Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $81.8000 (6.51%) ($77.3000 - $89.0000) on Fri. Feb. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.42% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $81.8000(6.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 11% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 25.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    IWN(43%)    IWC(42%)    IWO(42%)    PEJ(42%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -3.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    XLRE(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.71% (StdDev 7.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.76(9.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.19(33.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.94(43.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   84.2%
Market Cap   $2.346b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 20.83% (three month std-dev: 7.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.35%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 16.8%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -18.28%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 29.14%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -27.09%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2016	61.32	56.94	61.19	74.76	77.22	78.56	81.8(6.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	111	220	69	237	2.21	69%	0.28	61.7	7.42%	0	2.1	70	INF
2	Feb_18_2016	61.15	55.28	58.1	67.36	70.85	76.48	76.8(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	90	710	64	166	1.11	69%	0.2	46.9	7.39%	0	2.1	69	INF
3	Feb_17_2016	61.03	53.74	55.21	61	62.94	75.88	75.8(-7.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	134	1530	135	131	2.64	69%	0.18	29	7.41%	0	2.4	68	INF
4	Feb_16_2016	60.92	52.31	52.36	54.72	54.89	65.23	81.6(41.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.5	151	1330	174	82	4.39	69%	0.07	8.6	7.35%	0	3.8	69	INF
5	Feb_12_2016	60.88	50.66	49.12	47.64	47.59	50	57.8(29.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.8	51	350	80	-37	1.6	59%	-0.28	-39.2	5.19%	0	1.9	58	INF

6	Feb_11_2016	61.05	50.45	48.62	45.88	45.4	44.56	44.8(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-66	-160	-40	-142	0.7	47%	-0.49	-58.4	3.66%	0	-1.6	34	INF
7	Feb_10_2016	61.35	50.79	49.52	47.48	47.04	45.18	45(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-54	-300	-36	-107	0.51	47%	-0.62	-63.5	3.66%	0	-1.8	41	INF
8	Feb_9_2016	61.73	51.2	50.42	48.36	48.51	46.24	44.4(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-63	-320	-55	-85	0.87	47%	-0.64	-77	3.66%	0	-2.4	48	INF
9	Feb_8_2016	62.13	51.66	51.56	49.36	49.43	48.9	46.2(-5.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-48	-70	-48	-48	0.76	49%	-0.66	-93.2	3.64%	0	-2.2	48	INF
10	Feb_5_2016	62.54	52.14	52.24	50.68	50.36	50.78	49(-7.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	40	-6	-7	0.68	49%	-0.59	-98.6	3.65%	0	-1.4	47	INF

11	Feb_4_2016	62.91	52.54	52.68	51.76	51.08	50.78	52.8(6.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-6	-190	-9	5	0.47	40%	-0.52	-92	3.54%	0	0.1	46	INF
12	Feb_3_2016	63.24	52.89	52.5	51.96	51.89	49.95	49.4(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-32	-270	-40	-7	0.54	39%	-0.57	-76.2	4.75%	0	-1.2	50	INF
13	Feb_2_2016	63.6	53.52	52.42	52.84	53.34	52.2	49.4(-6.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-120	-33	-2	0.53	41%	-0.53	-58.4	4.8%	0	-1.2	47	INF
14	Feb_1_2016	63.94	54.04	52.49	54.08	54.3	53.83	52.8(-2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-50	-7	17	0.48	43%	-0.51	-55.1	4.77%	0	-0.3	51	INF
15	Jan_29_2016	64.27	54.44	52.41	54	54.5	54.48	54.4(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	30	1	12	0.43	45%	-0.48	-59.5	4.78%	0	-0	48	INF

16	Jan_28_2016	64.58	54.81	52.4	53.72	54.15	54.78	53.8(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	110	12	8	0.36	48%	-0.48	-56.7	4.78%	0	-0.3	44	INF
17	Jan_27_2016	64.89	55.22	52.12	53.12	53.5	54.51	53.8(-3.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	18	150	28	-14	0.34	48%	-0.49	-55.1	4.82%	0	-0.3	39	INF
18	Jan_26_2016	65.21	55.64	51.97	51.92	52.15	53.53	55.6(6.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	200	32	-49	0.32	46%	-0.15	-58.5	4.81%	0	-0	38	INF
19	Jan_25_2016	65.31	56.09	51.66	50.68	50.43	52.49	52.4(-1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	270	21	-84	0.24	43%	-0.52	-60.4	4.76%	0	-0.7	38	INF
20	Jan_22_2016	65.65	56.72	51.93	50.6	50.04	50.78	53(4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	70	22	-96	0.37	43%	-0.52	-59.2	4.76%	0	-0.7	37	INF

21	Jan_21_2016	65.99	57.18	52.29	50.98	50.07	48.38	50.8(6.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-290	-15	-119	0.37	42%	-0.57	-53.8	4.73%	0	-1.2	32	INF
22	Jan_20_2016	66.37	57.74	53.21	51.02	50.78	49.31	47.8(-3.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-66	-220	-42	-136	0.76	40%	-0.58	-53.2	4.66%	0	-1.8	24	INF
23	Jan_19_2016	66.76	58.54	54.67	51.98	52	51.76	49.4(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-30	-15	-114	0.44	39%	-1.01	-51.1	4.68%	0	-1.8	26	INF
24	Jan_15_2016	67.44	59.27	55.73	52.7	52.54	52.26	52(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-50	-9	-114	0.37	42%	-0.52	-51.5	4.67%	0	-1.6	25	INF
25	Jan_14_2016	67.79	59.86	56.67	53.42	53.04	52.24	54.9(7.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-43	-130	-18	-118	0.59	44%		-48	4.63%	0	-1.1	29	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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