Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 6, 2017

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $70.6000 (-3.55%) ($70.4000 - $74.8000) on Fri. Jan. 6, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.52% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $70.6000(-3.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    IWN(45%)    PEJ(44%)    IWC(43%)    IBUY(42%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.76% (StdDev 3.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.3%

Resistance Level   $71.84
5 Day Moving Average   $70.08(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.99(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.84(-1.73%)
To recent high   -33.6%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $2.025b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 3.67% (three month std-dev: 3.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.6%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.34%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.3%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.71%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2017	90.4	71.84	69.99	70.08	71.08	72.28	70.6(-3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	22	160	32	-10	0.53	28%	-0.46	-58.3	3.52%	0	-0.5	48	0
2	Jan_5_2017	90.82	72.24	70.12	69.28	69.74	71.28	73.2(4.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	20	170	34	-22	0.91	30%	-0.44	-60.3	3.52%	0	0.3	50	0
3	Jan_4_2017	91.22	72.38	70.02	68.64	68.75	69.88	70.2(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	120	20	-42	0.58	24%	-0.49	-62.2	3.47%	0	-0.7	36	0
4	Jan_3_2017	91.67	72.66	70.16	69	68.93	68.2	70(5.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-80	3	-53	0.62	24%	-0.76	-63.3	3.47%	0	-0.8	35	0
5	Dec_30_2016	92.37	72.95	70.38	69.08	69.41	67.63	66.4(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-53	-170	-43	-83	0.57	15%	-0.56	-71.7	3.4%	0	-1.9	18	0

6	Dec_29_2016	92.89	73.41	70.96	69.88	70.21	69.65	66.6(-4.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-51	-40	-39	-85	0.8	15%	-0.55	-82.4	3.4%	0	-2.2	18	0
7	Dec_28_2016	93.4	74.06	71.62	71	70.94	71.2	70(-2.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-19	20	-2	-70	0.24	17%	-0.51	-80.8	3.37%	0	-1.4	20	0
8	Dec_27_2016	93.88	74.52	72.12	71.56	71.31	70.78	72(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-60	-1	-66	0.34	17%	-0.7	-76.7	3.36%	0	-0.9	37	0
9	Dec_23_2016	94.54	74.9	72.45	71.52	71.66	70.68	70.4(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-39	-90	-25	-79	0.42	17%	-0.41	-66.5	3.36%	0	-1.4	33	0
10	Dec_22_2016	94.93	75.48	73.13	71.92	72.13	71.85	70.4(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-20	-17	-68	0.44	17%	-0.38	-62.3	3.36%	0	-1.6	34	0

11	Dec_21_2016	95.29	76.01	73.86	72.2	72.47	72.64	72.2(-0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	30	3	-51	0.62	17%	-0.31	-62.5	3.36%	0	-1.2	42	0
12	Dec_20_2016	95.59	76.45	74.53	72.32	72.44	72.41	72.8(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	0	-4	-53	0.46	17%	-0.28	-60.7	3.4%	0	-1.1	32	0
13	Dec_19_2016	95.86	76.8	74.89	72.8	72.68	72.3	71.8(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-40	-16	-58	0.69	17%	-0.26	-59.1	3.4%	0	-1.6	30	0
14	Dec_16_2016	96.11	77.17	75.34	73.56	73.58	72.46	72.4(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-110	-25	-61	0.66	17%	-0.27	-63.4	3.4%	0	-1.6	30	0
15	Dec_15_2016	96.37	77.53	75.72	74.56	74.51	73.06	71.8(-1.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-51	-140	-45	-70	0.95	17%	-0.03	-62.1	3.4%	0	-2.1	24	0

16	Dec_14_2016	96.4	78.04	76.09	75.76	75.86	74.7	72.8(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-46	-100	-39	-65	0.92	17%	-0.06	-52.7	3.42%	0	-2.1	30	0
17	Dec_13_2016	96.46	78.44	76.76	77.04	77.11	75.95	75.2(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-100	-22	-47	1.02	17%	-0.01	-42.1	3.41%	0	-1.5	34	0
18	Dec_12_2016	96.47	78.69	77.16	77.28	77.64	77.03	75.6(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-40	-19	-44	1.14	17%	0.01	-37.6	3.41%	0	-1.5	40	0
19	Dec_9_2016	96.46	79.06	77.57	77.36	77.63	78.28	77.4(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	70	7	-31	0.72	17%	0.02	-21	3.41%	0	-0.8	47	0
20	Dec_8_2016	96.44	79.24	78.01	77.04	77.2	78.25	77.8(-1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	100	28	-21	1	17%	0.02	-20.7	3.41%	0	-0.7	47	0

21	Dec_7_2016	96.42	79.24	78.3	76.48	76.63	76.98	79.2(3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	40	13	-36	1.04	17%	0.03	-21	3.4%	0	-0.1	42	0
22	Dec_6_2016	96.39	79.37	78.45	76.52	76.45	76.16	76.4(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-30	-14	-47	0.63	9%	-0.01	-17.2	3.37%	0	-1.4	39	0
23	Dec_5_2016	96.4	79.49	78.78	77.08	77.34	76.28	76(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-90	-20	-43	1.1	9%	0.07	-14.1	3.4%	0	-1.7	40	0
24	Dec_2_2016	96.33	79.51	79.1	77.84	78.16	76.75	75.8(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-46	-110	-44	-52	0.89	9%	0.04	-15.8	3.43%	0	-1.8	32	0
25	Dec_1_2016	96.29	79.68	79.48	79.12	79.35	78.4	75(-5.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-37	-80	-37	-38	1.03	9%		-5.9	3.42%	0	-2.5	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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