Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $135.6000 (4.47%) ($130.0000 - $143.2000) on Tue. Jun. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.75% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $135.6000(4.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(39%)    SPY(36%)    VT(35%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.875% (StdDev 3.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4%

5 Day Moving Average   $127.88(6.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $125.92(7.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $121.8(11.33%)
To recent high   -16.7%
To recent low   27.2%
Market Cap   $3.889b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 4.78% (three month std-dev: 3.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.2%(25%) Average negative next day return: -3.4%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.2%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -5.49%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.23%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.83%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2014	150.54	121.8	125.92	127.88	127.87	131.23	135.6(4.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	98	180	97	101	1.83	53%	-0.47	31.4	3.75%	0	2.4	81	INF
2	Jun_23_2014	151.25	121.19	124.45	126.16	125.8	125.76	129.8(5.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10	24	74	1.05	50%	-0.53	30.8	3.71%	0	1.7	80	INF
3	Jun_20_2014	152.06	120.92	123.69	125.08	125.54	124.5	123(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-50	-22	66	0.4	46%	-0.63	32.1	3.64%	0	0.4	78	INF
4	Jun_19_2014	153.02	120.74	123.12	125.44	125.74	125.85	124.8(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	10	-7	76	0.63	46%	-0.56	33.2	3.65%	0	0.9	61	INF
5	Jun_18_2014	153.88	120.37	122.33	124.5	125.84	126.58	126.2(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	70	29	80	0.64	46%	-0.56	24.9	3.66%	0	1.2	58	INF

6	Jun_17_2014	154.74	120	121.19	123.54	124.38	125.63	127(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	90	22	62	0.84	46%	-0.48	12.9	3.66%	0	1.6	55	INF
7	Jun_16_2014	155.48	119.65	119.7	122.5	123.09	125.1	124.4(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	130	33	43	0.55	46%	-0.53	4.9	3.65%	0	1.1	47	INF
8	Jun_13_2014	156.31	119.41	118.29	122.14	122.51	123.14	124.8(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	50	47	26	1.53	44%	-0.57	1.8	3.65%	0	1.3	47	INF
9	Jun_12_2014	157.21	119.18	117.49	120.5	121.17	121.09	120.1(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	10	1	-8	0.46	40%	-0.61	-0.9	3.64%	0	0.2	51	INF
10	Jun_11_2014	158.18	119.21	117.4	119.76	120.16	121.88	121.4(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	110	26	-1	0.48	40%	-0.62	10.1	3.68%	0	0.6	56	INF

11	Jun_10_2014	159.17	119.42	117.35	118.4	118.74	121.25	121.8(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	160	66	8	0.63	40%	-0.24	-7.7	3.69%	0	0.6	53	INF
12	Jun_9_2014	159.56	119.45	117.58	116.42	116.45	118.45	122.6(5.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	45	120	61	-4	1	40%	-0.6	-36.3	3.69%	0	0.7	51	INF
13	Jun_6_2014	160.53	119.35	117.76	113.9	114.18	116.23	116.6(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	14	130	29	-30	0.26	35%	-0.66	-74.6	3.63%	0	-0.7	46	INF
14	Jun_5_2014	161.59	119.22	118.06	114.1	113.49	114.45	116.4(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	40	23	-34	0.6	35%	-0.66	-98.1	3.63%	0	-0.6	44	INF
15	Jun_4_2014	162.67	118.82	118.21	114.78	114.19	112.14	114.6(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-140	-30	-55	0.8	35%	-0.71	-107.4	3.62%	0	-0.8	42	INF

16	Jun_3_2014	163.84	119.75	118.72	116.22	116.34	112.53	111.9(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-84	-230	-87	-76	0.66	35%	-0.67	-91.1	3.63%	0	-1.3	31	INF
17	Jun_2_2014	164.95	121	119.7	118.92	119.2	116.24	110(-6.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-85	-170	-93	-61	1.71	35%	-0.75	-72.4	3.63%	0	-1.6	35	INF
18	May_30_2014	166.2	122.54	120.83	122.08	122.23	120.16	117.6(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-110	-39	-17	0.59	39%	-0.69	-55.7	3.58%	0	-0.6	47	INF
19	May_29_2014	167.35	123.67	121.21	122.48	123.3	122.16	119.8(-1.64%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-15	-40	-21	3	0.75	39%	-0.71	-52.5	3.6%	0	-0.4	62	INF
20	May_28_2014	168.54	124.61	121.35	122.04	122.45	124.3	121.8(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	120	7	29	0.69	39%	-0.7	-54.7	3.63%	0	-0.3	71	INF

21	May_27_2014	169.73	125.54	121.77	121.56	121.58	124.44	125.4(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	170	70	41	0.46	39%	-1.1	-57.4	3.62%	0	-0	45	INF
22	May_23_2014	171.61	126.23	121.47	120.68	120.01	120.6	125.8(5.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	20	34	3	0.66	47%	-0.66	-58.1	3.74%	0	-0	43	INF
23	May_22_2014	172.75	127.05	120.94	119.56	119.49	118.73	119.6(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-50	-15	-50	0.68	42%	-0.32	-58.5	3.7%	0	-0.6	36	INF
24	May_21_2014	173.3	128.41	120.39	119.84	120.03	119.43	117.6(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-30	-17	-82	0.87	31%	-0.69	-53.9	3.72%	0	-0.9	35	INF
25	May_20_2014	174.51	129.91	119.46	120.52	120.36	120.26	119.4(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10	-17	-94	0.62	31%		-48.6	4.6%	0	-0.8	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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