Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $159.6000 (-0.87%) ($156.2000 - $160.8000) on Wed. Mar. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.55% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $159.6000(-0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(40%)    IVE(37%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.275% (StdDev 2.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $162.56(-1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $162.39(-1.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $157.45(1.37%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $4.578b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 4.18% (three month std-dev: 2.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.63%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.83%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.27%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.29%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 9.62%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.12%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2015	148.27	157.45	162.39	162.56	162.23	160.3	159.6(-0.87%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-45	-90	-67	22	0.35	83%	0.28	69.6	2.55%	0	0.3	62	0
2	Mar_3_2015	147.85	156.92	162.12	163.68	163.74	162.55	161(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-50	-37	55	0.32	83%	0.33	77.9	2.55%	0	0.6	67	0
3	Mar_2_2015	147.37	156.13	162.16	163.8	164.19	164.15	162.6(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	10	-13	84	0.41	83%	0.31	75.1	2.56%	0	0.9	68	0
4	Feb_27_2015	146.91	155.18	161.86	164.04	163.89	164.94	163.6(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	40	20	119	0.36	83%	0.25	71.8	2.53%	0	1.1	70	0
5	Feb_26_2015	146.54	154.33	160.52	163.92	163.47	164.23	166(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	72	20	51	134	0.76	83%	0.26	70.9	2.54%	0	1.6	71	0

6	Feb_25_2015	146.16	152.99	159.1	162.2	162.2	162.84	165.2(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	30	30	121	0.59	83%	0.26	61.3	2.54%	0	1.6	73	0
7	Feb_24_2015	145.78	151.8	157.45	160.36	160.62	162.71	161.6(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	100	36	111	0.31	83%	0.21	53.9	2.53%	0	1.3	66	0
8	Feb_23_2015	145.48	150.89	156.23	160.28	159.56	161.56	163.8(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	88	70	72	135	0.42	83%	0.21	54	2.52%	0	1.8	72	0
9	Feb_20_2015	145.18	149.97	154.62	159.4	158.95	158.53	163(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	67	-30	47	128	0.61	83%	0.23	56.4	2.52%	0	2	73	0
10	Feb_19_2015	144.85	149.24	153.18	156.64	157.79	157.55	157.4(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	10	-15	84	0.54	82%	0.19	52.8	2.5%	0	1.4	63	0

11	Feb_18_2015	144.58	148.51	152.06	155.48	156.51	159.38	156(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	150	59	116	0.72	82%	0.17	43.9	2.51%	0	1.4	69	0
12	Feb_17_2015	144.34	147.95	151.28	153.96	154.51	158.03	161.2(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	139	170	136	146	1.04	89%	0.28	35.4	2.5%	0	2.6	70	0
13	Feb_13_2015	143.94	147.16	149.54	151.56	151.55	153.65	159.4(6.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	90	100	85	106	2.86	80%	0.2	19.5	2.52%	0	2.9	65	0
14	Feb_12_2015	143.65	146.42	147.86	151.56	149.9	151	149.2(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	50	60	44	67	1.88	79%	0.11	-10.6	2.42%	0	0.9	53	0
15	Feb_11_2015	143.49	146.31	147.62	149.24	148.9	149.45	151.6(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	20	20	52	0.7	81%	0.13	-28.2	2.46%	0	1.8	51	0

16	Feb_10_2015	143.31	146.16	146.39	149.24	148.85	148.8	148.4(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	10	14	33	0.59	81%	0.09	-54.7	2.53%	0	0.8	56	0
17	Feb_9_2015	143.18	146.13	145.73	148.12	148.39	148.35	149.2(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	0	1	23	0.51	81%	0.07	-67.2	2.53%	0	1.1	54	0
18	Feb_6_2015	143.08	146.35	145.18	147.16	147.83	148.9	147.8(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	60	27	21	0.43	81%	0.07	-71.9	2.53%	0	0.4	51	0
19	Feb_5_2015	142.98	146.74	144.99	146.24	146.75	148.43	149.2(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	90	50	22	0.57	81%	0.07	-75.6	2.53%	0	0.6	53	0
20	Feb_4_2015	142.88	147.15	144.97	145.76	145.56	146.75	146(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	50	55	24	0.37	84%	0.05	-71.8	2.54%	0	-0.2	48	0

21	Feb_3_2015	142.81	147.71	144.7	144.36	144.34	145.08	148.4(2.77%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	27	40	37	-5	0.45	84%	0.07	-77.6	2.66%	0	0.1	48	0
22	Feb_2_2015	142.71	148.04	144.35	143	142.9	144.38	144.4(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	70	21	-28	0.52	83%	0.01	-86.5	2.64%	0	-0.6	45	0
23	Jan_30_2015	142.7	148.8	144.56	142.92	142.4	143.6	143.2(-2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	13	50	25	-23	0.6	89%	0.02	-78.8	3.83%	0	-0.9	37	0
24	Jan_29_2015	142.67	149.85	144.85	143.56	142.5	141.43	146.8(5.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	-70	-11	-45	0.94	85%	0.04	-73.7	3.83%	0	-0.5	37	0
25	Jan_28_2015	142.62	150.67	144.86	144.2	143.99	141.2	139(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-51	-140	-46	-67	0.56	83%		-59.1	3.8%	0	-1.7	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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