Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 4, 2013

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $211.3800 (6.44%) ($205.0000 - $213.8000) on Mon. Nov. 4, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.26% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $211.3800(6.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)    XAR(34%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-3%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.13% (StdDev 4.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $180.51(-14.6%)
5 Day Moving Average   $192.85(9.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $193.24(9.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $204.51(3.36%)
To recent high   -16.4%
To recent low   21.5%
Market Cap   $6.063b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 6.95% (three month std-dev: 4.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 7.94%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.44%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -16.67%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.4%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2013	197.99	204.51	193.24	192.85	192.33	200.07	211.38(6.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	154	270	205	1	1.35	58%	0.3	-60.1	4.26%	0	0.5	42	0
2	Nov_1_2013	197.4	204.86	192.9	188.01	186.71	186.99	198.6(8.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10	30	-94	1.21	56%	0.32	-66.7	4.2%	0	-0.4	36	0
3	Oct_31_2013	196.78	206.3	194.08	187.49	186.65	184.59	182.7(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-77	-90	-55	-141	0.96	52%	0.22	-67.4	4.06%	0	-1.5	21	0
4	Oct_30_2013	196.34	208.5	197.11	189.53	190.34	186.43	182.8(-3.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-68	-130	-45	-135	0.75	52%	0.21	-69.2	4.07%	0	-1.7	21	0
5	Oct_29_2013	195.93	211.15	201.59	191.78	191.85	188.71	188.76(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-100	-110	-89	-132	1.05	49%	0.24	-68.4	4.06%	0	-1.5	43	0

6	Oct_28_2013	195.47	213.43	205.03	193.48	194.06	194.25	187.2(-4.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	20	-35	-96	0.77	49%	0.25	-70.9	4.1%	0	-1.9	39	0
7	Oct_25_2013	194.98	215.38	208.41	198.44	195.96	194.99	196(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-70	-21	-73	0.79	54%	0.32	-71.5	4.11%	0	-1.5	37	0
8	Oct_24_2013	194.35	217.25	211.08	201.84	199.61	193.87	192.9(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-89	-230	-88	-92	0.88	54%	0.29	-70.9	4.11%	0	-1.8	31	0
9	Oct_23_2013	193.78	219.74	214.12	205.94	205.2	196.94	194.02(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-150	-290	-163	-110	0.56	54%	0.28	-72.2	4.12%	0	-2.1	34	0
10	Oct_22_2013	193.23	221.82	215.58	212.92	211.32	205.36	197.3(-6.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-148	-220	-163	-103	1.59	54%	0.29	-63.2	4.12%	0	-2.2	32	0

11	Oct_21_2013	192.68	223.83	217.17	218.18	218.58	213.45	212(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-68	-160	-70	-62	0.67	59%	0.3	-53.5	4.02%	0	-1.2	38	0
12	Oct_18_2013	192.1	225.16	218.06	219.82	221.11	217.28	213(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-83	-100	-89	-66	1.12	59%	0.34	-39	4.02%	0	-1.1	46	0
13	Oct_17_2013	191.45	227.08	219.61	221.7	221.78	223.7	213.4(-6.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	60	-24	-36	1.43	61%	0.34	-25.8	4.02%	0	-1.2	41	0
14	Oct_16_2013	190.8	228.96	220.88	223.42	222.44	224.95	228.9(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	74	70	96	8	0.73	66%	0.43	-16.7	3.99%	0	-0	42	0
15	Oct_15_2013	189.98	229.06	221.29	218.68	219.66	219.85	223.6(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	18	20	35	-33	0.81	66%	0.18	-28	3.99%	0	-0.5	45	0

16	Oct_14_2013	189.63	229.28	222.18	216.06	215.71	219.93	220.2(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	130	9	-55	0.65	66%	0.41	-33.3	3.99%	0	-0.8	42	0
17	Oct_11_2013	188.86	229.6	222.6	216.14	215.24	219.48	222.4(0.18%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	64	130	95	-30	0.66	66%	0.44	-32.9	3.99%	0	-0.6	42	0
18	Oct_10_2013	188.04	230.19	223.54	217.46	215.51	211.5	222(8.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-32	-160	-16	-81	1.31	66%	0.42	-23	4%	0	-0.7	36	0
19	Oct_9_2013	187.26	230.87	225.41	218.26	218.21	211.01	205.2(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-171	-230	-177	-151	1.53	60%	0.34	-12.9	3.89%	0	-2.4	26	0
20	Oct_8_2013	186.62	232.3	228.46	224.3	225.19	219.53	210.5(-4.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-117	-160	-120	-106	1.22	60%	0.39	14.8	3.9%	0	-2.3	43	0

21	Oct_7_2013	185.9	233.14	231.18	229	229.57	225.41	220.6(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-80	-120	-83	-71	0.99	64%	0.45	43.4	3.87%	0	-1.5	50	0
22	Oct_4_2013	185.07	233.34	233.05	229.72	230.98	230.85	229(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	10	-33	-41	0.77	64%	0.5	54.1	3.84%	0	-0.5	55	0
23	Oct_3_2013	184.15	232.78	235.29	230.48	230.21	233.73	226(-3.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	15	100	22	-5	1.66	64%	0.5	55.7	3.87%	0	-0.7	48	0
24	Oct_2_2013	183.24	232.28	237.82	233.72	230.8	231.1	235.4(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-30	47	26	0.79	67%	0.54	63.3	3.83%	0	0.3	51	0
25	Oct_1_2013	182.25	230.92	237.48	233.44	232.18	226.7	234(4.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-53	-180	-64	-19	0.7	67%		59.9	3.85%	0	0.2	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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