Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $119.6000 (-1.81%) ($118.6000 - $122.6000) on Mon. Jun. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.81% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $119.6000(-1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(40%)    JETS(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -0.905% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.905% (StdDev 1.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

Resistance Level   $128.12
5 Day Moving Average   $121.02(-1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $124.17(-3.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $128.12(-6.65%)
To recent high   -25.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $3.431b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 3.86% (three month std-dev: 1.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.43%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.74%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.96%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -3.41%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 15.15%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2015	144.81	128.12	124.17	121.02	120.68	121.04	119.6(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	10	-25	-141	0.33	29%	-0.19	-61.9	1.81%	0	-1.7	28	INF
2	Jun_5_2015	145.09	128.8	125.29	122.22	121.14	121.28	121.8(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-20	-6	-122	0.35	30%	-0.17	-63.5	1.8%	0	-1.5	28	INF
3	Jun_4_2015	145.34	129.16	126.12	123.38	122.48	120.31	120.1(-2.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-81	-150	-63	-136	0.47	30%	-0.19	-71.6	1.78%	0	-2.1	23	INF
4	Jun_3_2015	145.62	129.55	127.22	124.98	124.22	121.01	123(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-149	-200	-146	-158	1.47	31%	-0.19	-87.7	1.77%	0	-1.7	23	INF
5	Jun_2_2015	145.89	130.24	128.19	125.98	126.26	124.64	120.6(-3.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-127	-80	-122	-142	1.02	28%	-0.2	-85.8	1.74%	0	-2.6	14	INF

6	Jun_1_2015	146.18	131.25	129.28	127.74	127.77	127.43	125.6(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-52	-20	-37	-98	0.31	31%	-0.2	-74.5	1.69%	0	-1.5	17	INF
7	May_29_2015	146.48	131.77	129.95	128.78	128.53	127.89	127.6(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-40	-23	-79	0.24	31%	-0.2	-78.2	1.69%	0	-1.2	37	INF
8	May_28_2015	146.78	132.3	130.42	129.3	129.17	128.11	128.1(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-60	-50	-73	0.24	31%	-0.22	-78.1	1.71%	0	-1.1	53	INF
9	May_27_2015	147.1	132.95	131.06	129.84	129.95	129.18	128(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-40	-49	-46	0.3	31%	-0.21	-68.6	1.72%	0	-1.2	57	INF
10	May_26_2015	147.41	133.54	131.73	130.76	130.54	130.23	129.4(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-20	-27	-29	0.24	31%	-0.27	-64.9	1.72%	0	-1	39	INF

11	May_22_2015	147.81	134.07	132.36	131.04	131.11	130.73	130.8(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-20	-9	-30	0.25	31%	-0.12	-63.4	1.72%	0	-0.7	36	INF
12	May_21_2015	147.99	134.62	132.55	131.32	131.28	130.85	130.2(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-20	-30	-42	0.25	31%	-0.24	-60.6	1.73%	0	-0.9	44	INF
13	May_20_2015	148.35	135.25	132.43	131.72	131.75	131.5	130.8(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10	-22	-57	0.39	37%	-0.23	-62.3	1.75%	0	-0.9	41	INF
14	May_19_2015	148.69	135.77	132.07	132.48	132.33	131.7	132.6(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-40	-25	-80	0.27	37%	-0.23	-61.4	1.81%	0	-0.7	40	INF
15	May_18_2015	149.03	136.26	132.43	132.88	133.11	132	130.8(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-60	-50	-49	-93	0.26	34%	-0.22	-58.7	1.8%	0	-1.1	40	INF

16	May_15_2015	149.36	136.96	133.37	133.88	133.98	132.95	132.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-53	-50	-45	-77	0.39	34%	-0.12	-54	1.83%	0	-0.9	41	INF
17	May_14_2015	149.54	137.54	133.72	133.96	134.53	134.23	132.2(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-0	-5	-74	0.44	34%	-0.17	-54.6	1.85%	0	-1	38	INF
18	May_13_2015	149.8	138.27	134.31	133.16	133.93	135	134.6(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	19	70	50	-73	0.39	43%	-0.18	-58.8	1.85%	0	-0.7	40	INF
19	May_12_2015	150.07	138.8	134.92	131.52	131.94	134.83	134.6(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	25	160	60	-80	0.43	43%	-0.17	-67	2.06%	0	-0.8	42	INF
20	May_11_2015	150.33	139.32	135.42	131.96	130.88	132.86	135.8(2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	31	80	67	-78	0.55	43%	-0.15	-64.5	2.07%	0	-0.6	42	INF

21	May_8_2015	150.56	139.77	135.81	132.96	132.08	129.06	132.6(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-180	-32	-119	0.75	40%	-0.17	-56.6	2.03%	0	-1.3	35	INF
22	May_7_2015	150.81	140.52	136.76	133.6	134.16	128.9	128.2(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-201	-260	-206	-187	0.76	36%	-0.11	-50.3	2%	0	-2.2	30	INF
23	May_6_2015	150.97	141.5	138.29	135.64	136.53	135.1	126.4(-7.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-163	-50	-165	-156	1.49	36%	-0.07	-41.2	2%	0	-3.2	24	INF
24	May_5_2015	151.07	142.54	139.91	138.64	138.89	139.41	136.8(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	10	30	33	-60	0.9	43%	-0.03	-33	1.77%	0	-1.8	35	INF
25	May_4_2015	151.11	142.92	140.5	139.28	139.04	137.96	140.8(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-30	-60	-14	-77	0.63	46%		-37.9	1.76%	0	-0.7	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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