Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $75.0000 (-1.83%) ($75.0000 - $76.6000) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.53% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $75.0000(-1.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 6.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    IWN(44%)    PEJ(43%)    IWC(42%)    IWO(42%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.765% (StdDev 3.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.8(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.3(3.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.61(9.31%)
To recent high   -18.7%
To recent low   25.8%
Market Cap   $2.151b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 6.89% (three month std-dev: 3.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(50%) Average negative next day return: -5.28%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -11%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.33%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2016	75.38	68.61	72.3	74.8	76.07	76.03	75(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	50	13	119	0.23	39%	-0.25	52.8	3.53%	0	1.4	74	0
2	Jul_20_2016	75.57	68.09	71.5	74.08	74.73	76.3	76.4(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	51	170	27	123	0.26	39%	-0.21	51	3.53%	0	1.8	78	0
3	Jul_19_2016	75.73	67.58	70.49	72.56	73.22	76.11	75.8(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	82	300	66	130	0.32	39%	-0.26	50.5	3.52%	0	2	80	0
4	Jul_18_2016	75.93	67.05	69.39	71.4	71.48	73.16	77(10.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	82	170	66	130	0.8	39%	-0.17	53.1	3.52%	0	2.8	86	0
5	Jul_15_2016	76.06	66.42	68.23	69.8	70.01	70.33	69.8(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	40	15	104	0.19	26%	-0.18	55.8	3.26%	0	1.2	67	0

6	Jul_14_2016	76.2	66.2	67.76	69.44	69.61	69.8	71.4(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	30	15	94	0.22	26%	-0.16	55.9	3.29%	0	2	57	0
7	Jul_13_2016	76.32	65.86	67.08	68.52	68.98	69.7	68.8(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	90	15	82	0.14	19%	-0.21	43.1	3.26%	0	1.3	58	0
8	Jul_12_2016	76.48	65.58	66.45	68.04	68.3	69.43	70(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	130	38	72	0.21	19%	-0.22	23.6	3.29%	0	1.9	55	0
9	Jul_11_2016	76.65	65.2	65.43	67.04	67.13	68.25	69(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	120	30	37	0.19	19%	-0.17	-6.4	3.37%	0	1.8	55	0
10	Jul_8_2016	76.78	64.92	64.79	66.44	66.19	67.18	68(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	90	27	21	0.24	19%	-0.12	-30.4	3.37%	0	1.6	55	0

11	Jul_7_2016	76.87	64.76	64.63	65.84	65.72	66.01	66.8(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	30	20	12	0.21	19%	-0.12	-56.7	3.36%	0	1.1	52	0
12	Jul_6_2016	76.96	64.86	64.42	65.44	65.21	65.21	66.4(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10	9	1	0.44	19%	-0.21	-58.6	3.39%	0	0.7	53	0
13	Jul_5_2016	77.12	65.03	64.43	64.6	64.74	65.43	65(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	80	21	2	0.17	19%	0.1	-60.9	3.38%	0	-0	55	0
14	Jul_1_2016	77.04	65.33	64.52	63.52	63.9	65.2	66(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	25	160	33	-0	0.27	33%	0.27	-59.6	3.58%	0	0.2	59	0
15	Jun_30_2016	76.83	65.52	64.44	62.88	62.59	64.05	65(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	150	19	-11	0.25	33%	0.27	-59.5	3.57%	0	-0.2	54	0

16	Jun_29_2016	76.62	65.82	64.5	63.28	62.32	62.6	64.8(4.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	-10	13	-7	0.29	33%	0.27	-50.5	3.57%	0	-0.3	50	0
17	Jun_28_2016	76.41	66.1	64.51	63.32	63.13	61.13	62.2(4.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-230	-31	-35	0.31	28%	0.21	-46.5	3.54%	0	-1.1	36	0
18	Jun_27_2016	76.25	66.53	64.65	64.28	64.25	62.03	59.6(-5.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-65	-240	-69	-54	0.43	21%	0.14	-36.8	3.49%	0	-2	28	0
19	Jun_24_2016	76.14	67.12	65.04	65.6	65.76	65.13	62.8(-6.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-60	-30	-41	0.55	23%	0.13	-26.7	3.47%	0	-1.4	30	0
20	Jun_23_2016	76.04	67.48	65.17	66.12	66.5	66.48	67(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	20	5	-36	0.26	28%	0.24	-21	3.39%	0	-0.2	40	0

21	Jun_22_2016	75.86	67.55	64.97	66.12	66.29	66.4	65(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	30	0	-57	0.17	28%	0.21	-21.8	3.44%	0	-0.9	32	0
22	Jun_21_2016	75.7	67.75	65.38	65.88	66.06	66.53	67(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	60	16	-54	0.18	28%	0.19	-20.4	3.42%	0	-0.3	38	0
23	Jun_20_2016	75.56	67.82	65.67	65.12	65.58	66.18	66.2(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	90	24	-63	0.19	28%	0.16	-27.6	3.44%	0	-0.6	36	0
24	Jun_17_2016	75.44	67.96	66.15	64.4	64.53	65.6	65.4(-0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	120	18	-75	0.32	28%	0.16	-33.3	3.44%	0	-0.9	33	0
25	Jun_16_2016	75.32	68.11	66.62	64.08	63.83	64.98	65.8(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	110	26	-75	0.24	28%		-37.6	3.47%	0	-0.8	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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