Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 31, 2015

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $90.0000 (-2.17%) ($88.4000 - $91.8000) on Mon. Aug. 31, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.49% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $90.0000(-2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    IWN(44%)    IWO(42%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(40%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.245% (StdDev 2.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $86.62(3.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.68(6.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.65(3.87%)
To recent high   -28.3%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $2.582b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 5.17% (three month std-dev: 2.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.36%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.2%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.7%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -7.07%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 8.36%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.48%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2015	112.42	86.65	84.68	86.62	86.81	89.28	90(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	82	210	94	47	0.41	40%	-0.51	-47.8	2.49%	0	0.7	57	INF
2	Aug_28_2015	113	86.75	84.39	84.58	84.57	86.9	92(7.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	85	190	105	25	0.52	40%	-0.48	-60.4	2.49%	0	1.1	61	INF
3	Aug_27_2015	113.55	86.89	83.74	82.58	81.74	84.35	85.6(0.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	46	190	71	-31	0.68	34%	-0.53	-70.5	2.28%	0	-0.3	42	INF
4	Aug_26_2015	114.16	87.38	83.79	81.74	80.57	82.24	85.4(6.62%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	39	100	73	-64	0.91	34%	-0.51	-75.7	2.28%	0	-0.4	33	INF
5	Aug_25_2015	114.75	87.92	83.76	81.5	80.38	79.14	80.1(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-150	-15	-142	0.45	29%	-0.55	-71.9	2.09%	0	-1.3	16	INF

6	Aug_24_2015	115.38	88.85	84.35	82.44	81.08	78.9	79.8(-2.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-136	-240	-117	-192	0.76	29%	-0.31	-69.4	2.1%	0	-1.5	18	INF
7	Aug_21_2015	115.74	89.79	85	84.12	83.39	81.61	82(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-98	-180	-74	-168	0.69	30%	-0.52	-65.7	2.09%	0	-1.3	26	INF
8	Aug_20_2015	116.35	90.66	85.66	85.04	85.07	83.25	81.4(-3.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-98	-150	-72	-175	0.47	30%	-0.51	-62.1	2.09%	0	-1.5	20	INF
9	Aug_19_2015	116.95	91.73	86.85	86.08	86.13	85.16	84.2(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-78	-80	-51	-160	0.42	31%	-0.52	-62.3	2.06%	0	-1.3	24	INF
10	Aug_18_2015	117.56	92.37	87.91	86.32	86.56	86.89	84.8(-3.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-37	40	-2	-140	0.64	31%	-0.55	-65.2	2.08%	0	-1.3	23	INF

11	Aug_17_2015	118.21	93.14	88.86	86.52	86.2	87.09	88.2(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	60	34	-138	0.67	33%	-0.56	-66.9	2.04%	0	-0.9	24	INF
12	Aug_14_2015	118.87	93.79	89.31	86.04	85.71	86.23	86.6(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	30	19	-171	0.5	33%	-0.55	-68.5	2.02%	0	-1.3	20	INF
13	Aug_13_2015	119.53	94.58	90.26	86.44	85.64	85.31	86.6(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-67	-50	-25	-192	0.62	33%	-0.58	-63.4	2.02%	0	-1.4	19	INF
14	Aug_12_2015	120.23	95.42	91.21	87.84	86.46	85.19	85.4(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-112	-150	-79	-211	0.54	33%	-0.55	-56.4	2.01%	0	-1.8	12	INF
15	Aug_11_2015	120.9	96.19	92.37	89.8	88.96	85.98	85.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-122	-260	-100	-188	0.62	35%	-0.57	-48	2.01%	0	-2	34	INF

16	Aug_10_2015	121.59	97.03	93.69	91.56	91.46	87.73	85.8(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-158	-290	-150	-182	1.28	35%	-0.55	-39.2	2.04%	0	-2.5	30	INF
17	Aug_7_2015	122.26	97.89	95.02	93	93.64	91.94	88.6(-5.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-122	-110	-113	-150	1.95	40%	-0.54	-31.8	2.08%	0	-2.5	31	INF
18	Aug_6_2015	122.92	98.36	96.14	94.56	94.97	95.19	93.6(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	30	-17	-100	0.78	39%	-0.5	-25.2	2%	0	-1.5	35	INF
19	Aug_5_2015	123.54	98.61	97.05	95.08	95.45	95.35	95.2(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	0	7	-76	0.37	37%	-0.51	-21.9	2.19%	0	-1.2	35	INF
20	Aug_4_2015	124.17	98.69	97.2	95.4	95.74	94.75	94.6(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-60	-35	-98	0.31	40%	-0.5	-26.3	2.2%	0	-1.4	43	INF

21	Aug_3_2015	124.8	98.86	97.76	96.24	96.39	95.55	93(-3.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-62	-60	-51	-96	0.46	40%	-0.51	-25.6	2.24%	0	-2.1	37	INF
22	Jul_31_2015	125.44	99.08	98.63	97.36	97.44	96.73	96.4(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-50	-24	-72	0.23	41%	-0.5	-28.9	2.23%	0	-1.1	41	INF
23	Jul_30_2015	126.07	99.14	99.22	97.96	97.98	97.23	96.2(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-50	-46	-60	0.35	40%	-0.51	-39.8	2.23%	0	-1.2	52	INF
24	Jul_29_2015	126.72	99.25	99.94	99.32	98.98	98.15	96.8(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-70	-19	-16	0.73	40%	-0.48	-42.7	2.24%	0	-1	51	INF
25	Jul_28_2015	127.33	99.45	100.3	99.24	99.52	98.73	98.8(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-50	-24	-11	0.33	40%		-57.9	2.24%	0	-0.3	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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