Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $148.2000 (4.37%) ($143.4000 - $149.8000) on Thu. Apr. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.87% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $148.2000(4.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(41%)    XRT(39%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.935% (StdDev 3.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $133.09(-10.2%)
Resistance Level   $152.35
5 Day Moving Average   $141.92(4.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $145.04(2.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $152.35(-2.72%)
To recent high   -33.1%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $4.251b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 5.98% (three month std-dev: 3.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.66%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.14%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.65%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 6.42%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.11%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2014	191.61	152.35	145.04	141.92	141.69	143.9	148.2(4.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	32	100	63	-63	0.84	35%	-0.18	-66.2	3.87%	0	-0.5	39	0
2	Apr_16_2014	191.96	153.28	146	140.52	140.11	140.35	142(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	0	-1	-98	0.54	31%	-0.22	-68	3.82%	0	-1.2	29	0
3	Apr_15_2014	192.39	154.4	147.97	141.8	141.04	139.48	141.6(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-44	-90	-26	-98	0.89	31%	-0.22	-68.9	3.82%	0	-1.4	30	0
4	Apr_14_2014	192.81	155.71	150.03	142.96	143.16	139.88	138.8(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-70	-160	-59	-104	0.79	35%	-0.23	-67.4	3.81%	0	-1.9	22	0
5	Apr_11_2014	193.26	157.15	151.91	145	145.23	142.6	139(-1.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-91	-120	-85	-108	1.48	33%	-0.28	-67.6	3.87%	0	-2.2	21	0

6	Apr_10_2014	193.8	158.62	153.83	148.56	148.12	146.45	141.2(-4.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-62	-90	-54	-84	1.69	33%	-0.23	-68.3	3.9%	0	-2.4	20	0
7	Apr_9_2014	194.25	159.88	155.66	152.24	151.14	147.86	148.4(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-64	-170	-60	-77	1.23	35%	-0.26	-65.5	3.87%	0	-1.8	22	0
8	Apr_8_2014	194.75	161.06	156.65	155.12	154.46	149.79	147.4(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-94	-220	-98	-83	1.49	35%	-0.32	-59.1	3.87%	0	-2.3	30	0
9	Apr_7_2014	195.38	162.02	158.12	158.2	158.08	154.43	149(-4.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-79	-160	-83	-67	1.54	35%	-0.35	-59.8	3.87%	0	-2.5	28	0
10	Apr_4_2014	196.06	163	159.5	159.76	160.3	159.13	156.8(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-40	-36	-45	1.23	37%	-0.31	-60.4	3.8%	0	-1.3	36	0

11	Apr_3_2014	196.66	163.75	160.37	159.8	160.46	161.73	159.6(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	70	10	-28	0.7	37%	-0.24	-55.9	3.83%	0	-0.9	38	0
12	Apr_2_2014	197.14	164.28	161.14	159.56	159.73	161.48	162.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	30	80	44	-13	0.59	37%	-0.23	-56.5	3.84%	0	-0.3	47	0
13	Apr_1_2014	197.59	164.69	161.22	158.52	158.39	159.2	162.8(3.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	30	17	-37	0.71	37%	-0.2	-53.6	3.84%	0	-0.4	37	0
14	Mar_31_2014	197.98	165.2	161.62	158.24	158.35	157.98	156.8(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10	-7	-47	0.79	40%	-0.24	-50.8	3.83%	0	-1.7	41	0
15	Mar_28_2014	198.45	165.84	162.63	159.28	159.43	157.58	157(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-80	-31	-52	0.89	40%	-0.17	-37.3	3.86%	0	-1.9	38	0

16	Mar_27_2014	198.79	166.35	163.68	161.04	160.73	158.73	158.4(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	-90	-58	-58	0.96	40%	-0.22	-23.5	3.89%	0	-1.9	35	0
17	Mar_26_2014	199.23	166.98	164.38	162.96	163.2	161.28	157.6(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-39	-80	-37	-45	0.77	40%	-0.25	-53.3	3.89%	0	-2.4	37	0
18	Mar_25_2014	199.73	167.42	165.83	164.24	165.11	162.73	161.4(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-90	-42	-41	0.54	40%	-0.26	-101	3.89%	0	-1.9	39	0
19	Mar_24_2014	200.25	167.79	166.29	165.48	166.01	165.13	162(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-30	-41	-41	0.89	40%	-0.19	-115.9	3.93%	0	-1.5	37	0
20	Mar_21_2014	200.63	167.57	166.89	166.44	167.06	167.5	165.8(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	30	5	-19	0.94	40%	-0.08	-165.5	3.9%	0	-0.4	47	0

21	Mar_20_2014	200.8	167.36	167.47	166.72	167.28	166.9	168(2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10	8	-12	1.13	40%	-0.08	-97.4	3.93%	0	0.1	53	0
22	Mar_19_2014	200.96	169.03	167.68	166.08	166.89	166.63	164(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	0	-23	-28	0.87	40%	-0.13	-82.4	3.91%	0	-0.4	44	0
23	Mar_18_2014	201.22	170.72	168.43	167.68	167.54	167.65	167.6(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	4	0	6	-4	0.51	45%	-0.1	-69.7	3.93%	0	-0.2	54	0
24	Mar_17_2014	201.42	172.44	168.99	167.24	167.76	167.15	166.8(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	-20	-2	-5	0.78	45%	-0.15	-74.7	4.01%	0	-0.4	50	0
25	Mar_14_2014	201.73	174.45	169.24	167.4	167.54	167.43	167.2(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-0	-20	-1	1.11	45%		-66.9	4%	0	-0.5	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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