Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 26, 2013

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $239.8000 (1.27%) ($236.6000 - $243.8000) on Thu. Dec. 26, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.55% (three month average)
RSI   95
Latest Price   $239.8000(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 10.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)    XAR(34%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    XBI(-4%)    GDX(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.775% (StdDev 3.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $235.92(1.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $224.64(6.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $206.34(16.22%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   37%
Market Cap   $6.878b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 10.6% (three month std-dev: 3.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.17%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.61%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 9.16%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.28%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 14.96%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.29%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_26_2013	209.33	206.34	224.64	235.92	236.03	237.95	239.8(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	90	60	52	205	0.67	53%	0.49	66.1	3.55%	0	1.5	95	0
2	Dec_24_2013	208.31	203.45	220.95	233.04	233.75	236.1	236.8(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	112	80	74	224	0.4	53%	0.28	62.6	3.55%	0	1.6	95	0
3	Dec_23_2013	207.73	200.58	217.34	228.36	229.73	234.1	236.4(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	139	150	106	236	0.6	50%	0.3	52.8	3.55%	0	1.8	95	0
4	Dec_20_2013	207.1	197.76	212.94	222.52	223.43	231.4	233.6(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	177	260	154	244	1.47	50%	0.28	39.7	3.62%	0	2	95	0
5	Dec_19_2013	206.53	195.43	207.8	216.76	216.73	225.35	233(3.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	211	280	201	242	1.34	54%	0.28	27.7	3.62%	0	2.3	85	0

6	Dec_18_2013	205.96	192.83	202.61	211.76	210.51	215.45	225.4(5.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	152	150	138	192	1.43	54%	0.25	15.1	3.76%	0	2.4	82	0
7	Dec_17_2013	205.44	191.16	198.17	207.24	206.96	208.1	213.4(2.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	73	30	50	140	0.92	52%	0.17	3.2	3.7%	0	2	76	0
8	Dec_16_2013	205.09	190.68	194.97	204.72	205.86	205.58	207.2(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	10	19	120	0.64	50%	0.1	0.2	3.68%	0	1.5	75	0
9	Dec_13_2013	204.88	190.81	191.79	201.76	204.13	205.83	204.8(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	63	90	46	112	0.67	50%	0.14	-2.3	3.71%	0	1.2	72	0
10	Dec_12_2013	204.6	191.08	189.34	197.16	199.51	206.15	208(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	112	270	113	110	1.1	50%	0.17	-3.9	3.71%	0	1.4	62	0

11	Dec_11_2013	204.26	191.08	186.57	191.92	193.56	202.43	202.8(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	173	350	192	115	1.22	50%	0.13	-13.8	3.7%	0	1	65	0
12	Dec_10_2013	204	190.8	184.49	187.72	187.35	192.88	200.8(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	134	200	155	70	1.19	50%	0.11	-23.1	3.72%	0	0.8	51	0
13	Dec_9_2013	203.77	190.65	182.38	183.92	183.11	184.7	192.4(5.83%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	42	50	59	-8	0.84	48%	0.08	-36.1	3.68%	0	0.1	37	0
14	Dec_6_2013	203.61	191.08	181.26	180.44	182.02	181.82	181.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	20	22	-66	0.4	45%	0.03	-41.9	3.62%	0	-0.7	25	0
15	Dec_5_2013	203.55	191.55	182.04	180.28	179.87	181.52	181.8(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	60	-10	-98	0.48	45%	0.02	-40.8	3.63%	0	-0.8	25	0

16	Dec_4_2013	203.5	192.49	182.28	180.32	179.89	182.23	181.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	15	80	50	-90	0.62	45%	0.08	-35.5	3.66%	0	-0.9	34	0
17	Dec_3_2013	203.34	193.68	183.61	180.72	180.31	178.23	181.8(3.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-90	8	-114	1.08	45%	0.06	-29	3.66%	0	-1	34	0
18	Dec_2_2013	203.21	195.14	186.04	180.64	180.46	177.55	175(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-101	-120	-85	-148	1.61	44%	0.02	-20.5	3.62%	0	-1.6	35	0
19	Nov_29_2013	203.17	196.42	189.82	182.12	182.04	182.4	181(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	10	-31	-112	0.27	44%	0.18	-17.7	3.61%	0	-1.4	36	0
20	Nov_27_2013	202.81	196.68	193.04	184.04	183.43	183.38	182(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-9	-10	11	-70	0.7	44%	0.05	-17.2	3.61%	0	-1.3	48	0

21	Nov_26_2013	202.71	196.88	195.46	184.52	184.76	181.68	183.8(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-58	-110	-48	-87	0.66	46%	0.03	-21	3.64%	0	-1.2	43	0
22	Nov_25_2013	202.65	197.24	197.7	187.04	186.62	183.49	181.4(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-111	-120	-114	-103	1.26	46%	-0	-18.7	3.67%	0	-1.5	38	0
23	Nov_22_2013	202.66	197.68	199.73	192.4	191.48	187.84	182.4(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-90	-150	-93	-80	1	46%	-0.1	-16.1	3.68%	0	-1.5	36	0
24	Nov_21_2013	202.86	198.46	201.9	198.76	197.63	189.75	190.6(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-124	-300	-142	-70	0.85	47%	0.03	-6.9	3.65%	0	-0.8	48	0
25	Nov_20_2013	202.79	198.64	202.1	203.52	204.43	195.11	184.4(-6.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-163	-310	-196	-64	1.69	47%		-2.9	3.64%	0	-1.5	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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