Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $139.0000 (0%) ($136.6000 - $139.6000) on Tue. Sep. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.84% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $139.0000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(39%)    SPY(36%)    VT(35%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.42% (StdDev 2.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $140.78(-1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $139.3(-0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $134.81(3.11%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   20.7%
Market Cap   $3.987b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 4.85% (three month std-dev: 2.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.22%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.7%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.76%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.36%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2014	127.21	134.81	139.3	140.78	141.02	139.98	139(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-50	-26	41	0.51	60%	-0.01	87	2.84%	0	0.6	65	INF
2	Sep_15_2014	127.22	134.05	139.5	139.74	140.94	141.8	139(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	70	18	71	0.64	60%	-0.04	80.6	2.84%	0	0.7	67	INF
3	Sep_12_2014	127.27	133.14	139.24	138.82	139.27	142.07	143.1(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	74	150	66	99	0.6	66%	-0.04	73	2.85%	0	1.3	74	INF
4	Sep_11_2014	127.32	131.85	138.23	138.82	136.94	140.08	140.8(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	80	150	72	103	0.61	66%	-0.06	63.7	2.85%	0	1.2	74	INF
5	Sep_10_2014	127.4	130.6	137.25	137.48	136.08	136.48	142(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	-10	36	99	0.89	66%	-0.09	56.2	2.85%	0	1.4	75	INF

6	Sep_9_2014	127.51	129.35	135.99	137.8	136.94	133.8	133.8(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-29	-180	-64	76	0.83	65%	-0.12	44.1	2.75%	0	0.5	69	INF
7	Sep_8_2014	127.66	128.7	135.39	139.28	139	135.68	134.4(-1.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-52	-170	-97	83	0.87	65%	0.05	37.8	2.82%	0	0.7	72	INF
8	Sep_5_2014	127.59	127.95	134.63	139.6	140.65	140.08	136.4(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10	-27	128	0.74	65%	-0.09	33.2	2.81%	0	1	80	INF
9	Sep_4_2014	127.71	127.08	133.52	138.88	139.78	142.33	140.8(-1.95%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	88	150	59	174	0.61	69%	-0.01	25.6	2.78%	0	1.6	91	INF
10	Sep_3_2014	127.72	126.14	131.93	136.84	137.11	141.23	143.6(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	142	220	123	200	0.81	69%	0.02	17.9	2.78%	0	2.3	99	INF

11	Sep_2_2014	127.7	125.85	129.95	133.96	133.79	137.23	141.2(3.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	138	180	122	187	1.21	62%	-0.07	16.9	2.78%	0	2.1	90	INF
12	Aug_29_2014	127.79	125.64	128.06	131.04	131.02	132.99	136(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	96	100	79	146	0.8	59%	-0.04	13.9	2.86%	0	1.4	76	INF
13	Aug_28_2014	127.84	125.22	126.44	129	128.93	130.36	132.8(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	66	80	48	118	0.59	59%	-0.12	9.6	2.86%	0	1.1	75	INF
14	Aug_27_2014	128	124.98	124.85	127.36	127.43	129.05	130.6(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	90	47	100	0.36	59%	-0.14	7.4	2.88%	0	0.8	73	INF
15	Aug_26_2014	128.18	124.79	123.33	126.24	126.11	127.5	129.2(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	70	44	77	0.53	59%	-0.16	4.5	2.87%	0	0.7	58	INF

16	Aug_25_2014	128.38	124.61	122.12	125.32	125.21	125.8	126.6(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	30	28	25	0.3	59%	-0.24	1.9	2.89%	0	0.3	31	INF
17	Aug_22_2014	128.69	124.64	121.45	124.6	124.66	124.73	125.8(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	10	16	-17	0.35	62%	-0.26	0.6	2.95%	0	0.2	32	INF
18	Aug_21_2014	129.03	124.56	120.76	123.44	123.84	124.63	124.6(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	50	24	-40	0.34	62%	-0.3	-5.5	2.96%	0	0	47	INF
19	Aug_20_2014	129.42	124.49	120.18	121.88	122.36	124.6	125(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	140	58	-56	0.5	62%	-0.3	-12.7	2.97%	0	0.1	47	INF
20	Aug_19_2014	129.81	124.49	119.92	119.92	120.24	123.05	124.6(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	39	170	76	-73	0.46	62%	-0.25	-21.6	2.97%	0	0	48	INF

21	Aug_18_2014	130.13	124.48	121.33	118.44	118.39	120.13	123(2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	24	100	56	-74	0.71	62%	-0.27	-30.1	2.97%	0	-0.2	49	INF
22	Aug_15_2014	130.48	124.6	122.87	117.92	117.65	117.43	120(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-20	11	-81	0.67	62%	-0.3	-35.4	2.95%	0	-0.7	44	INF
23	Aug_14_2014	130.87	124.92	123.77	117.76	117.96	116.65	116.8(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-70	-31	-94	0.4	62%	-0.32	-40.5	2.93%	0	-1.3	46	INF
24	Aug_13_2014	131.29	125.32	125.07	118.22	118.63	117.88	115.2(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-30	-43	-86	0.86	62%	-0.36	-45	2.98%	0	-1.6	46	INF
25	Aug_12_2014	131.76	125.92	126.41	119.86	119.65	119.28	117.2(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-30	-29	-63	0.88	62%		-45.3	3%	0	-1.5	45	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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