Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $102.0000 (5.37%) ($99.4000 - $103.2000) on Mon. Jul. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.94% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $102.0000(5.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(40%)    JETS(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -0.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.97% (StdDev 1.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $89.03(-12.72%)
Resistance Level   $103.16
5 Day Moving Average   $98.04(4.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $98.34(3.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.16(-1.12%)
To recent high   -30.6%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $2.926b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 5.45% (three month std-dev: 1.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2015	134.2	103.16	98.34	98.04	98.46	99.68	102(5.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	33	100	75	-93	0.62	35%	-0.46	-79.4	1.94%	0	-0.2	32	INF
2	Jul_10_2015	134.82	103.79	98.42	96.96	97.31	97.9	96.8(-1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-21	50	25	-159	0.27	28%	-0.46	-81.4	1.79%	0	-1.1	13	INF
3	Jul_9_2015	135.44	104.78	99.32	96.96	96.89	97.25	98(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-34	20	14	-176	0.38	28%	-0.43	-79.4	1.8%	0	-1	13	INF
4	Jul_8_2015	136.03	105.68	100.18	97	96.91	96.73	96.2(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-62	-20	-17	-197	0.39	26%	-0.48	-81.7	1.77%	0	-1.4	18	INF
5	Jul_7_2015	136.69	106.72	101.27	97.88	97.65	96.53	97.2(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-84	-90	-44	-205	0.31	26%	-0.3	-81.5	1.79%	0	-1.4	15	INF

6	Jul_6_2015	137.1	107.83	102.41	98.68	98.78	97.1	96.6(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-120	-120	-86	-221	0.32	26%	-0.55	-81.7	1.8%	0	-1.6	12	INF
7	Jul_2_2015	137.86	109.09	103.64	100.12	100.19	98.78	97(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-128	-100	-97	-220	0.46	26%	-0.4	-77.7	1.81%	0	-1.7	11	INF
8	Jul_1_2015	138.42	110.26	105.04	102	102.04	100.45	98(-2.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-111	-110	-81	-201	0.59	25%	-0.37	-77.9	1.81%	0	-1.7	11	INF
9	Jun_30_2015	138.93	111.52	106.13	103.84	103.85	101.6	100.6(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-120	-150	-94	-199	0.33	23%	-0.36	-79.3	1.82%	0	-1.6	15	INF
10	Jun_29_2015	139.43	112.54	107.27	105.16	105.34	103.63	101.2(-2.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-128	-110	-105	-196	0.42	23%	-0.34	-80.2	1.84%	0	-1.7	15	INF

11	Jun_26_2015	139.91	113.76	108.47	106.68	106.7	106.1	103.8(-2.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-80	-40	-50	-169	0.62	24%	-0.33	-78.1	1.83%	0	-1.5	14	INF
12	Jun_25_2015	140.37	114.94	109.64	107.68	107.54	107.05	106.4(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-62	-40	-28	-163	0.37	28%	-0.28	-75.5	1.82%	0	-1.3	14	INF
13	Jun_24_2015	140.77	116.01	110.68	108.56	108.31	107.3	107.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-63	-70	-32	-157	0.34	28%	-0.3	-73.5	1.86%	0	-1.3	22	INF
14	Jun_23_2015	141.19	117.04	111.59	108.8	108.94	108.03	107.2(-1.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-85	-50	-53	-179	0.73	28%	-0.27	-74.9	1.86%	0	-1.4	19	INF
15	Jun_22_2015	141.57	118.15	112.57	109.72	109.53	109.33	108.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-71	-20	-38	-170	0.34	28%	-0.25	-76	1.86%	0	-1.4	28	INF

16	Jun_19_2015	141.92	119.24	113.63	110.56	110.5	109.85	108.8(-1.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-61	-40	-25	-169	0.54	28%	-0.27	-73.4	1.86%	0	-1.5	24	INF
17	Jun_18_2015	142.31	120.32	114.91	111.92	111.41	109.73	110.8(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-103	-120	-76	-185	0.57	28%	-0.2	-71.5	1.86%	0	-1.4	23	INF
18	Jun_17_2015	142.6	121.33	115.85	113.18	113.04	111.15	108.4(-3.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-124	-120	-99	-199	1.12	25%	-0.24	-70.5	1.83%	0	-1.9	17	INF
19	Jun_16_2015	142.94	122.56	117.33	114.78	114.9	113.1	111.8(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-106	-110	-80	-184	0.44	26%	-0.23	-69.9	1.8%	0	-1.7	20	INF
20	Jun_15_2015	143.27	123.53	118.25	115.82	116.01	114.94	113(-2.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-108	-60	-80	-190	0.41	26%	-0.24	-73.4	1.81%	0	-1.7	19	INF

21	Jun_12_2015	143.61	124.51	119.51	117.14	117.17	116.7	115.6(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-73	-30	-41	-170	0.32	27%	-0.24	-72.4	1.8%	0	-1.6	20	INF
22	Jun_11_2015	143.96	125.36	120.68	118.38	118.28	117.09	117.1(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-69	-70	-39	-160	0.29	27%	-0.19	-66.9	1.8%	0	-1.5	23	INF
23	Jun_10_2015	144.23	126.23	121.75	118.98	119.34	117.64	116.4(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-103	-90	-79	-173	0.34	27%	-0.2	-58.9	1.82%	0	-1.8	20	INF
24	Jun_9_2015	144.52	127.16	122.92	120.3	120.37	119.46	117(-2.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-81	-50	-55	-157	0.42	27%	-0.2	-57.4	1.82%	0	-1.9	19	INF
25	Jun_8_2015	144.81	128.12	124.17	121.02	120.68	121.04	119.6(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	10	-25	-141	0.33	29%		-61.9	1.81%	0	-1.7	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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