Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 15, 2013

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $119.1000 (0.08%) ($116.8000 - $121.6000) on Fri. Feb. 15, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.15% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $119.1000(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(42%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(35%)    XLY(34%)    XAR(33%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.575% (StdDev 5.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $112.52(5.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.47(8.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.29(11.01%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   105.3%
Market Cap   $3.416b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 5.14% (three month std-dev: 5.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.95%(71%) Average negative next day return: -2.62%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 7.05%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.61%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 9.56%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.3%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2013	93.15	107.29	109.47	112.52	113.79	117.61	119.1(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	270	58	49	1.09	69%	0.27	42.8	5.15%	0	2.1	61	0
2	Feb_14_2013	92.9	106.38	108.69	110.42	111.02	114.09	119(6.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	57	210	61	45	1.45	69%	0.28	34.7	5.18%	0	2.6	63	0
3	Feb_13_2013	92.64	105.42	107.69	107.74	108.99	109.96	111.5(5.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	100	30	23	1.34	67%	0.17	22.8	5.14%	0	1.5	60	0
4	Feb_12_2013	92.48	105.04	107.06	107.04	107.7	107.95	105.8(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	30	5	13	0.46	66%	0.02	20.1	5.14%	0	0.2	57	0
5	Feb_11_2013	92.46	105.01	107.07	106.36	107.13	108.03	107.2(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	80	14	21	0.38	66%	0.02	14.5	5.15%	0	0.6	65	0

6	Feb_8_2013	92.44	104.98	107.14	105.84	106.05	107.45	108.6(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	100	6	20	0.46	50%	0.06	12.9	6.44%	0	1	63	0
7	Feb_7_2013	92.38	104.72	106.82	106.7	106.16	106.23	105.62(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-10	4	27	0.35	48%	-0.02	21.7	6.45%	0	0.2	56	0
8	Feb_6_2013	92.4	104.5	106.66	107.66	107.29	104.65	108(5.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-180	-12	29	0.48	48%	0.16	30.8	6.49%	0	0.9	60	0
9	Feb_5_2013	92.25	104.29	106.07	107.14	107.79	106.1	102.4(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-22	-90	-34	16	0.84	48%	0.09	36.4	6.47%	0	-0.5	49	0
10	Feb_4_2013	92.17	104.47	105.64	107.78	108.27	109.94	104.6(-7.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	10	120	4	28	0.61	48%	-0.01	55.3	6.46%	0	0	50	0

11	Feb_1_2013	92.18	104.5	105.15	108.46	107.82	109.49	112.9(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	90	32	37	0.95	51%	0.21	71.8	6.42%	0	2.3	56	0
12	Jan_31_2013	91.99	103.94	103.98	106.96	106.7	106.6	110.4(4.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10	10	19	0.75	48%	0.2	80.9	6.43%	0	2.1	58	0
13	Jan_30_2013	91.81	103.36	102.95	105.6	106.08	106.15	105.4(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	20	1	8	0.42	48%	0.15	84.9	6.49%	0	0.7	57	0
14	Jan_29_2013	91.67	102.97	102.82	104.88	105.23	106.8	105.6(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	110	20	13	0.37	48%	0.23	78.8	6.55%	0	0.9	52	0
15	Jan_28_2013	91.46	102.5	102.74	103.1	103.4	106.01	108(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	190	33	9	0.59	48%	0.26	57.5	6.59%	0	1.8	52	0

16	Jan_25_2013	91.22	101.95	102.53	101.3	101.16	103.66	105.4(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	22	170	29	-0	0.8	48%	0.24	39.1	6.59%	0	1.1	49	0
17	Jan_24_2013	91	101.49	102.32	100.58	100.08	100.79	103.6(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	12	30	18	-8	0.97	48%	0.23	26.9	6.58%	0	0.6	52	0
18	Jan_23_2013	90.79	100.98	102.06	99.98	100.03	98.65	101.8(5.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-100	-10	-21	0.61	48%	0.2	16.8	6.59%	0	0.2	56	0
19	Jan_22_2013	90.61	100.72	102.27	100.54	100.71	99.36	96.7(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-90	-29	-20	0.42	48%	0.15	18.2	6.56%	0	-1.1	53	0
20	Jan_18_2013	90.47	100.73	103.23	102.28	102.45	101.4	99(-2.75%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-13	-70	-17	1	0.34	48%	0.18	28.5	6.54%	0	-0.4	59	0

21	Jan_17_2013	90.31	100.68	103.9	103.88	104.09	102.05	101.8(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-130	-16	17	0.32	48%	0.19	45.6	6.54%	0	0.3	60	0
22	Jan_16_2013	90.14	100.6	104.01	104.28	104.97	103.5	100.6(-3.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-10	-80	-21	23	0.72	48%	0.16	61.8	6.54%	0	0	61	0
23	Jan_15_2013	90	100.38	103.95	104.36	105.16	106.13	104.6(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	90	0	38	0.51	48%	0.19	74.9	6.53%	0	1	72	0
24	Jan_14_2013	89.83	100.06	103.27	104.24	104.69	106.44	105.4(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	130	19	47	0.98	48%	0.19	80.4	6.54%	0	1.3	64	0
25	Jan_11_2013	89.66	99.58	102.34	104.36	104.15	104.19	107(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-0	10	45	0.58	48%		109.9	6.53%	0	1.8	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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