Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $162.8000 (0%) ($160.0000 - $164.8000) on Wed. Apr. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.84% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $162.8000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(41%)    XRT(39%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.92% (StdDev 3.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $156.2(-4.05%)
Resistance Level   $164.28
5 Day Moving Average   $159.56(2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $161.14(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.28(-0.9%)
To recent high   -32.6%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $4.67b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 2.85% (three month std-dev: 3.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.31%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.79%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.81%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.54%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140502

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_2_2014	197.14	164.28	161.14	159.56	159.73	161.48	162.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	30	80	44	-13	0.59	37%	-0.23	-56.5	3.84%	0	-0.3	47	NAN
2	Apr_1_2014	197.59	164.69	161.22	158.52	158.39	159.2	162.8(3.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	30	17	-37	0.71	37%	-0.2	-53.6	3.84%	0	-0.4	37	NAN
3	Mar_31_2014	197.98	165.2	161.62	158.24	158.35	157.98	156.8(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10	-7	-47	0.79	40%	-0.24	-50.8	3.83%	0	-1.7	41	NAN
4	Mar_28_2014	198.45	165.84	162.63	159.28	159.43	157.58	157(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-80	-31	-52	0.89	40%	-0.17	-37.3	3.86%	0	-1.9	38	NAN
5	Mar_27_2014	198.79	166.35	163.68	161.04	160.73	158.73	158.4(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	-90	-58	-58	0.96	40%	-0.22	-23.5	3.89%	0	-1.9	35	NAN

6	Mar_26_2014	199.23	166.98	164.38	162.96	163.2	161.28	157.6(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-39	-80	-37	-45	0.77	40%	-0.25	-53.3	3.89%	0	-2.4	37	NAN
7	Mar_25_2014	199.73	167.42	165.83	164.24	165.11	162.73	161.4(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-90	-42	-41	0.54	40%	-0.26	-101	3.89%	0	-1.9	39	NAN
8	Mar_24_2014	200.25	167.79	166.29	165.48	166.01	165.13	162(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-30	-41	-41	0.89	40%	-0.19	-115.9	3.93%	0	-1.5	37	NAN
9	Mar_21_2014	200.63	167.57	166.89	166.44	167.06	167.5	165.8(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	30	5	-19	0.94	40%	-0.08	-165.5	3.9%	0	-0.4	47	NAN
10	Mar_20_2014	200.8	167.36	167.47	166.72	167.28	166.9	168(2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10	8	-12	1.13	40%	-0.08	-97.4	3.93%	0	0.1	53	NAN

11	Mar_19_2014	200.96	169.03	167.68	166.08	166.89	166.63	164(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	0	-23	-28	0.87	40%	-0.13	-82.4	3.91%	0	-0.4	44	NAN
12	Mar_18_2014	201.22	170.72	168.43	167.68	167.54	167.65	167.6(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	4	0	6	-4	0.51	45%	-0.1	-69.7	3.93%	0	-0.2	54	NAN
13	Mar_17_2014	201.42	172.44	168.99	167.24	167.76	167.15	166.8(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	-20	-2	-5	0.78	45%	-0.15	-74.7	4.01%	0	-0.4	50	NAN
14	Mar_14_2014	201.73	174.45	169.24	167.4	167.54	167.43	167.2(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-0	-20	-1	1.11	45%	-0.13	-66.9	4%	0	-0.5	63	NAN
15	Mar_13_2014	201.99	176.68	169.19	168.36	168.26	168.38	164.8(-4.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	0	1	17	0.81	45%	-0.15	-56.4	4.03%	0	-0.7	56	NAN

16	Mar_12_2014	202.3	178.84	169.8	169.48	168.89	167.65	172(3.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-60	-11	-10	1.17	47%	-0.13	-52.3	4%	0	-0.4	35	NAN
17	Mar_11_2014	202.56	180.53	169.13	169.36	169.51	168.15	165.4(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-50	-40	-50	0.65	47%	-0.24	-51.1	3.98%	0	-0.8	35	NAN
18	Mar_10_2014	203.05	183.23	169.47	171	170.91	170.13	167.6(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-30	-16	-61	0.75	50%	-0.23	-43.1	3.98%	0	-0.7	34	NAN
19	Mar_7_2014	203.52	185.64	168.43	171.28	171.7	170.88	172(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	-30	1	-93	0.78	53%	-0.21	-40.2	4.05%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
20	Mar_6_2014	203.95	187.39	167.32	171.28	170.61	171.7	170.4(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	50	-6	-139	0.64	53%	-0.3	-43.5	4.08%	0	-0.8	31	NAN

21	Mar_5_2014	204.56	189.33	170.41	170.12	169.98	172.53	171.4(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	100	43	-123	0.7	53%	-0.26	-43.8	4.08%	0	-0.8	35	NAN
22	Mar_4_2014	205.1	191.27	173.01	168.88	169.66	169.53	173.6(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	10	39	-135	1.16	53%	-0.24	-45.9	4.08%	0	-0.8	36	NAN
23	Mar_3_2014	205.59	192.88	175.85	167.8	168.29	167.43	169(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-55	-30	-16	-173	1.05	55%	-0.27	-47.3	4.06%	0	-1.1	30	NAN
24	Feb_28_2014	206.15	194.95	179.73	165.12	167.56	169.8	166.2(-2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	140	29	-169	1.09	55%	-0.28	-51.5	4.04%	0	-1.3	31	NAN
25	Feb_27_2014	206.73	197.58	184.47	164	165.24	169.16	170.4(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	190	30	-167	2.02	55%		-54	4.06%	0	-1.3	38	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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