Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $75.4000 (3.57%) ($72.2000 - $75.6000) on Tue. Oct. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.19% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $75.4000(3.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    IWN(43%)    IWO(42%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(40%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.595% (StdDev 3.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.2(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.32(4.26%)
To recent high   -26.8%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $2.163b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 6.01% (three month std-dev: 3.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2015	91.69	72.32	75	74.2	74.16	74.18	75.4(3.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	0	-3	70	0.33	44%	-0.55	-48.4	3.19%	0	0.7	69	0
2	Oct_19_2015	92.2	72.56	74.52	73.8	74.04	74.65	72.8(-4.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	70	4	81	0.41	42%	-0.59	-47.6	3.15%	0	0	65	0
3	Oct_16_2015	92.75	73.03	74.49	74.28	74.06	74.15	76.4(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-0	7	107	0.29	46%	-0.56	-39.5	3.11%	0	0.6	70	0
4	Oct_15_2015	93.27	73.41	73.7	74.46	74.4	73.43	73.8(1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-90	-23	92	0.25	43%	-0.59	-34.8	3.11%	0	0.1	54	0
5	Oct_14_2015	93.82	73.92	72.91	75.14	75.31	73.98	72.6(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-120	-33	80	0.22	43%	-0.6	-29.7	3.1%	0	-0.2	48	0

6	Oct_13_2015	94.39	74.48	72.24	75.9	75.76	75.38	73.4(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-40	-13	78	0.3	46%	-0.23	-25.3	3.1%	0	-0.2	48	0
7	Oct_12_2015	94.61	74.96	71.53	75.26	75.55	76.64	75.2(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	110	26	44	0.27	46%	-0.59	-28.2	3.17%	0	0	40	0
8	Oct_9_2015	95.17	75.3	70.67	74.62	74.24	76.14	77.3(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	160	58	7	0.4	47%	-0.56	-31.2	3.16%	0	0.3	40	0
9	Oct_8_2015	95.71	75.6	70.02	72.8	72.6	74.45	77.2(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	47	170	77	-45	0.5	47%	-0.57	-37.9	3.17%	0	0.2	37	0
10	Oct_7_2015	96.26	75.9	69.57	70.36	70.31	72.35	76.4(8.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	22	200	66	-109	0.55	47%	-0.59	-47.1	3.17%	0	0.1	37	0

11	Oct_6_2015	96.83	76.24	69.26	68.12	68.21	70.75	70.2(-2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	260	64	-176	0.42	42%	-0.64	-54.5	2.96%	0	-0.8	26	0
12	Oct_5_2015	97.45	76.97	70.26	67.24	66.9	68.28	72(5.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	130	65	-194	0.45	42%	-0.63	-60.2	2.95%	0	-0.6	30	0
13	Oct_2_2015	98.07	77.62	71.26	66.16	65.93	65.68	68.2(4.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-71	-40	-13	-246	0.37	39%	-0.66	-67.1	2.87%	0	-1.2	24	0
14	Oct_1_2015	98.72	78.51	72.92	66.88	66.66	65.53	65(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-104	-130	-53	-256	0.45	34%	-0.71	-66.9	2.79%	0	-1.8	12	0
15	Sep_30_2015	99.43	79.65	74.92	68.68	68.75	66.18	65.2(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-111	-260	-70	-235	0.49	34%	-0.71	-65.5	2.8%	0	-2	13	0

16	Sep_29_2015	100.14	80.74	76.91	70.56	70.79	67.8	65.8(-1.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-151	-290	-124	-230	0.63	34%	-0.7	-63.3	2.8%	0	-2.3	14	0
17	Sep_28_2015	100.85	81.99	78.79	73.72	73.61	71.33	66.6(-7.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-129	-220	-110	-185	0.61	34%	-0.67	-50.9	2.81%	0	-2.7	14	0
18	Sep_25_2015	101.53	83.3	80.53	77.08	76.88	73.78	71.8(-2.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-109	-290	-97	-144	0.31	35%	-0.56	-33.3	2.69%	0	-2.4	18	0
19	Sep_24_2015	102.1	84.05	81.86	79.88	79.68	75.9	74(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-126	-340	-128	-121	0.49	37%	-0.53	-17	2.68%	0	-2.5	19	0
20	Sep_23_2015	102.64	84.67	82.95	82.12	82.45	79.98	74.6(-8.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.3	-99	-200	-103	-86	0.54	37%	-0.61	-0.5	2.68%	0	-3.1	18	0

21	Sep_22_2015	103.27	85.03	83.99	84.16	84.28	83.45	81.6(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-60	-41	-37	0.24	41%	-0.59	13.9	2.48%	0	-1.4	35	0
22	Sep_21_2015	103.88	84.99	84.35	84.6	84.82	84.93	83.4(-2.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-5	20	2	-26	0.22	41%	-0.51	3.5	2.47%	0	-0.6	28	0
23	Sep_18_2015	104.41	84.94	84.51	84.48	84.44	85.1	85.8(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	50	15	-41	0.54	44%	-0.51	-5.3	2.46%	0	0.3	28	0
24	Sep_17_2015	104.95	84.73	84.48	84.2	84.08	84.71	85.2(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	50	25	-42	0.33	42%	-0.54	-15.9	2.48%	0	0.2	50	0
25	Sep_16_2015	105.52	84.68	84.63	84	83.74	83.79	84.8(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10	8	-48	0.34	42%		-20.1	2.5%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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