Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 14, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $98.6000 (2.71%) ($96.8000 - $102.0000) on Fri. Dec. 14, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.97% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $98.6000(2.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(42%)    PEJ(40%)    SPY(35%)    XLY(34%)    XAR(33%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -3.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.485% (StdDev 6.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.88(7.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.82(13.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.88(20.42%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   87.5%
Market Cap   $2.828b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 12.64% (three month std-dev: 6.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.81%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.41%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 9.09%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.17%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2012	94.58	81.88	86.82	91.88	92.81	96.83	98.6(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	330	46	67	0.92	53%	-0.37	98.8	6.97%	0	1.6	67	0
2	Dec_13_2012	94.93	79.87	85.14	90.9	89.98	92.55	96(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	170	49	67	1.1	53%	-0.52	82.8	7.09%	0	1.5	63	0
3	Dec_12_2012	95.43	77.84	84.42	86.94	87.69	88.8	91.6(3.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	110	35	51	1.16	53%	-0.57	58.2	7.07%	0	1.2	62	0
4	Dec_11_2012	95.98	75.93	83.98	84.06	84.12	87.4	88.2(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	280	26	52	0.49	55%	-0.63	36.3	7.06%	0	1	68	0
5	Dec_10_2012	96.59	74.25	83.07	81.46	81.53	86.59	85(-9.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	440	51	64	1.11	55%	-0.67	19.4	7.11%	0	0.9	70	0

6	Dec_7_2012	97.24	72.79	82.23	80.9	79.48	80.84	93.7(22.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	51	70	42	76	2.55	58%	-0.57	10	7.01%	0	1.6	77	0
7	Dec_6_2012	97.8	71.87	80.65	78.74	78.86	76.48	76.2(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-210	-33	64	0.37	52%	-0.69	4.8	6.39%	0	0.4	72	0
8	Dec_5_2012	98.48	71.77	80.88	81.66	80.86	78.11	77.2(2.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-270	-47	114	0.44	52%	-0.7	9	6.39%	0	0.5	76	0
9	Dec_4_2012	99.17	71.82	80.07	83.9	83.81	81.24	75.2(-8.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	22	-220	-27	169	0.88	52%	-0.8	10.7	6.38%	0	0.3	77	0
10	Dec_3_2012	99.97	71.9	78.99	84.7	85.07	83.61	82.2(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	44	-110	-11	207	0.53	55%	-0.75	8.3	6.29%	0	0.9	81	0

11	Nov_30_2012	100.73	71.53	76.88	83.48	83.68	86.39	82.9(-8.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	64	230	11	224	2.73	55%	-0.78	1	6.29%	0	1	79	0
12	Nov_29_2012	101.52	71.3	74.49	82.7	81.83	86.53	90.8(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	105	370	66	220	1.8	58%	-0.66	-4.2	6.2%	0	1.7	58	0
13	Nov_28_2012	102.19	70.71	70.85	80.06	79.57	80.98	88.4(11.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	89	110	61	171	1.77	58%	-0.78	-14.5	6.19%	0	1.6	59	0
14	Nov_27_2012	102.99	70.56	67.23	75.86	77.06	77.14	79.2(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	50	19	83	0.62	54%	-0.96	-27.5	6.02%	0	0.8	51	0
15	Nov_26_2012	103.99	70.91	64.66	72.44	74.77	78.16	76.1(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	410	44	28	0.84	54%	-0.91	-39.1	6%	0	0.5	50	0

16	Nov_23_2012	104.94	71.41	62.52	69.14	71.07	76.98	79(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	69	670	95	-9	0.71	54%	-0.95	-47.8	5.99%	0	0.7	53	0
17	Nov_21_2012	105.95	71.81	62.09	64.94	65.82	71.38	77.6(15.13%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	64	630	100	-46	2.88	54%	-0.94	-55.8	5.93%	0	0.5	49	0
18	Nov_20_2012	106.96	72.38	61.53	60.34	61.46	65.16	67.4(8.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	35	480	82	-105	1.55	48%	-1.16	-65.1	5.62%	0	-0.4	39	0
19	Nov_19_2012	108.22	73.62	62.52	57.38	57.77	60.26	62.1(4.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	320	45	-155	1.22	44%	-1.42	-70.4	5.51%	0	-0.8	29	0
20	Nov_16_2012	109.78	75.37	63.97	55.72	55.66	57.75	59.6(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	260	35	-182	0.69	44%	-1.27	-73.1	5.5%	0	-1.1	26	0

21	Nov_15_2012	111.19	77.44	65.61	54.84	54.51	55.28	58(6.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-62	80	-11	-216	0.8	44%	-1.32	-73.2	5.53%	0	-1.3	25	0
22	Nov_14_2012	112.68	79.58	67.83	58.92	54.76	53.58	54.6(3.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-99	-360	-58	-220	0.76	32%	-1.36	-68.2	5.46%	0	-1.7	19	0
23	Nov_13_2012	114.23	82.08	70.64	63.04	60.59	53.75	52.6(-2.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-98	-910	-70	-181	0.56	32%	-1.3	-66.5	6.33%	0	-2	14	0
24	Nov_12_2012	115.73	84.8	74.36	68.48	66.38	55.95	53.8(-2.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-151	-1190	-141	-181	0.87	32%	-1.36	-62.9	6.34%	0	-2.3	14	0
25	Nov_9_2012	117.32	87.44	78.02	73.32	72.55	67.43	55.2(-29.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-120	-530	-112	-145	5.82	38%		-58.7	6.55%	0	-2.7	13	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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