Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $157.8000 (-1.74%) ($157.4000 - $161.4200) on Wed. Dec. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.84% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $157.8000(-1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(40%)    IVE(37%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.92% (StdDev 3.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $158.32(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $150.62(4.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $148.71(6.11%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   36.7%
Market Cap   $4.526b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 4.42% (three month std-dev: 3.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 3.91%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.64%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 5.79%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.48%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 13.41%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.08%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2014	136.81	148.71	150.62	158.32	158.65	159.83	157.8(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	60	30	92	0.2	74%	0.12	41.6	3.84%	0	1.4	58	0
2	Dec_23_2014	136.64	148.29	149.17	155.52	156.54	159.49	160.6(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	84	150	82	91	0.57	74%	0.15	34	3.83%	0	2	58	0
3	Dec_22_2014	136.44	147.68	147.59	150.72	151.58	157.46	159(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	95	290	103	70	0.46	74%	0.22	12.7	3.84%	0	2	60	0
4	Dec_19_2014	136.14	147.16	145.72	146.96	146.55	153.6	158.4(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	118	330	139	56	1.01	74%	0.22	-12.7	3.85%	0	2.3	59	0
5	Dec_18_2014	135.84	146.6	144.26	144.16	143.16	145.7	155.8(8.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	81	100	101	19	1.62	74%	0.21	-39.9	3.85%	0	2.1	53	0

6	Dec_17_2014	135.56	146.02	143.3	142.04	141.51	139.5	143.8(5.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-30	-110	-24	-48	1.04	71%	0.13	-80.3	3.71%	0	-0.6	42	0
7	Dec_16_2014	135.38	146.21	143.84	142	142.61	140.62	136.6(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-61	-80	-60	-65	0.58	69%	0.07	-91.8	3.66%	0	-2.6	30	0
8	Dec_15_2014	135.29	146.98	144.92	143.88	144.23	143.52	140.2(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-30	-16	-40	0.54	66%	0.12	-90.7	3.64%	0	-2.2	35	0
9	Dec_12_2014	135.13	147.8	145.7	144.04	144.24	144.6	144.4(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	20	1	-35	0.97	66%	0.16	-75.2	3.64%	0	-1	40	0
10	Dec_11_2014	134.91	148.33	146.29	144.24	143.49	144.95	145.2(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	60	9	-29	0.42	66%	0.15	-63.2	3.65%	0	-0.9	45	0

11	Dec_10_2014	134.71	149.12	146.77	144.8	143.9	143.88	143.6(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	4	-20	12	-20	0.47	69%	0.14	-38.2	3.65%	0	-1.2	50	0
12	Dec_9_2014	134.52	149.73	147.49	146.04	144.94	142.03	146(3.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-160	-36	-28	0.67	69%	0.16	-32	3.72%	0	-0.8	49	0
13	Dec_8_2014	134.31	149.89	147.88	146.2	146.15	143.93	141(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-68	-110	-76	-45	0.89	69%	0.11	-30.6	3.69%	0	-2	34	0
14	Dec_5_2014	134.16	150.4	148.87	147.54	148.31	147.85	145.4(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10	-24	-23	0.44	66%	0.16	-21.6	3.68%	0	-1.2	31	0
15	Dec_4_2014	133.94	150.68	149.23	148.58	149.86	148.38	148(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-40	-11	-18	0.42	66%	0.17	19.8	3.69%	0	-0.7	37	0

16	Dec_3_2014	133.71	150.9	149	149.02	150.29	148.78	149.8(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-40	-41	-44	0.75	66%	0.16	67.3	3.7%	0	-0.3	31	0
17	Dec_2_2014	133.49	151.23	148.77	149.22	150.96	151.34	146.8(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	50	-10	-39	0.82	68%	0.13	109.4	3.69%	0	-1.1	39	0
18	Dec_1_2014	133.32	151.3	149.22	149.86	151.11	151.81	147.7(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	10	60	20	-21	1.02	68%	0.13	151.3	3.72%	0	-0.9	51	0
19	Nov_28_2014	133.15	151.28	150.08	150.36	150.43	150.58	150.6(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	10	3	-19	0.25	68%	0.17	184	3.72%	0	-0.2	52	0
20	Nov_26_2014	132.93	149.91	150.5	149.96	150.5	150.4	150.2(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	10	8	-15	0.27	68%	0.18	68.4	3.7%	0	0	51	0

21	Nov_25_2014	132.69	148.36	151.57	148.94	150.11	150.28	150.8(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	30	6	-13	0.35	68%	0.17	55	3.7%	0	0.2	49	0
22	Nov_24_2014	132.47	146.95	152.05	148.26	149.12	150.6	150(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	90	8	-18	0.4	68%	0.14	47	3.7%	0	0.2	43	0
23	Nov_21_2014	132.29	145.51	151.97	148.54	149.09	149.95	150.2(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	13	50	20	-10	0.83	68%	0.13	43.5	3.7%	0	0.3	54	0
24	Nov_20_2014	132.12	144.14	152	149.86	149.86	147.64	148.6(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-100	-27	-18	1.38	68%	0.14	44.7	3.7%	0	0.3	55	0
25	Nov_19_2014	131.93	142.98	152.24	151.22	151.58	148.24	145.1(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-67	-150	-88	-4	0.82	68%		46.1	3.69%	0	0.1	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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