Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $68.4000 (-2.29%) ($67.6000 - $70.0000) on Fri. May. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.88% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $68.4000(-2.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    IWN(45%)    IWC(44%)    PEJ(44%)    IWO(43%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.94% (StdDev 3.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $59.99(-12.3%)
Resistance Level   $74.23
5 Day Moving Average   $70.44(-2.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.52(-4.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.23(-7.85%)
To recent high   -27.8%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $1.962b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 5.64% (three month std-dev: 3.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 4.01%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.38%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 8.22%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -6.25%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 13.12%(30%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.9%(70%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2017	75.91	74.23	71.52	70.44	70.64	69.83	68.4(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-70	-17	-87	0.43	59%	-0.03	-28	3.88%	0	-1.4	33	0
2	May_11_2017	75.93	74.51	72.5	70.28	70.78	71.13	70(-2.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	60	2	-80	0.26	59%	-0.03	-34	3.9%	0	-1.1	36	0
3	May_10_2017	75.95	74.8	73.44	70	70.21	71.46	71.6(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	130	21	-72	0.34	59%	-0.03	-36.3	3.93%	0	-0.8	38	0
4	May_9_2017	75.97	74.99	74.02	69.56	69.58	70.44	71.2(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	90	11	-78	0.42	59%	0	-41.6	3.93%	0	-1	44	0
5	May_8_2017	75.97	75.2	74.72	71.32	68.95	68.95	71(5.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-100	-28	-71	0.52	59%	-0.03	-33.7	3.93%	0	-1.2	45	0

6	May_5_2017	75.99	75.42	75.42	72.92	71.56	68.73	67.6(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-41	-330	-38	-51	0.57	55%	-0.05	-27.5	3.83%	0	-2.2	43	0
7	May_4_2017	76.03	75.88	76.5	75.08	74.15	68.95	68.6(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-90	-530	-105	-46	0.42	55%	-0.07	-17.3	3.86%	0	-2.4	45	0
8	May_3_2017	76.08	76.22	77.52	77.32	76.65	74.4	69.4(-13.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.1	-74	-230	-94	-12	1.81	55%	-0.08	-3.9	3.89%	0	-2.7	41	0
9	May_2_2017	76.14	76.58	78.26	78.96	79.2	79.35	80(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	20	13	57	0.75	74%	0.07	10.2	3.49%	0	1.7	67	0
10	May_1_2017	76.09	76.45	77.77	78.6	78.71	78.9	79(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	20	1	49	0.29	74%	0.03	2.8	3.49%	0	1.3	65	0

11	Apr_28_2017	76.07	76.4	77.2	78.36	78.54	79.05	78.4(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	50	15	50	0.39	74%	0	-3.7	3.44%	0	1.1	64	0
12	Apr_27_2017	76.07	76.41	76.71	78.2	77.91	78.51	79.8(2.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	40	12	41	0.47	74%	0.01	-7.2	3.46%	0	1.8	63	0
13	Apr_26_2017	76.06	76.32	76.24	77.84	77.61	78.04	77.6(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	30	15	41	0.16	74%	0.01	-15.1	3.44%	0	0.7	63	0
14	Apr_25_2017	76.05	76.38	75.97	77.44	77.44	77.3	78.2(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10	12	34	0.25	74%	0.03	-17.6	3.45%	0	1	57	0
15	Apr_24_2017	76.03	76.39	75.63	76.8	76.84	77.18	77.8(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	30	7	18	0.67	74%	0.04	-30.2	3.45%	0	0.7	48	0

16	Apr_21_2017	76	76.47	75.31	75.84	76.18	77.58	77.6(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	140	33	8	0.29	74%	0.03	-45	3.42%	0	0.5	45	0
17	Apr_20_2017	75.98	76.55	75.12	74.96	74.96	76.5	78(3.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	25	140	36	-8	0.63	74%	-0.01	-60.6	3.45%	0	0.7	44	0
18	Apr_19_2017	75.99	76.59	75.12	74.44	74.16	74.78	75.6(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	50	20	-31	0.32	74%	-0.05	-66.7	3.44%	0	-0.4	38	0
19	Apr_18_2017	76.03	76.71	74.73	74.44	74.17	73.43	75(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-80	-5	-50	0.32	74%	-0.07	-69.8	3.44%	0	-0.8	34	0
20	Apr_17_2017	76.08	76.98	74.97	74.32	74.49	73.55	73(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-80	-27	-62	0.42	74%	-0.13	-65.3	3.42%	0	-1.7	26	0

21	Apr_13_2017	76.18	77.41	75.52	74.68	74.99	74.91	73.2(-2.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-25	0	-15	-56	0.39	74%	-0.1	-54.7	3.43%	0	-1.7	24	0
22	Apr_12_2017	76.26	77.87	76.12	75.24	75.28	75.44	75.4(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	20	8	-42	0.57	74%	-0.07	-49.8	3.41%	0	-1.1	30	0
23	Apr_11_2017	76.31	78.11	76.42	75.04	75.19	75.08	75(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-14	-0	-2	-50	0.29	74%	-0.07	-58.6	3.41%	0	-1.4	29	0
24	Apr_10_2017	76.36	78.31	76.84	75.2	75.24	75.13	75(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10	-11	-50	0.33	74%	-0.05	-65.7	3.41%	0	-1.6	39	0
25	Apr_7_2017	76.4	78.54	77.24	75.76	75.73	75.31	74.8(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-40	-13	-49	0.2	74%		-66.7	3.39%	0	-1.9	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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