Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $96.8000 (-2.02%) ($95.8000 - $99.2000) on Wed. Jul. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $96.8000(-2.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(40%)    JETS(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

Resistance Level   $99.25
5 Day Moving Average   $99.32(-2.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.94(-3.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.25(-2.47%)
To recent high   -31.5%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $2.777b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 2.39% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.48%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.43%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.15%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.7%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.79%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.85%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150829

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2015	126.72	99.25	99.94	99.32	98.98	98.15	96.8(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-70	-19	-16	0.73	40%	-0.48	-42.7	2.24%	0	-1	51	0
2	Jul_28_2015	127.33	99.45	100.3	99.24	99.52	98.73	98.8(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-50	-24	-11	0.33	40%	-0.48	-57.9	2.24%	0	-0.3	56	0
3	Jul_27_2015	127.94	99.56	100.62	99.52	99.31	99.81	98.6(-0.8%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-16	30	-23	6	0.87	40%	-0.47	-68.9	2.24%	0	-0.4	54	0
4	Jul_24_2015	128.54	99.81	100.97	100.08	99.84	100.31	99.4(-3.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	30	23	46	0.4	40%	-0.47	-67.7	2.25%	0	-0.2	56	0
5	Jul_23_2015	129.15	100.12	100.77	100.68	100.24	98.81	103(6.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-10	-110	-26	37	0.53	42%	-0.45	-60.2	2.21%	0	1	61	0

6	Jul_22_2015	129.73	100.28	100.27	100.76	101.22	99.36	96.4(-3.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-55	-110	-81	22	0.65	36%	-0.51	-55.6	2.02%	0	-1.2	49	0
7	Jul_21_2015	130.39	100.81	100.34	101.48	102.35	101.68	100.2(-1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-19	-20	-39	41	0.29	38%	-0.48	-53.4	1.98%	0	-0.2	49	0
8	Jul_20_2015	131.02	101.2	100.07	101.84	102.33	103.08	101.4(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	70	3	55	0.24	38%	-0.49	-50.4	1.98%	0	0.1	50	0
9	Jul_17_2015	131.66	101.53	99.6	101.96	102.15	103.03	102.4(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	70	56	59	0.51	37%	-0.49	-53.2	1.99%	0	0.2	45	0
10	Jul_16_2015	132.31	101.9	99.05	100.84	101.58	101.58	103.4(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	20	35	6	0.53	37%	-0.47	-60.8	2%	0	0.3	41	0

11	Jul_15_2015	132.94	102.11	98.47	99.76	100.48	101.28	100(-1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	80	12	-48	0.34	34%	-0.47	-71.9	1.94%	0	-0.4	32	0
12	Jul_14_2015	133.57	102.66	98.49	99	99.74	101.58	102(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	46	150	79	-53	0.4	35%	-0.47	-75.1	1.94%	0	-0.1	35	0
13	Jul_13_2015	134.2	103.16	98.34	98.04	98.46	99.68	102(5.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	33	100	75	-93	0.62	35%	-0.46	-79.4	1.94%	0	-0.2	32	0
14	Jul_10_2015	134.82	103.79	98.42	96.96	97.31	97.9	96.8(-1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-21	50	25	-159	0.27	28%	-0.46	-81.4	1.79%	0	-1.1	13	0
15	Jul_9_2015	135.44	104.78	99.32	96.96	96.89	97.25	98(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-34	20	14	-176	0.38	28%	-0.43	-79.4	1.8%	0	-1	13	0

16	Jul_8_2015	136.03	105.68	100.18	97	96.91	96.73	96.2(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-62	-20	-17	-197	0.39	26%	-0.48	-81.7	1.77%	0	-1.4	18	0
17	Jul_7_2015	136.69	106.72	101.27	97.88	97.65	96.53	97.2(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-84	-90	-44	-205	0.31	26%	-0.3	-81.5	1.79%	0	-1.4	15	0
18	Jul_6_2015	137.1	107.83	102.41	98.68	98.78	97.1	96.6(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-120	-120	-86	-221	0.32	26%	-0.55	-81.7	1.8%	0	-1.6	12	0
19	Jul_2_2015	137.86	109.09	103.64	100.12	100.19	98.78	97(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-128	-100	-97	-220	0.46	26%	-0.4	-77.7	1.81%	0	-1.7	11	0
20	Jul_1_2015	138.42	110.26	105.04	102	102.04	100.45	98(-2.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-111	-110	-81	-201	0.59	25%	-0.37	-77.9	1.81%	0	-1.7	11	0

21	Jun_30_2015	138.93	111.52	106.13	103.84	103.85	101.6	100.6(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-120	-150	-94	-199	0.33	23%	-0.36	-79.3	1.82%	0	-1.6	15	0
22	Jun_29_2015	139.43	112.54	107.27	105.16	105.34	103.63	101.2(-2.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-128	-110	-105	-196	0.42	23%	-0.34	-80.2	1.84%	0	-1.7	15	0
23	Jun_26_2015	139.91	113.76	108.47	106.68	106.7	106.1	103.8(-2.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-80	-40	-50	-169	0.62	24%	-0.33	-78.1	1.83%	0	-1.5	14	0
24	Jun_25_2015	140.37	114.94	109.64	107.68	107.54	107.05	106.4(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-62	-40	-28	-163	0.37	28%	-0.28	-75.5	1.82%	0	-1.3	14	0
25	Jun_24_2015	140.77	116.01	110.68	108.56	108.31	107.3	107.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-63	-70	-32	-157	0.34	28%		-73.5	1.86%	0	-1.3	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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