Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $200.8000 (4.37%) ($195.0000 - $203.6000) on Tue. Dec. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.72% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $200.8000(4.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)    XAR(34%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-3%)    BNDX(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.86% (StdDev 3.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $187.72(6.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $184.49(8.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $190.8(5.24%)
To recent high   -20.6%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $5.76b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 6.4% (three month std-dev: 3.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2013	204	190.8	184.49	187.72	187.35	192.88	200.8(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	134	200	155	70	1.19	50%	0.11	-23.1	3.72%	0	0.8	51	NAN
2	Dec_9_2013	203.77	190.65	182.38	183.92	183.11	184.7	192.4(5.83%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	42	50	59	-8	0.84	48%	0.08	-36.1	3.68%	0	0.1	37	NAN
3	Dec_6_2013	203.61	191.08	181.26	180.44	182.02	181.82	181.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	20	22	-66	0.4	45%	0.03	-41.9	3.62%	0	-0.7	25	NAN
4	Dec_5_2013	203.55	191.55	182.04	180.28	179.87	181.52	181.8(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	60	-10	-98	0.48	45%	0.02	-40.8	3.63%	0	-0.8	25	NAN
5	Dec_4_2013	203.5	192.49	182.28	180.32	179.89	182.23	181.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	15	80	50	-90	0.62	45%	0.08	-35.5	3.66%	0	-0.9	34	NAN

6	Dec_3_2013	203.34	193.68	183.61	180.72	180.31	178.23	181.8(3.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-90	8	-114	1.08	45%	0.06	-29	3.66%	0	-1	34	NAN
7	Dec_2_2013	203.21	195.14	186.04	180.64	180.46	177.55	175(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-101	-120	-85	-148	1.61	44%	0.02	-20.5	3.62%	0	-1.6	35	NAN
8	Nov_29_2013	203.17	196.42	189.82	182.12	182.04	182.4	181(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	10	-31	-112	0.27	44%	0.18	-17.7	3.61%	0	-1.4	36	NAN
9	Nov_27_2013	202.81	196.68	193.04	184.04	183.43	183.38	182(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-9	-10	11	-70	0.7	44%	0.05	-17.2	3.61%	0	-1.3	48	NAN
10	Nov_26_2013	202.71	196.88	195.46	184.52	184.76	181.68	183.8(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-58	-110	-48	-87	0.66	46%	0.03	-21	3.64%	0	-1.2	43	NAN

11	Nov_25_2013	202.65	197.24	197.7	187.04	186.62	183.49	181.4(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-111	-120	-114	-103	1.26	46%	-0	-18.7	3.67%	0	-1.5	38	NAN
12	Nov_22_2013	202.66	197.68	199.73	192.4	191.48	187.84	182.4(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-90	-150	-93	-80	1	46%	-0.1	-16.1	3.68%	0	-1.5	36	NAN
13	Nov_21_2013	202.86	198.46	201.9	198.76	197.63	189.75	190.6(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-124	-300	-142	-70	0.85	47%	0.03	-6.9	3.65%	0	-0.8	48	NAN
14	Nov_20_2013	202.79	198.64	202.1	203.52	204.43	195.11	184.4(-6.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-163	-310	-196	-64	1.69	47%	0.03	-2.9	3.64%	0	-1.5	55	NAN
15	Nov_19_2013	202.73	199.23	203.91	207.84	209.51	205.51	196.4(-5.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-100	-110	-132	-4	1.12	50%	0.11	-6.9	3.56%	0	-0.3	61	NAN

16	Nov_18_2013	202.5	199.3	204.9	209.68	210.82	213.75	208.2(-2.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	110	28	85	0.88	53%	0.19	-13.7	3.49%	0	0.9	62	NAN
17	Nov_15_2013	202.12	199.36	205.1	208	208.49	213.5	214.2(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	124	180	120	135	0.76	51%	0.23	-21.8	3.48%	0	1.5	66	NAN
18	Nov_14_2013	201.65	199.14	203.5	205.6	204.66	207.9	214.38(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	107	100	103	119	0.86	51%	0.24	-33	3.52%	0	1.6	59	NAN
19	Nov_13_2013	201.17	198.93	200.4	200.72	201.55	203.48	206(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	80	58	72	1.06	49%	0.21	-44.2	3.49%	0	0.6	58	NAN
20	Nov_12_2013	200.74	199.88	198.18	200.72	198.64	201.43	205.6(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	80	25	45	0.96	49%	0.23	-35.5	3.5%	0	0.5	57	NAN

21	Nov_11_2013	200.27	200.62	196.49	199.54	198.71	199.63	199.8(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	20	31	41	0.91	49%	0.21	-29.6	3.48%	0	-0.1	52	NAN
22	Nov_8_2013	199.86	201.55	195.28	201.86	200.63	195.85	202.22(6.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-36	-190	-48	2	2.3	58%	0.26	-24.1	3.48%	0	0	45	NAN
23	Nov_7_2013	199.34	202.45	194.56	201.14	203.18	197.79	190(-5.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-69	-160	-82	-29	1.93	56%	0.18	-26.8	4.31%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
24	Nov_6_2013	198.98	204.02	194.91	199.68	202.74	205.41	200.1(-2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	140	6	-13	1.33	58%	0.24	-31.8	4.26%	0	-0.3	41	NAN
25	Nov_5_2013	198.51	204.3	194.25	196.22	197.78	208.57	205.6(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	111	410	146	7	1.04	58%		-47.9	4.26%	0	0.1	36	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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