Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $168.2000 (8.1%) ($157.4000 - $170.0000) on Tue. Feb. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.04% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $168.2000(8.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -8.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)    XAR(34%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.02% (StdDev 4.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.9%

Resistance Level   $202.02
5 Day Moving Average   $178.08(-5.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $192.75(-12.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $202.02(-16.74%)
To recent high   -30.4%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $4.825b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 8.95% (three month std-dev: 4.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 5.36%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.93%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 4.2%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -8.37%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 7.77%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.51%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2014	207.56	202.02	192.75	178.08	174.34	161.33	168.2(8.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-145	-590	-132	-184	3.29	55%	-0.26	-46.8	4.04%	0	-1.9	35	0
2	Feb_24_2014	208.11	203.82	198.12	185.48	184.26	164.43	155.6(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-379	-770	-417	-264	2.92	51%	-0.36	-45	3.9%	0	-3	31	0
3	Feb_21_2014	208.87	206.6	204.65	196.4	196.6	187.35	160.6(-21.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-288	-330	-324	-179	6.98	48%	-0.32	-43.4	3.92%	0	-3.9	31	0
4	Feb_20_2014	209.55	209.44	209.85	207.32	207.49	204.1	205.58(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-110	-54	-39	2.32	59%	-0.15	-48.6	2.77%	0	-0.7	43	0
5	Feb_19_2014	209.86	209.91	210.28	208.16	209.25	205.85	200.4(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-97	-100	-111	-56	0.9	55%	-0.17	-55.3	2.87%	0	-1.8	47	0

6	Feb_18_2014	210.21	210.85	211.38	209.68	210.99	210.88	205.2(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	20	-39	-19	0.96	55%	-0.2	-49.6	2.95%	0	-1.1	48	0
7	Feb_14_2014	210.64	211.43	211.48	212.96	210.83	212.65	210.2(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	30	4	20	0.5	57%	-0.16	-45.4	2.93%	0	-0.2	59	0
8	Feb_13_2014	210.97	211.86	211.42	214.4	212.6	211.1	215.2(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-70	39	45	0.45	57%	-0.09	-44.1	2.96%	0	0.6	57	0
9	Feb_12_2014	211.17	212.08	211.55	212.84	212.73	209	209.8(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-62	-120	-81	-6	0.59	57%	-0.13	-60.4	2.94%	0	-0.4	49	0
10	Feb_11_2014	211.44	212.93	211.48	212.72	212.24	214.1	208(-6.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-32	50	-44	3	2.06	57%	-0.15	-59.3	2.96%	0	-0.7	47	0

11	Feb_10_2014	211.75	213.5	211.77	213.16	212.56	216.45	221.6(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	128	120	146	74	0.54	62%	-0.16	-69.3	2.86%	0	1.2	50	0
12	Feb_7_2014	212.08	213.84	209.6	209.8	209.8	210.38	217.4(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	20	44	1	0.63	61%	-0.16	-80.1	2.95%	0	0.5	50	0
13	Feb_6_2014	212.43	214.32	208.37	208.16	208.8	208.68	207.4(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	10	-24	-48	0.6	59%	-0.11	-84.2	2.97%	0	-0.8	41	0
14	Feb_5_2014	212.67	215.66	208.87	210.2	209.58	209.23	209.2(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-20	-13	-40	0.56	59%	-0.09	-70.3	2.99%	0	-0.7	41	0
15	Feb_4_2014	212.86	217.01	209.39	210.08	211.41	208.93	210.2(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-60	-12	-51	0.48	62%	-0.07	-60.1	3.01%	0	-0.7	37	0

16	Feb_3_2014	213.01	218.33	210.16	210.12	210.89	209.93	204.8(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-20	-56	-69	0.73	62%	-0.14	-55.1	3.1%	0	-1.2	41	0
17	Jan_31_2014	213.31	220.13	211.36	209.16	210.33	213.9	209.2(-3.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	30	140	53	-38	0.6	65%	-0.13	-54.6	3.27%	0	-1	37	0
18	Jan_30_2014	213.58	221.5	212.35	208.44	208.15	211.85	217.6(4.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	68	120	101	-31	0.58	68%	-0.06	-55.8	3.23%	0	-0.3	42	0
19	Jan_29_2014	213.71	222.34	212.53	207.48	206.12	206.75	208.6(-0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	0	16	-82	0.67	66%	-0.07	-57.7	3.22%	0	-1.2	32	0
20	Jan_28_2014	213.87	223.31	214.39	208.76	207.78	204.45	210.4(5.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-58	-130	-41	-107	0.54	63%	-0.06	-58.7	3.21%	0	-1.1	32	0

21	Jan_27_2014	213.99	224.52	215.32	210.48	209.89	205.49	200(-2.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-138	-160	-133	-151	0.84	61%	-0.07	-57.1	3.2%	0	-2.2	22	0
22	Jan_24_2014	214.15	226.58	218.47	213.84	213.67	211.11	205.6(-3.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-94	-90	-84	-125	0.64	61%	-0.03	-50.9	3.19%	0	-2.1	22	0
23	Jan_23_2014	214.22	228.22	220.85	216.64	216.41	214.3	212.8(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-65	-70	-51	-107	0.46	63%	0.03	-36.9	3.16%	0	-1.7	31	0
24	Jan_22_2014	214.15	229.45	223.09	218.24	218.06	216.23	215(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-78	-60	-68	-108	0.65	59%	0.05	-19.5	3.16%	0	-1.7	34	0
25	Jan_21_2014	214.04	230.45	225.32	220.88	220.61	218.53	219(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-70	-37	-75	0.47	59%		4.4	3.28%	0	-1.4	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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