Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 31, 2013

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $177.1000 (1.66%) ($174.8000 - $178.6000) on Wed. Jul. 31, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.34% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $177.1000(1.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)    XAR(34%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-3%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.67% (StdDev 3.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $178.66(-0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $177.5(-0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $176.07(0.58%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   64.3%
Market Cap   $5.08b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 3.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130831

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2013	141.53	176.07		178.66	179.42	176.84	177.1(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-23	-90	-38	23	0.47	71%	0.53	37.7	3.34%	0	0.2	56	0
2	Jul_30_2013	140.79	176.14	177.5	178.04	179.32	179.6	174.2(-2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-21	30	-35	22	0.68	71%	0.48	49.4	3.35%	0	-0.4	49	0
3	Jul_29_2013	140.12	176.13	176.85	178.64	179.02	182	178.4(-4.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	57	120	57	58	0.57	71%	0.5	67.3	3.36%	0	0.5	57	0
4	Jul_26_2013	139.42	175.77	175.95	178.56	177.65	179.04	186.78(5.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	61	40	64	53	0.89	75%	0.59	77.7	3.31%	0	2.3	56	0
5	Jul_25_2013	138.6	174.8	174.25	176.56	176.39	176.04	176.8(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-20	-1	5	0.46	73%	0.52	90.9	3.26%	0	0.5	43	0

6	Jul_24_2013	137.88	174.32	173.79	176.28	176.2	176.27	174(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	0	-10	-10	0.44	73%	0.46	95.9	3.26%	0	-0.1	40	0
7	Jul_23_2013	137.25	173.84	173.96	176.88	176.26	176.75	177.2(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	10	29	6	0.61	73%	0.51	98.7	3.24%	0	0.6	48	0
8	Jul_22_2013	136.55	173.01	173.42	174.68	174.98	176.13	178(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	22	50	32	-8	0.43	73%	0.57	80.6	3.24%	0	0.8	55	0
9	Jul_19_2013	135.77	172.1	173.32	172.84	172.83	175.76	176.8(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	34	120	47	-6	0.41	73%	0.64	70.5	3.25%	0	0.7	57	0
10	Jul_18_2013	134.9	170.88	173.75	171.6	171.4	173.83	175.4(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	100	75	11	0.41	73%	0.42	63.2	3.27%	0	0.6	59	0

11	Jul_17_2013	134.33	169.9	174.38	171	170.04	169.89	177(6.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-20	5	-5	0.77	73%	0.51	65.9	3.32%	0	0.8	62	0
12	Jul_16_2013	133.65	168.77	174.51	170.8	171.11	168.98	166.2(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-80	-35	-8	0.53	70%	0.41	68.3	3.24%	0	-0.3	57	0
13	Jul_15_2013	133.1	168.24	175.35	171.96	172.4	170.2	168.8(-1.06%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-48	-80	-64	2	0.58	70%	0.42	74.5	3.23%	0	0.1	65	0
14	Jul_12_2013	132.54	167.52	175.69	173.81	173.48	173.25	170.6(-1.04%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-33	-10	-53	29	0.56	70%	0.42	84	3.28%	0	0.3	67	0
15	Jul_11_2013	131.99	165.98	175.55	176.17	176.15	174.6	172.4(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-60	-13	79	0.88	73%	0.47	79.4	3.28%	0	0.5	76	0

16	Jul_10_2013	131.37	164.41	175.1	178.24	178.26	173.7	176(2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-43	-180	-83	78	0.46	73%	0.45	79.3	3.31%	0	0.9	73	0
17	Jul_9_2013	130.78	162.77	173.92	178.84	180.53	177.69	172(-3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-42	-80	-87	94	1.16	73%	0.32	79.9	3.32%	0	0.7	72	0
18	Jul_8_2013	130.36	161.36	172.82	179.12	181.53	182.82	178.04(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	90	16	148	0.85	77%	0.47	79.3	3.29%	0	1.2	80	0
19	Jul_5_2013	129.75	159.41	170.98	177.71	179.36	183.37	182.4(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	115	180	93	182	0.68	79%	0.65	70.8	3.27%	0	1.6	87	0
20	Jul_3_2013	128.91	156.98	167.87	174.79	175.57	180.25	182.78(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	135	200	117	190	0.86	79%	0.61	59.1	3.32%	0	1.8	92	0

21	Jul_2_2013	128.13	154.6	164.99	171.56	172.07	175.35	179(3.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	128	140	108	187	0.8	73%	0.57	52.8	3.33%	0	1.8	88	0
22	Jul_1_2013	127.4	152.58	162.38	168.4	168.79	170.9	173.38(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	89	90	64	162	0.56	73%	0.52	47.5	3.41%	0	1.7	80	0
23	Jun_28_2013	126.74	150.97	160.36	165.6	166.11	168.8	171(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	87	120	63	158	1.99	73%	0.53	44.2	3.43%	0	1.8	78	0
24	Jun_27_2013	126.07	149.97	158.5	163.2	163.4	166.68	167.8(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	108	140	87	172	0.69	73%	0.49	47.4	3.43%	0	1.8	79	0
25	Jun_26_2013	125.46	148.95	155.53	159.8	160.31	163.43	166.6(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	102	150	84	156	0.63	73%		43.5	3.44%	0	1.9	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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