Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $119.8000 (-1.64%) ($119.5000 - $125.0000) on Thu. May. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.6% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $119.8000(-1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(41%)    XRT(39%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.8% (StdDev 3.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

Resistance Level   $123.67
5 Day Moving Average   $122.48(-2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $121.21(-1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $123.67(-3.13%)
To recent high   -31%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $3.436b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 7.03% (three month std-dev: 3.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -6.36%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.47%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -24.86%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2014	167.35	123.67	121.21	122.48	123.3	122.16	119.8(-1.64%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-15	-40	-21	3	0.75	39%	-0.71	-52.5	3.6%	0	-0.4	62	0
2	May_28_2014	168.54	124.61	121.35	122.04	122.45	124.3	121.8(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	120	7	29	0.69	39%	-0.7	-54.7	3.63%	0	-0.3	71	0
3	May_27_2014	169.73	125.54	121.77	121.56	121.58	124.44	125.4(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	170	70	41	0.46	39%	-1.1	-57.4	3.62%	0	-0	45	0
4	May_23_2014	171.61	126.23	121.47	120.68	120.01	120.6	125.8(5.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	20	34	3	0.66	47%	-0.66	-58.1	3.74%	0	-0	43	0
5	May_22_2014	172.75	127.05	120.94	119.56	119.49	118.73	119.6(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-50	-15	-50	0.68	42%	-0.32	-58.5	3.7%	0	-0.6	36	0

6	May_21_2014	173.3	128.41	120.39	119.84	120.03	119.43	117.6(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-30	-17	-82	0.87	31%	-0.69	-53.9	3.72%	0	-0.9	35	0
7	May_20_2014	174.51	129.91	119.46	120.52	120.36	120.26	119.4(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10	-17	-94	0.62	31%	-0.63	-48.6	4.6%	0	-0.8	37	0
8	May_19_2014	175.62	131.52	120.81	121.96	121.49	120.63	121(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-60	-5	-89	0.4	31%	-0.66	-41.3	4.62%	0	-0.8	37	0
9	May_16_2014	176.78	132.86	122.32	122.36	122.41	120.45	120.2(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-110	-24	-98	0.36	31%	-0.7	-37.9	4.59%	0	-1	38	0
10	May_15_2014	178.02	134.26	124.31	122.52	122.9	122.35	121(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-33	-20	-12	-94	0.79	31%	-0.33	-35.7	4.62%	0	-1	36	0

11	May_14_2014	178.61	135.36	126.25	120.94	122.19	124.38	121(-4.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	10	160	42	-85	0.98	31%	-0.67	-42.5	4.66%	0	-1.1	34	0
12	May_13_2014	179.82	136.45	128.07	118.06	118.83	123.45	126.6(2.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	290	50	-103	0.7	31%	-0.63	-52.3	4.64%	0	-0.8	36	0
13	May_12_2014	180.96	137.11	129.48	119.62	115.92	120.01	123(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	150	29	-114	0.85	31%	-0.63	-54.1	4.64%	0	-1.2	31	0
14	May_9_2014	182.11	137.99	131.22	122.58	119.48	114.2	121(6.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-390	-24	-129	2.02	29%	-0.64	-56.7	4.62%	0	-1.5	33	0
15	May_8_2014	183.28	139.08	133.52	126.74	124.9	111.82	113.1(6.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-207	-780	-212	-190	1.53	23%	-0.63	-58.2	4.55%	0	-2.4	25	0

16	May_7_2014	184.45	140.95	137.13	132.44	132.58	124.76	106.6(-20.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-202	-410	-216	-161	3.57	22%	-0.6	-60.2	4.5%	0	-3.8	25	0
17	May_6_2014	185.56	143.16	141.58	139.08	139.76	137.98	134.4(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-49	-70	-45	-61	1.4	29%	-0.41	-98.7	3.78%	0	-1.9	43	0
18	May_5_2014	186.32	143.91	143.39	140.56	140.64	140.4	137.8(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10	-21	-29	1.04	29%	-0.37	-105.5	3.77%	0	-1.5	52	0
19	May_2_2014	187.02	144.83	144.45	141.12	141.11	141.55	141.8(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	20	8	-6	0.66	29%	-0.37	-90.9	3.73%	0	-0.6	57	0
20	May_1_2014	187.71	145.66	145.09	141.52	141.09	140.88	141.6(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-20	-7	-2	0.79	29%	-0.33	-74.7	3.76%	0	-0.7	53	0

21	Apr_30_2014	188.34	146.66	145.21	142.82	141.76	140.66	139.8(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-80	-31	-10	0.86	32%	-0.34	-55.8	3.77%	0	-1	40	0
22	Apr_29_2014	188.98	147.77	145.49	144.54	143.81	141.31	141.8(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-140	-47	-12	0.65	32%	-0.28	-44.6	3.82%	0	-0.8	43	0
23	Apr_28_2014	189.51	148.51	145.3	146.7	146.19	142.85	140.6(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-57	-170	-70	-18	0.58	37%	-0.23	-39.9	3.82%	0	-1.1	40	0
24	Apr_25_2014	189.94	149.33	145.26	148.22	148.68	146.31	143.8(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-100	-51	-18	0.59	37%	-0.2	-40.1	3.86%	0	-0.8	34	0
25	Apr_24_2014	190.33	150.05	145.05	149.1	149.46	149.54	148.1(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	10	-11	-14	0.66	35%		-42.3	3.88%	0	-0.3	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.