Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $62.2000 (4.36%) ($60.8000 - $62.4000) on Tue. Jun. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.54% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $62.2000(4.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    IWN(44%)    IWC(43%)    PEJ(43%)    IWO(42%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.77% (StdDev 3.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $55.16(-11.32%)
Resistance Level   $66.1
5 Day Moving Average   $63.32(-1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.51(-3.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.1(-5.9%)
To recent high   -32.5%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $1.784b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 5.25% (three month std-dev: 3.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.52%(89%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(11%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 4.93%(78%) Average negative next three day return: -1.32%(22%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.7%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.12%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2016	76.41	66.1	64.51	63.32	63.13	61.13	62.2(4.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-230	-31	-35	0.31	28%	0.21	-46.5	3.54%	0	-1.1	36	INF
2	Jun_27_2016	76.25	66.53	64.65	64.28	64.25	62.03	59.6(-5.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-65	-240	-69	-54	0.43	21%	0.14	-36.8	3.49%	0	-2	28	INF
3	Jun_24_2016	76.14	67.12	65.04	65.6	65.76	65.13	62.8(-6.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-60	-30	-41	0.55	23%	0.13	-26.7	3.47%	0	-1.4	30	INF
4	Jun_23_2016	76.04	67.48	65.17	66.12	66.5	66.48	67(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	20	5	-36	0.26	28%	0.24	-21	3.39%	0	-0.2	40	INF
5	Jun_22_2016	75.86	67.55	64.97	66.12	66.29	66.4	65(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	30	0	-57	0.17	28%	0.21	-21.8	3.44%	0	-0.9	32	INF

6	Jun_21_2016	75.7	67.75	65.38	65.88	66.06	66.53	67(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	60	16	-54	0.18	28%	0.19	-20.4	3.42%	0	-0.3	38	INF
7	Jun_20_2016	75.56	67.82	65.67	65.12	65.58	66.18	66.2(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	90	24	-63	0.19	28%	0.16	-27.6	3.44%	0	-0.6	36	INF
8	Jun_17_2016	75.44	67.96	66.15	64.4	64.53	65.6	65.4(-0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	120	18	-75	0.32	28%	0.16	-33.3	3.44%	0	-0.9	33	INF
9	Jun_16_2016	75.32	68.11	66.62	64.08	63.83	64.98	65.8(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	110	26	-75	0.24	28%	0.16	-37.6	3.47%	0	-0.8	40	INF
10	Jun_15_2016	75.2	68.21	67.16	63.96	63.54	63.45	65(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-30	2	-81	0.25	28%	0.13	-42.5	3.47%	0	-1.2	41	INF

11	Jun_14_2016	75.1	68.36	67.74	64.88	63.64	62.68	63.2(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-160	-44	-83	0.33	28%	0.15	-40.6	3.48%	0	-1.9	34	INF
12	Jun_13_2016	74.99	68.63	68.53	66.36	65.64	63.63	62.6(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-50	-250	-46	-60	0.27	28%	0.13	-27.8	3.47%	0	-2.5	35	INF
13	Jun_10_2016	74.89	68.94	69.42	68.16	67.61	64.6	63.8(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-63	-340	-70	-41	0.29	28%	0.17	-4.2	3.49%	0	-2.6	36	INF
14	Jun_9_2016	74.76	69.19	70.07	69.48	69.44	67.65	65.2(-6.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-55	-180	-67	-18	0.73	21%	0.24	26.1	3.48%	0	-2.5	44	INF
15	Jun_8_2016	74.58	69.42	70.48	70.76	71.03	70.62	69.6(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-30	-12	24	0.28	25%	0.27	64.2	3.62%	0	0.1	63	INF

16	Jun_7_2016	74.38	69.47	70.43	71	71.29	71.23	70.6(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	10	-3	34	0.21	25%	-0.04	79.2	3.64%	0	0.8	66	INF
17	Jun_6_2016	74.41	69.31	70.21	71.04	71.23	71.44	71.6(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	30	3	38	0.25	25%	0.27	70.9	3.64%	0	1.6	69	INF
18	Jun_3_2016	74.21	69.03	69.94	70.92	71.18	71.35	70.4(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	30	8	42	0.26	25%	0.22	45.4	3.63%	0	0.9	65	INF
19	Jun_2_2016	74.05	68.78	69.71	70.76	70.93	71.35	71.6(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	20	8	39	0.17	25%	0.28	-24.9	3.68%	0	1.7	71	INF
20	Jun_1_2016	73.84	68.57	69.29	70.16	70.48	71.01	70.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	14	70	9	29	0.15	25%	0.26	-107.1	3.67%	0	1.4	58	INF

21	May_31_2016	73.65	68.4	68.97	69.76	70.06	70.85	70.8(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	90	21	22	0.21	25%	0.49	-193.4	3.73%	0	1.7	47	INF
22	May_27_2016	73.29	68.33	68.67	69.24	69.46	69.95	71(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	60	15	14	0.21	25%	0.19	-237.7	3.79%	0	1.7	64	INF
23	May_26_2016	73.15	68.36	68.35	68.84	69.03	69.28	69.6(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	30	8	10	0.33	39%	0.14	-101.5	3.81%	0	0.3	66	INF
24	May_25_2016	73.05	69.19	68.2	68.52	68.78	68.98	68.6(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	30	8	12	0.29	39%	0.08	-72.7	3.96%	0	-0.1	66	INF
25	May_24_2016	72.99	70.26	68.24	68.28	68.29	68.78	68.8(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	50	8	13	0.26	39%		-60.8	3.96%	0	-0.2	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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