Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $81.6000 (-2.16%) ($80.6000 - $83.2000) on Tue. Sep. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.48% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $81.6000(-2.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    IWN(44%)    IWO(42%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(40%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.24% (StdDev 2.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

Resistance Level   $85.03
5 Day Moving Average   $84.16(-3.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.99(-2.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.03(-4.03%)
To recent high   -25%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $2.341b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 2.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(50%) Average negative next day return: -7.48%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.27%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.17%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.29%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2015	103.27	85.03	83.99	84.16	84.28	83.45	81.6(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-60	-41	-37	0.24	41%	-0.59	13.9	2.48%	0	-1.4	35	0
2	Sep_21_2015	103.88	84.99	84.35	84.6	84.82	84.93	83.4(-2.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-5	20	2	-26	0.22	41%	-0.51	3.5	2.47%	0	-0.6	28	0
3	Sep_18_2015	104.41	84.94	84.51	84.48	84.44	85.1	85.8(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	50	15	-41	0.54	44%	-0.51	-5.3	2.46%	0	0.3	28	0
4	Sep_17_2015	104.95	84.73	84.48	84.2	84.08	84.71	85.2(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	50	25	-42	0.33	42%	-0.54	-15.9	2.48%	0	0.2	50	0
5	Sep_16_2015	105.52	84.73	84.63	84	83.74	83.79	84.8(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10	8	-48	0.34	42%	-0.53	-20.1	2.5%	0	0	50	0

6	Sep_15_2015	106.08	84.68	84.72	83.84	83.76	83.45	83.8(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-30	-13	-47	0.28	41%	-0.54	-23.4	2.49%	0	-0.3	61	0
7	Sep_14_2015	106.66	84.89	85.3	84.08	84.19	83.7	82.8(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-40	-18	-20	0.3	41%	-0.57	-16.9	2.49%	0	-0.7	60	0
8	Sep_11_2015	107.27	85.08	86.18	84.52	84.7	84.08	84.4(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	-40	-19	12	0.24	41%	-0.55	-16.1	2.49%	0	-0.2	57	0
9	Sep_10_2015	107.86	85.19	86.33	84.8	85.06	84.68	84.2(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-20	-24	26	0.26	41%	-0.54	-24.3	2.49%	0	-0.3	58	0
10	Sep_9_2015	108.45	85.25	86.49	85.36	85.49	85.33	84(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10	-11	44	0.47	40%	-0.55	-34	2.49%	0	-0.4	51	0

11	Sep_8_2015	109.05	85.35	86.2	85.72	85.96	85.45	85(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-30	-17	36	0.36	39%	-0.87	-44.5	2.5%	0	-0.1	51	0
12	Sep_4_2015	110.01	85.39	85.75	86.72	86.28	85.65	85(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-29	-70	-45	21	0.42	38%	-0.56	-46	2.49%	0	-0.1	45	0
13	Sep_3_2015	110.63	85.55	85.5	88.12	87.56	86.48	85.8(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-110	-14	45	0.29	39%	-0.55	-39.1	2.5%	0	0.1	49	0
14	Sep_2_2015	111.24	85.9	85.09	88.08	88.09	86.9	87(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-15	-90	-28	26	0.25	38%	-0.52	-37.4	2.52%	0	0.3	51	0
15	Sep_1_2015	111.82	86.25	84.79	87.76	87.78	88.65	85.8(-4.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	70	9	33	0.5	38%	-0.53	-38.3	2.54%	0	-0.1	52	0

16	Aug_31_2015	112.42	86.65	84.68	86.62	86.81	89.28	90(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	82	210	94	47	0.41	40%	-0.51	-47.8	2.49%	0	0.7	57	0
17	Aug_28_2015	113	86.75	84.39	84.58	84.57	86.9	92(7.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	85	190	105	25	0.52	40%	-0.48	-60.4	2.49%	0	1.1	61	0
18	Aug_27_2015	113.55	86.89	83.74	82.58	81.74	84.35	85.6(0.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	46	190	71	-31	0.68	34%	-0.53	-70.5	2.28%	0	-0.3	42	0
19	Aug_26_2015	114.16	87.38	83.79	81.74	80.57	82.24	85.4(6.62%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	39	100	73	-64	0.91	34%	-0.51	-75.7	2.28%	0	-0.4	33	0
20	Aug_25_2015	114.75	87.92	83.76	81.5	80.38	79.14	80.1(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-150	-15	-142	0.45	29%	-0.55	-71.9	2.09%	0	-1.3	16	0

21	Aug_24_2015	115.38	88.85	84.35	82.44	81.08	78.9	79.8(-2.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-136	-240	-117	-192	0.76	29%	-0.31	-69.4	2.1%	0	-1.5	18	0
22	Aug_21_2015	115.74	89.79	85	84.12	83.39	81.61	82(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-98	-180	-74	-168	0.69	30%	-0.52	-65.7	2.09%	0	-1.3	26	0
23	Aug_20_2015	116.35	90.66	85.66	85.04	85.07	83.25	81.4(-3.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-98	-150	-72	-175	0.47	30%	-0.51	-62.1	2.09%	0	-1.5	20	0
24	Aug_19_2015	116.95	91.73	86.85	86.08	86.13	85.16	84.2(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-78	-80	-51	-160	0.42	31%	-0.52	-62.3	2.06%	0	-1.3	24	0
25	Aug_18_2015	117.56	92.37	87.91	86.32	86.56	86.89	84.8(-3.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-37	40	-2	-140	0.64	31%		-65.2	2.08%	0	-1.3	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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