Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 31, 2013

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $153.7800 (2.93%) ($149.6000 - $154.2000) on Fri. May. 31, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.37% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $153.7800(2.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(42%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)    XAR(34%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-3%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.685% (StdDev 3.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $148.68(3.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $145.56(5.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $135.29(13.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   51.4%
Market Cap   $4.411b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 10.2% (three month std-dev: 3.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.94%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.78%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 6.18%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.19%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 9.07%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.8%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2013	117.55	135.29	145.56	148.68	149.11	150.62	153.78(2.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	75	80	59	122	0.62	73%	0.44	52.4	3.37%	0	1.3	92	0
2	May_30_2013	117.04	133.44	144.02	146.44	146.91	148.55	149.4(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	90	35	116	0.54	73%	0.43	44.4	3.38%	0	1.2	91	0
3	May_29_2013	116.54	131.92	142.8	145.6	144.99	147.6	148.2(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	72	110	46	149	0.48	77%	0.4	41	3.41%	0	1.2	94	0
4	May_28_2013	116.08	130.56	141.74	144.52	144.17	145.26	147.8(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	84	50	54	172	0.51	59%	0.46	38.4	3.73%	0	1.3	95	0
5	May_24_2013	115.55	129.35	139.74	142.88	142.98	142.39	144.2(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	34	-30	2	128	0.4	62%	0.37	37.5	4.89%	0	1.3	91	0

6	May_23_2013	115.12	128.43	137.91	141.92	142.01	143.08	142.6(-1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	50	-1	133	0.73	62%	0.38	37.2	4.93%	0	1.3	75	0
7	May_22_2013	114.68	127.68	136.18	141.16	141.7	143.58	145.2(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	66	100	36	155	0.98	62%	0.28	40.3	4.96%	0	1.6	77	0
8	May_21_2013	114.36	126.7	132.96	139.56	140.96	140.95	142.8(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	30	18	137	1.29	62%	0.41	39.1	4.96%	0	1.6	71	0
9	May_20_2013	113.89	125.82	129.58	138.56	140.28	139.83	139.6(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	10	6	118	0.71	59%	0.4	39	4.97%	0	1.5	66	0
10	May_17_2013	113.44	125.06	126.6	136.08	138.5	140.98	139.4(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	180	32	102	0.74	59%	0.38	33.8	4.99%	0	1.6	61	0

11	May_16_2013	113.01	124.35	124.27	133.2	135.02	140.73	138.8(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	86	340	82	97	1.53	59%	0.4	24.2	5.03%	0	1.7	58	0
12	May_15_2013	112.56	123.46	121.99	130.36	130.55	136.03	137.2(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	97	300	103	79	1.55	59%	0.22	12.1	5.07%	0	1.8	55	0
13	May_14_2013	112.31	122.88	120.06	125.28	127	129.31	137.8(8.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	80	170	93	40	1.19	61%	0.42	-3.5	5.07%	0	2.1	57	0
14	May_13_2013	111.84	122.26	118.24	119.28	121.62	125.07	127.2(1.76%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	27	260	42	-18	1.11	60%	0.29	-23.8	5.04%	0	0.8	49	0
15	May_10_2013	111.52	122.14	117.86	115.68	117.36	124.68	125(0.32%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	59	480	86	-22	0.76	60%	0.28	-35.2	5%	0	0.4	48	0

16	May_9_2013	111.21	122.38	117.93	114.04	114.74	118.18	124.6(11.45%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	67	230	98	-26	3.32	60%	0.25	-35.4	5.04%	0	0.3	46	0
17	May_8_2013	110.93	122.54	118.23	112.56	112.77	110.05	111.8(3.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-160	-31	-82	1.24	56%	0.11	-32.7	4.88%	0	-1.6	37	0
18	May_7_2013	110.81	123.12	119.82	114.12	114.82	111.3	107.8(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-77	-200	-72	-92	0.66	56%	0.11	-20.5	4.87%	0	-2.5	24	0
19	May_6_2013	110.69	123.79	121.84	116.96	117.86	115.49	109.2(-6.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-60	-120	-56	-71	1.53	56%	0.11	-4.1	4.87%	0	-2.8	26	0
20	May_3_2013	110.57	124.47	123.64	120.16	120.42	118.34	116.8(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-110	-41	-48	0.47	56%	0.19	18.5	4.87%	0	-1.9	38	0

21	May_2_2013	110.36	124.76	124.73	122.32	122.82	120.23	117.2(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-140	-46	-42	0.58	56%	0.25	31.3	4.91%	0	-1.8	32	0
22	May_1_2013	110.09	124.73	125.37	124.76	125.27	122.5	119.6(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-140	-47	-35	0.54	56%	0.3	32.8	4.94%	0	-1	39	0
23	Apr_30_2013	109.76	124.4	126.24	126.4	127.35	125.42	122(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-80	-36	-17	0.67	56%	0.35	30.1	4.93%	0	-0.4	53	0
24	Apr_29_2013	109.38	124	126.84	127.44	128.41	128.05	125.2(-1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	0	-12	5	0.53	56%	0.3	29.1	4.92%	0	0.2	61	0
25	Apr_26_2013	109.05	123.71	126.91	127.6	128.31	129.28	127.6(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	70	8	19	0.65	56%		33.3	4.89%	0	0.7	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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