Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $120.1000 (-2.36%) ($119.6000 - $122.8000) on Thu. Jun. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $120.1000(-2.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(40%)    JETS(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $129.16
5 Day Moving Average   $123.38(-2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $126.12(-4.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $129.16(-7.01%)
To recent high   -24.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $3.445b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 3.31% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.49%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.96%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.81%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 7.31%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.19%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150704

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_4_2015	145.34	129.16	126.12	123.38	122.48	120.31	120.1(-2.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-81	-150	-63	-136	0.47	30%	-0.19	-71.6	1.78%	0	-2.1	23	0
2	Jun_3_2015	145.62	129.55	127.22	124.98	124.22	121.01	123(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-149	-200	-146	-158	1.47	31%	-0.19	-87.7	1.77%	0	-1.7	23	0
3	Jun_2_2015	145.89	130.24	128.19	125.98	126.26	124.64	120.6(-3.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-127	-80	-122	-142	1.02	28%	-0.2	-85.8	1.74%	0	-2.6	14	0
4	Jun_1_2015	146.18	131.25	129.28	127.74	127.77	127.43	125.6(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-52	-20	-37	-98	0.31	31%	-0.2	-74.5	1.69%	0	-1.5	17	0
5	May_29_2015	146.48	131.77	129.95	128.78	128.53	127.89	127.6(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-40	-23	-79	0.24	31%	-0.2	-78.2	1.69%	0	-1.2	37	0

6	May_28_2015	146.78	132.3	130.42	129.3	129.17	128.11	128.1(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-60	-50	-73	0.24	31%	-0.22	-78.1	1.71%	0	-1.1	53	0
7	May_27_2015	147.1	132.95	131.06	129.84	129.95	129.18	128(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-40	-49	-46	0.3	31%	-0.21	-68.6	1.72%	0	-1.2	57	0
8	May_26_2015	147.41	133.54	131.73	130.76	130.54	130.23	129.4(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-20	-27	-29	0.24	31%	-0.27	-64.9	1.72%	0	-1	39	0
9	May_22_2015	147.81	134.07	132.36	131.04	131.11	130.73	130.8(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-20	-9	-30	0.25	31%	-0.12	-63.4	1.72%	0	-0.7	36	0
10	May_21_2015	147.99	134.62	132.55	131.32	131.28	130.85	130.2(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-20	-30	-42	0.25	31%	-0.24	-60.6	1.73%	0	-0.9	44	0

11	May_20_2015	148.35	135.25	132.43	131.72	131.75	131.5	130.8(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10	-22	-57	0.39	37%	-0.23	-62.3	1.75%	0	-0.9	41	0
12	May_19_2015	148.69	135.77	132.07	132.48	132.33	131.7	132.6(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-40	-25	-80	0.27	37%	-0.23	-61.4	1.81%	0	-0.7	40	0
13	May_18_2015	149.03	136.26	132.43	132.88	133.11	132	130.8(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-60	-50	-49	-93	0.26	34%	-0.22	-58.7	1.8%	0	-1.1	40	0
14	May_15_2015	149.36	136.96	133.37	133.88	133.98	132.95	132.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-53	-50	-45	-77	0.39	34%	-0.12	-54	1.83%	0	-0.9	41	0
15	May_14_2015	149.54	137.54	133.72	133.96	134.53	134.23	132.2(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-0	-5	-74	0.44	34%	-0.17	-54.6	1.85%	0	-1	38	0

16	May_13_2015	149.8	138.27	134.31	133.16	133.93	135	134.6(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	19	70	50	-73	0.39	43%	-0.18	-58.8	1.85%	0	-0.7	40	0
17	May_12_2015	150.07	138.8	134.92	131.52	131.94	134.83	134.6(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	25	160	60	-80	0.43	43%	-0.17	-67	2.06%	0	-0.8	42	0
18	May_11_2015	150.33	139.32	135.42	131.96	130.88	132.86	135.8(2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	31	80	67	-78	0.55	43%	-0.15	-64.5	2.07%	0	-0.6	42	0
19	May_8_2015	150.56	139.77	135.81	132.96	132.08	129.06	132.6(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-180	-32	-119	0.75	40%	-0.17	-56.6	2.03%	0	-1.3	35	0
20	May_7_2015	150.81	140.52	136.76	133.6	134.16	128.9	128.2(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-201	-260	-206	-187	0.76	36%	-0.11	-50.3	2%	0	-2.2	30	0

21	May_6_2015	150.97	141.5	138.29	135.64	136.53	135.1	126.4(-7.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-163	-50	-165	-156	1.49	36%	-0.07	-41.2	2%	0	-3.2	24	0
22	May_5_2015	151.07	142.54	139.91	138.64	138.89	139.41	136.8(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	10	30	33	-60	0.9	43%	-0.03	-33	1.77%	0	-1.8	35	0
23	May_4_2015	151.11	142.92	140.5	139.28	139.04	137.96	140.8(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-30	-60	-14	-77	0.63	46%	-0.03	-37.9	1.76%	0	-0.7	42	0
24	May_1_2015	151.15	143.01	140.87	139.16	139.28	138.36	135.8(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-91	-40	-84	-110	0.83	45%	-0.06	-53.8	1.71%	0	-2.4	30	0
25	Apr_30_2015	151.24	143.33	141.73	140.46	140.53	140.11	138.4(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-20	-24	-78	0.51	47%		-69	1.71%	0	-2	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.