Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $149.2000 (0.95%) ($147.0000 - $151.2000) on Mon. Feb. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $149.2000(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(40%)    IVE(37%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.265% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $148.12(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $145.73(2.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $146.13(2.1%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $4.28b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 2.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2015	143.18	146.13	145.73	148.12	148.39	148.35	149.2(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	0	1	23	0.51	81%	0.07	-67.2	2.53%	0	1.1	54	0
2	Feb_6_2015	143.08	146.35	145.18	147.16	147.83	148.9	147.8(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	60	27	21	0.43	81%	0.07	-71.9	2.53%	0	0.4	51	0
3	Feb_5_2015	142.98	146.74	144.99	146.24	146.75	148.43	149.2(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	90	50	22	0.57	81%	0.07	-75.6	2.53%	0	0.6	53	0
4	Feb_4_2015	142.88	147.15	144.97	145.76	145.56	146.75	146(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	50	55	24	0.37	84%	0.05	-71.8	2.54%	0	-0.2	48	0
5	Feb_3_2015	142.81	147.71	144.7	144.36	144.34	145.08	148.4(2.77%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	27	40	37	-5	0.45	84%	0.07	-77.6	2.66%	0	0.1	48	0

6	Feb_2_2015	142.71	148.04	144.35	143	142.9	144.38	144.4(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	70	21	-28	0.52	83%	0.01	-86.5	2.64%	0	-0.6	45	0
7	Jan_30_2015	142.7	148.8	144.56	142.92	142.4	143.6	143.2(-2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	13	50	25	-23	0.6	89%	0.02	-78.8	3.83%	0	-0.9	37	0
8	Jan_29_2015	142.67	149.85	144.85	143.56	142.5	141.43	146.8(5.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	-70	-11	-45	0.94	85%	0.04	-73.7	3.83%	0	-0.5	37	0
9	Jan_28_2015	142.62	150.67	144.86	144.2	143.99	141.2	139(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-51	-140	-46	-67	0.56	83%	0.04	-59.1	3.8%	0	-1.7	23	0
10	Jan_27_2015	142.57	151.97	145.95	145.04	145.42	143.58	141.6(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-55	-80	-49	-72	0.54	83%	0.06	-51.9	3.79%	0	-1.5	27	0

11	Jan_26_2015	142.49	153.04	146.66	145.8	145.99	146.78	144(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	40	-9	-59	0.52	83%	0.05	-44.4	3.8%	0	-1.2	34	0
12	Jan_23_2015	142.42	153.76	147.69	146.36	146.05	147.27	146.4(-2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	12	50	31	-46	0.4	83%	0.04	-34.5	3.8%	0	-1	31	0
13	Jan_22_2015	142.36	154.48	148.66	146.28	145.57	145.2	150(4.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-30	5	-65	0.65	83%	0.05	-20.9	3.79%	0	-0.6	30	0
14	Jan_21_2015	142.29	154.94	149.44	145.76	145.78	144.83	143.2(-1.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-41	-50	-26	-87	0.63	82%	0.01	-11.6	3.75%	0	-1.6	19	0
15	Jan_20_2015	142.27	155.75	150.94	147.04	146.62	145.95	145.4(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-36	-40	-20	-85	0.53	82%	0.06	2.1	3.74%	0	-1.5	19	0

16	Jan_16_2015	142.18	156.34	152	147.64	147.49	146.73	146.8(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-40	-24	-91	0.64	82%	0.11	13.1	3.72%	0	-1.6	26	0
17	Jan_15_2015	142.03	156.31	153.35	149.24	148.85	147.29	146(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-80	-40	-87	0.67	84%	0.11	22.4	3.73%	0	-1.8	36	0
18	Jan_14_2015	141.87	156.01	155.25	151.4	151.28	148.25	147.4(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-63	-140	-58	-79	0.49	84%	0.13	25.1	3.78%	0	-1.5	35	0
19	Jan_13_2015	141.68	155.78	156.96	153.72	153.95	150.41	149.6(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-77	-160	-79	-70	0.54	80%	0.16	29.6	3.79%	0	-0.9	40	0
20	Jan_12_2015	141.45	155.61	158.51	155.44	156.68	154.3	148.4(-4.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-56	-80	-59	-48	0.65	80%	0.17	32.9	3.81%	0	-0.9	39	0

21	Jan_9_2015	141.21	155.55	160.04	156.92	158.17	157.49	154.8(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10	-25	-20	0.55	78%	0.22	35.8	3.88%	0	-0.1	51	0
22	Jan_8_2015	140.9	155.05	160.43	158.04	158.27	159.06	156.8(-1.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-9	40	-13	3	0.82	78%	0.23	35.4	3.88%	0	0.2	70	0
23	Jan_7_2015	140.58	154.54	160.85	159.72	159.55	158.85	159(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	13	-30	4	41	0.87	74%	0.26	39.4	3.87%	0	0.5	78	0
24	Jan_6_2015	140.22	153.68	160.9	160.8	160.81	157.48	158.2(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-29	-140	-53	42	0.74	74%	0.26	39.2	3.9%	0	0.5	71	0
25	Jan_5_2015	139.86	153.06	160.97	162.16	162.51	160.25	155.8(-2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-36	-90	-68	59	0.49	74%		39.7	3.9%	0	0.3	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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