aug_23_2017	72.49	79.86	79.79	79.92	80.01	81.09	81.4(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	100	28	-16	0.25	58%	0.08	46.2	2.67%	0	0.5	38	INF

21	Aug_22_2017	72.43	79.56	79.55	79.32	79.13	80.45	81.6(2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	19	110	37	-35	0.22	58%	0.06	30.7	2.68%	0	0.7	41	INF
22	Aug_21_2017	72.39	79.19	79.49	78.92	78.68	78.93	79.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	10	18	-40	0.21	58%	0.01	18.7	2.67%	0	0.2	57	INF
23	Aug_18_2017	72.38	78.88	79.72	79.16	78.75	77.8	79.8(3.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-100	-16	-34	0.27	58%	0	13.9	2.66%	0	0.3	62	INF
24	Aug_17_2017	72.38	78.88	79.95	79	79.28	78.43	77(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-60	-34	-28	0.21	53%	-0.01	4	2.64%	0	-0.4	56	INF
25	Aug_16_2017	72.39	78.56	80.76	79.6	79.67	79.7	78.4(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	10	-10	17	0.24	53%		6	2.67%	0	-0	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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