Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $105.0000 (9.38%) ($94.2000 - $107.4000) on Fri. Oct. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.02% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $105.0000(9.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(41%)    PEJ(40%)    SPY(35%)    XLY(34%)    XAR(33%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -3.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.01% (StdDev 6.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 10.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.38(8.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.72(8.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $97.21(8.01%)
To recent high   -40.5%
To recent low   26.5%
Market Cap   $3.012b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 6.19% (three month std-dev: 6.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 4.71%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.02%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 9.79%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -5.02%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 6.62%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.03%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2012	147.65	97.21	96.72	96.38	95.58	97.45	105(9.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	29	110	40	-6	0.91	50%	-0.99	47	6.02%	0	1.3	61	0
2	Oct_4_2012	149.12	96.24	96.6	94.44	94.34	94.16	96(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-20	2	-33	0.3	46%	-1.11	38	5.89%	0	-0	42	0
3	Oct_3_2012	150.8	95.73	97.24	94.36	94.75	93.71	93.5(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-60	-10	-31	0.21	44%	-1	34.1	5.92%	0	-0.3	52	0
4	Oct_2_2012	152.33	95.31	98.53	94.46	95.32	94.53	93(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-30	-14	-20	0.15	41%	-0.94	30.7	5.97%	0	-0.3	53	0
5	Oct_1_2012	153.78	94.97	98.73	95.16	95.57	95.79	94.4(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	30	-14	-15	0.21	41%	-0.68	31.1	6.09%	0	-0.1	55	0

6	Sep_28_2012	154.83	94.46	98.88	97.08	96.64	96.11	95.3(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-50	-9	6	0.28	44%	-0.67	33.5	6.19%	0	0.1	62	0
7	Sep_27_2012	155.87	93.93	99.87	99.14	98.47	95.35	95.6(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-16	-240	-31	28	0.33	44%	-0.69	36.2	6.2%	0	0.2	62	0
8	Sep_26_2012	156.95	93.49	99.93	100.62	100.84	97.16	94(-2.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-33	-250	-56	38	0.34	44%	-0.73	38.7	6.19%	0	0.1	62	0
9	Sep_25_2012	158.1	93.18	99.99	103.18	103.31	101.59	96.5(-7.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-110	-24	78	0.81	44%	-0.72	46.1	6.21%	0	0.4	65	0
10	Sep_24_2012	159.25	92.77	99.68	102.64	103.75	104.53	104(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	90	12	99	0.57	46%	-0.61	41.7	6.18%	0	1.4	70	0

11	Sep_21_2012	160.23	91.96	97.9	100.84	101.54	105.03	105.6(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	260	25	99	1.1	46%	-0.63	33.8	6.18%	0	1.7	73	0
12	Sep_20_2012	161.25	91.12	95.9	100.8	99.93	102.98	103(-3.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	66	190	49	115	1.56	46%	-0.68	30.9	6.17%	0	1.7	71	0
13	Sep_19_2012	162.36	90.44	94.07	99.24	99.09	98.05	106.8(13.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	-80	28	98	2.08	46%	-0.69	15.9	6.16%	0	2.5	70	0
14	Sep_18_2012	163.49	89.54	91.69	96.52	97.18	96.88	93.8(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-0	-25	62	0.34	45%	-0.75	-10.9	5.87%	0	0.8	59	0
15	Sep_17_2012	164.72	89.46	90.83	96.2	96.83	100.13	95(-9.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	51	260	41	82	0.75	45%	-0.88	-59.9	6.06%	0	1	59	0

16	Sep_14_2012	166.19	89.39	89.65	94.28	94.3	97.48	105.4(10.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	69	240	67	75	1	50%	-0.81	-110.8	6.03%	0	3	73	0
17	Sep_13_2012	167.55	88.97	87.35	90.28	90.38	93.53	95.2(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	250	39	33	0.3	46%	-0.9	-178.9	5.85%	0	1.4	57	0
18	Sep_12_2012	169.08	89.41	86.36	88.14	88.3	91.13	93.2(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	230	52	19	0.66	46%	-0.87	-170.4	5.85%	0	0.7	52	0
19	Sep_11_2012	170.57	90.13	85.68	86.22	86.05	87.23	92.2(7.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	18	90	26	-8	0.79	46%	-0.86	-159.3	5.85%	0	0.3	50	0
20	Sep_10_2012	172.05	92.74	85.18	84.74	84.98	85.48	85.4(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	50	10	-30	0.26	43%	-0.81	-78.9	5.75%	0	-0.5	23	0

21	Sep_7_2012	173.45	95.67	85.48	84.26	84.39	84.88	85.4(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	50	7	-41	0.27	43%	-0.87	-60.4	5.76%	0	-0.5	20	0
22	Sep_6_2012	174.98	97.92	85.93	83.94	83.91	84.48	84.5(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	50	3	-55	0.41	47%	-0.9	-56.5	5.75%	0	-0.7	12	0
23	Sep_5_2012	176.57	100.5	86.53	84.28	84.09	83.9	83.6(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-18	-20	-1	-69	0.43	50%	-0.96	-51.8	5.87%	0	-0.8	6	0
24	Sep_4_2012	178.29	103.48	87.25	85.04	84.64	83.35	84.8(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-120	-16	-87	0.53	48%	-1.41	-46.4	6.02%	0	-0.8	6	0
25	Aug_31_2012	180.84	106.39	88.04	85.72	85.84	84.28	83(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-51	-120	-23	-133	0.3	45%		-43.4	6.09%	0	-1	0	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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