Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 23, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $89.6000 (-2.18%) ($87.0000 - $91.4000) on Tue. Oct. 23, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.93% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $89.6000(-2.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(41%)    PEJ(40%)    SPY(35%)    XLY(34%)    XAR(33%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.965% (StdDev 5.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $98.68
5 Day Moving Average   $94.96(-5.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $98.86(-9.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.68(-9.2%)
To recent high   -41%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $2.57b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 5.53% (three month std-dev: 5.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.12%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.09%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_23_2012	133.29	98.68	98.86	94.96	94.35	91.1	89.6(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-52	-260	-50	-58	0.66	56%	-0.67	-37.6	5.93%	0	-1.7	50	0
2	Oct_22_2012	134.19	99.09	100.49	97.24	97.33	94.25	91.6(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-220	-50	-35	0.49	56%	-0.76	-25.8	5.93%	0	-1.4	53	0
3	Oct_19_2012	135.22	99.73	102.3	99.72	99.9	97.6	93.8(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-34	-160	-43	-6	0.51	56%	-0.88	-5.5	5.92%	0	-1.2	53	0
4	Oct_18_2012	136.42	100.32	103.5	102.12	102.13	100.4	98.2(-3.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-14	-120	-27	24	0.49	56%	-0.91	8	5.94%	0	-0.4	57	0
5	Oct_17_2012	137.67	100.56	103.42	103.48	103.66	102.2	101.6(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-90	-17	37	0.27	54%	-0.98	22.4	5.93%	0	0.2	60	0

6	Oct_16_2012	139.03	100.78	102.73	103.36	104.33	103.85	101(-2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-0	-15	38	0.28	54%	-0.28	33	5.97%	0	0	62	0
7	Oct_15_2012	139.42	100.45	102.05	104.24	104.71	105.13	104(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	40	-3	46	0.34	54%	-0.99	38.7	5.96%	0	0.7	61	0
8	Oct_12_2012	140.82	100.01	101.13	105.32	105.12	104.8	105.8(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-30	4	47	0.28	54%	-0.94	52.7	5.97%	0	1.1	51	0
9	Oct_11_2012	142.16	99.93	100.08	105.16	105.18	104.3	105(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-60	1	37	0.32	51%	-0.97	70.9	5.98%	0	0.9	48	0
10	Oct_10_2012	143.55	99.43	99.12	103.36	104.26	105.44	101(-4.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	110	12	24	0.61	50%	-0.97	70.9	6%	0	0.3	48	0

11	Oct_9_2012	144.95	99.06	98.44	101.86	101.76	106.06	105.4(-3.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	290	49	19	0.47	50%	-1	69.7	6.01%	0	1.1	47	0
12	Oct_8_2012	146.41	98.4	97.48	99.38	98.62	103.08	109.4(4.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	58	290	72	16	0.66	50%	-0.84	58.8	6.03%	0	1.8	65	0
13	Oct_5_2012	147.65	97.21	96.72	96.38	95.58	97.45	105(9.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	29	110	40	-6	0.91	50%	-0.99	47	6.02%	0	1.3	61	0
14	Oct_4_2012	149.12	96.24	96.6	94.44	94.34	94.16	96(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-20	2	-33	0.3	46%	-1.11	38	5.89%	0	-0	42	0
15	Oct_3_2012	150.8	95.73	97.24	94.36	94.75	93.71	93.5(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-60	-10	-31	0.21	44%	-1	34.1	5.92%	0	-0.3	52	0

16	Oct_2_2012	152.33	95.31	98.53	94.46	95.32	94.53	93(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-30	-14	-20	0.15	41%	-0.94	30.7	5.97%	0	-0.3	53	0
17	Oct_1_2012	153.78	94.97	98.73	95.16	95.57	95.79	94.4(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	30	-14	-15	0.21	41%	-0.68	31.1	6.09%	0	-0.1	55	0
18	Sep_28_2012	154.83	94.46	98.88	97.08	96.64	96.11	95.3(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-50	-9	6	0.28	44%	-0.67	33.5	6.19%	0	0.1	62	0
19	Sep_27_2012	155.87	93.93	99.87	99.14	98.47	95.35	95.6(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-16	-240	-31	28	0.33	44%	-0.69	36.2	6.2%	0	0.2	62	0
20	Sep_26_2012	156.95	93.49	99.93	100.62	100.84	97.16	94(-2.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-33	-250	-56	38	0.34	44%	-0.73	38.7	6.19%	0	0.1	62	0

21	Sep_25_2012	158.1	93.18	99.99	103.18	103.31	101.59	96.5(-7.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-110	-24	78	0.81	44%	-0.72	46.1	6.21%	0	0.4	65	0
22	Sep_24_2012	159.25	92.77	99.68	102.64	103.75	104.53	104(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	90	12	99	0.57	46%	-0.61	41.7	6.18%	0	1.4	70	0
23	Sep_21_2012	160.23	91.96	97.9	100.84	101.54	105.03	105.6(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	260	25	99	1.1	46%	-0.63	33.8	6.18%	0	1.7	73	0
24	Sep_20_2012	161.25	91.12	95.9	100.8	99.93	102.98	103(-3.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	66	190	49	115	1.56	46%	-0.68	30.9	6.17%	0	1.7	71	0
25	Sep_19_2012	162.36	90.44	94.07	99.24	99.09	98.05	106.8(13.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	-80	28	98	2.08	46%		15.9	6.16%	0	2.5	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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