Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $67.4000 (8.53%) ($66.4000 - $71.4000) on Tue. Nov. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.62% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $67.4000(8.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 5.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -12.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(41%)    PEJ(40%)    SPY(35%)    XLY(34%)    XAR(33%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.81% (StdDev 5.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.55(-53.19%)
Resistance Level   $72.38
5 Day Moving Average   $60.34(11.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.53(9.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.38(-6.88%)
To recent high   -38.4%
To recent low   28.1%
Market Cap   $1.933b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 18.18% (three month std-dev: 5.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 4.99%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.61%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 13.33%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2012	106.96	72.38	61.53	60.34	61.46	65.16	67.4(8.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	35	480	82	-105	1.55	48%	-1.16	-65.1	5.62%	0	-0.4	39	0
2	Nov_19_2012	108.22	73.62	62.52	57.38	57.77	60.26	62.1(4.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	320	45	-155	1.22	44%	-1.42	-70.4	5.51%	0	-0.8	29	0
3	Nov_16_2012	109.78	75.37	63.97	55.72	55.66	57.75	59.6(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	260	35	-182	0.69	44%	-1.27	-73.1	5.5%	0	-1.1	26	0
4	Nov_15_2012	111.19	77.44	65.61	54.84	54.51	55.28	58(6.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-62	80	-11	-216	0.8	44%	-1.32	-73.2	5.53%	0	-1.3	25	0
5	Nov_14_2012	112.68	79.58	67.83	58.92	54.76	53.58	54.6(3.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-99	-360	-58	-220	0.76	32%	-1.36	-68.2	5.46%	0	-1.7	19	0

6	Nov_13_2012	114.23	82.08	70.64	63.04	60.59	53.75	52.6(-2.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-98	-910	-70	-181	0.56	32%	-1.3	-66.5	6.33%	0	-2	14	0
7	Nov_12_2012	115.73	84.8	74.36	68.48	66.38	55.95	53.8(-2.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-151	-1190	-141	-181	0.87	32%	-1.36	-62.9	6.34%	0	-2.3	14	0
8	Nov_9_2012	117.32	87.44	78.02	73.32	72.55	67.43	55.2(-29.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-120	-530	-112	-145	5.82	38%	-1.35	-58.7	6.55%	0	-2.7	13	0
9	Nov_8_2012	118.92	89.86	81.52	77.6	77.6	76.8	78.4(4.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-70	-12	-109	1.12	48%	-1.16	-58.2	5.48%	0	-1.1	20	0
10	Nov_7_2012	120.31	91.2	82.61	78.04	77.89	77.68	75.2(-5.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-46	-20	-21	-122	1.32	48%	-1.22	-53.5	5.46%	0	-1.6	14	0

11	Nov_6_2012	121.79	92.91	84.25	79.48	79.34	78.4	79.8(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-90	-15	-124	0.89	55%	-1.19	-45.7	5.43%	0	-1.3	14	0
12	Nov_5_2012	123.26	94.19	85.62	81.4	81.04	78.1	78(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-66	-270	-44	-133	1.33	55%	-1.02	-36.3	5.58%	0	-1.6	9	0
13	Nov_2_2012	124.53	95.18	87.61	83.64	83.78	80.28	76.6(-4.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-76	-290	-57	-132	1.42	55%	-0.92	-32.2	5.6%	0	-2	7	0
14	Nov_1_2012	125.69	96.15	90.12	86	86.42	83.98	80.6(-2.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-66	-180	-49	-115	0.42	55%	-0.91	-29.8	5.57%	0	-1.9	21	0
15	Oct_31_2012	126.84	96.88	92.17	87.8	88.66	87.28	82.4(-7.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-45	-80	-27	-100	2.23	55%	-2.21	-29.2	5.57%	0	-2	19	0

16	Oct_26_2012	129.71	97.58	94.34	89.64	89.62	88.87	89.4(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-60	-18	-87	0.67	56%	-0.95	-33	5.85%	0	-1.3	20	0
17	Oct_25_2012	130.96	97.94	95.94	90.52	90.57	90.04	89.2(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-40	-18	-81	0.68	56%	-0.94	-38.1	5.93%	0	-1.4	30	0
18	Oct_24_2012	132.2	98.32	97.52	92.32	92.31	90.38	88.4(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-150	-26	-68	0.61	56%	-0.82	-37.2	5.93%	0	-1.7	45	0
19	Oct_23_2012	133.29	98.68	98.86	94.96	94.35	91.1	89.6(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-52	-260	-50	-58	0.66	56%	-0.67	-37.6	5.93%	0	-1.7	50	0
20	Oct_22_2012	134.19	99.09	100.49	97.24	97.33	94.25	91.6(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-220	-50	-35	0.49	56%	-0.76	-25.8	5.93%	0	-1.4	53	0

21	Oct_19_2012	135.22	99.73	102.3	99.72	99.9	97.6	93.8(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-34	-160	-43	-6	0.51	56%	-0.88	-5.5	5.92%	0	-1.2	53	0
22	Oct_18_2012	136.42	100.32	103.5	102.12	102.13	100.4	98.2(-3.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-14	-120	-27	24	0.49	56%	-0.91	8	5.94%	0	-0.4	57	0
23	Oct_17_2012	137.67	100.56	103.42	103.48	103.66	102.2	101.6(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-90	-17	37	0.27	54%	-0.98	22.4	5.93%	0	0.2	60	0
24	Oct_16_2012	139.03	100.78	102.73	103.36	104.33	103.85	101(-2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-0	-15	38	0.28	54%	-0.28	33	5.97%	0	0	62	0
25	Oct_15_2012	139.42	100.45	102.05	104.24	104.71	105.13	104(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	40	-3	46	0.34	54%		38.7	5.96%	0	0.7	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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