Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $142.0000 (6.13%) ($133.8000 - $143.2000) on Wed. Sep. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.85% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $142.0000(6.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(39%)    SPY(36%)    VT(35%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.425% (StdDev 2.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $137.48(3.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $137.25(3.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $130.6(8.73%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   23.3%
Market Cap   $4.073b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 6.28% (three month std-dev: 2.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.1%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.14%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 6.87%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -3.76%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 6.54%(77%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.54%(23%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2014	127.4	130.6	137.25	137.48	136.08	136.48	142(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	-10	36	99	0.89	66%	-0.09	56.2	2.85%	0	1.4	75	0
2	Sep_9_2014	127.51	129.35	135.99	137.8	136.94	133.8	133.8(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-29	-180	-64	76	0.83	65%	-0.12	44.1	2.75%	0	0.5	69	0
3	Sep_8_2014	127.66	128.7	135.39	139.28	139	135.68	134.4(-1.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-52	-170	-97	83	0.87	65%	0.05	37.8	2.82%	0	0.7	72	0
4	Sep_5_2014	127.59	127.95	134.63	139.6	140.65	140.08	136.4(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10	-27	128	0.74	65%	-0.09	33.2	2.81%	0	1	80	0
5	Sep_4_2014	127.71	127.08	133.52	138.88	139.78	142.33	140.8(-1.95%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	88	150	59	174	0.61	69%	-0.01	25.6	2.78%	0	1.6	91	0

6	Sep_3_2014	127.72	126.14	131.93	136.84	137.11	141.23	143.6(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	142	220	123	200	0.81	69%	0.02	17.9	2.78%	0	2.3	99	0
7	Sep_2_2014	127.7	125.85	129.95	133.96	133.79	137.23	141.2(3.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	138	180	122	187	1.21	62%	-0.07	16.9	2.78%	0	2.1	90	0
8	Aug_29_2014	127.79	125.64	128.06	131.04	131.02	132.99	136(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	96	100	79	146	0.8	59%	-0.04	13.9	2.86%	0	1.4	76	0
9	Aug_28_2014	127.84	125.22	126.44	129	128.93	130.36	132.8(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	66	80	48	118	0.59	59%	-0.12	9.6	2.86%	0	1.1	75	0
10	Aug_27_2014	128	124.98	124.85	127.36	127.43	129.05	130.6(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	90	47	100	0.36	59%	-0.14	7.4	2.88%	0	0.8	73	0

11	Aug_26_2014	128.18	124.79	123.33	126.24	126.11	127.5	129.2(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	70	44	77	0.53	59%	-0.16	4.5	2.87%	0	0.7	58	0
12	Aug_25_2014	128.38	124.61	122.12	125.32	125.21	125.8	126.6(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	30	28	25	0.3	59%	-0.24	1.9	2.89%	0	0.3	31	0
13	Aug_22_2014	128.69	124.64	121.45	124.6	124.66	124.73	125.8(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	10	16	-17	0.35	62%	-0.26	0.6	2.95%	0	0.2	32	0
14	Aug_21_2014	129.03	124.56	120.76	123.44	123.84	124.63	124.6(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	50	24	-40	0.34	62%	-0.3	-5.5	2.96%	0	0	47	0
15	Aug_20_2014	129.42	124.49	120.18	121.88	122.36	124.6	125(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	140	58	-56	0.5	62%	-0.3	-12.7	2.97%	0	0.1	47	0

16	Aug_19_2014	129.81	124.49	119.92	119.92	120.24	123.05	124.6(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	39	170	76	-73	0.46	62%	-0.25	-21.6	2.97%	0	0	48	0
17	Aug_18_2014	130.13	124.48	121.33	118.44	118.39	120.13	123(2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	24	100	56	-74	0.71	62%	-0.27	-30.1	2.97%	0	-0.2	49	0
18	Aug_15_2014	130.48	124.6	122.87	117.92	117.65	117.43	120(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-20	11	-81	0.67	62%	-0.3	-35.4	2.95%	0	-0.7	44	0
19	Aug_14_2014	130.87	124.92	123.77	117.76	117.96	116.65	116.8(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-70	-31	-94	0.4	62%	-0.32	-40.5	2.93%	0	-1.3	46	0
20	Aug_13_2014	131.29	125.32	125.07	118.22	118.63	117.88	115.2(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-30	-43	-86	0.86	62%	-0.36	-45	2.98%	0	-1.6	46	0

21	Aug_12_2014	131.76	125.92	126.41	119.86	119.65	119.28	117.2(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-30	-29	-63	0.88	62%	-0.35	-45.3	3%	0	-1.5	45	0
22	Aug_11_2014	132.22	126.5	127.43	124.7	119.75	119.39	120.4(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-72	-140	-82	-41	0.58	62%	-0.35	-22.6	2.98%	0	-1.1	49	0
23	Aug_8_2014	132.68	126.96	128.26	128.7	124.73	120.03	119.2(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-36	-360	-51	9	0.94	69%	-0.38	-2.6	3.1%	0	-1.4	47	0
24	Aug_7_2014	133.18	127.6	128.91	130.7	128.81	120.11	119.1(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-138	-520	-175	-26	1.09	54%	-0.34	6.5	3.19%	0	-1.7	46	0
25	Aug_6_2014	133.64	128.18	129.48	132.76	130.82	129.44	123.4(-12.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-89	-120	-119	0	3.1	56%		19.3	4.09%	0	-1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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