Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 4, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $84.8000 (2.17%) ($80.0000 - $85.4000) on Tue. Sep. 4, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.02% (three month average)
RSI   6
Latest Price   $84.8000(2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -8.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(41%)    PEJ(40%)    SPY(35%)    XLY(34%)    XAR(33%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -3.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.01% (StdDev 6.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $53.61(-36.78%)
Resistance Level   $103.48
5 Day Moving Average   $85.04(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.25(-2.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.48(-18.05%)
To recent high   -62%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $2.432b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 22.73% (three month std-dev: 6.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2012	178.29	103.48	87.25	85.04	84.64	83.35	84.8(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-120	-16	-87	0.53	48%	-1.41	-46.4	6.02%	0	-0.8	6	NAN
2	Aug_31_2012	180.84	106.39	88.04	85.72	85.84	84.28	83(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-51	-120	-23	-133	0.3	45%	-1.04	-43.4	6.09%	0	-1	0	NAN
3	Aug_30_2012	182.74	108.85	89.24	86.88	86.96	85.93	83.8(-2.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-59	-80	-22	-168	0.46	44%	-0.98	-46.6	6.1%	0	-1	3	NAN
4	Aug_29_2012	184.54	111.1	90.82	88.18	88.01	87.4	86.2(-1.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-56	-50	-14	-181	0.38	44%	-1	-47.6	6.12%	0	-1.1	22	NAN
5	Aug_28_2012	186.4	113.33	92.75	89.1	89.08	88	87.4(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-58	-90	-11	-197	0.27	44%	-1.02	-50.5	6.12%	0	-1.1	21	NAN

6	Aug_27_2012	188.33	115.68	94.93	89.78	89.74	88.63	88.2(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-69	-90	-19	-217	0.47	44%	-0.54	-53.3	6.17%	0	-1.2	20	NAN
7	Aug_24_2012	189.35	118.23	100.74	90.74	90.33	90.16	88.8(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-62	-30	-15	-202	0.42	44%	-1.04	-54.3	6.18%	0	-1.3	20	NAN
8	Aug_23_2012	191.34	121.39	106.43	91.98	91.43	90.86	90.3(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-60	-8	-181	0.39	44%	-1.05	-55.7	6.18%	0	-1.4	32	NAN
9	Aug_22_2012	193.38	123.62	110.66	93.92	92.33	90.5	90.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-72	-190	-36	-180	0.5	44%	-1.09	-59.2	6.18%	0	-1.6	35	NAN
10	Aug_21_2012	195.52	126.41	115.43	97.04	95.13	92	90.8(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-81	-290	-52	-168	0.78	46%	-1.11	-59.1	6.19%	0	-1.8	35	NAN

11	Aug_20_2012	197.71	129.23	120.94	100.92	99.74	94.15	93(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-107	-430	-90	-159	0.86	46%	-1.4	-59.5	6.27%	0	-2	34	NAN
12	Aug_17_2012	200.51	132.08	126.27	112.52	104.84	98.25	95(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-149	-640	-153	-138	1.98	43%	-1.3	-51.2	6.31%	0	-2.2	33	NAN
13	Aug_16_2012	203.16	134.87	130.29	123.28	119.4	105.33	100(-6.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-108	-920	-112	-94	1.65	45%	-1.27	-43.1	6.31%	0	-2.4	31	NAN
14	Aug_15_2012	205.77	137.41	133.46	129.88	129.45	111.43	106.4(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-194	-980	-220	-115	1.06	45%	-1.27	-42.2	6.36%	0	-2.6	45	NAN
15	Aug_14_2012	208.41	139.32	136.15	136.32	136.16	133.48	110.2(-27.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-137	-140	-158	-75	3.12	50%	-1.15	-41.1	6.38%	0	-3	42	NAN

16	Aug_13_2012	210.84	139.32	138.8	143.4	143.24	147.48	151(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	76	200	87	43	1.54	56%	-0.89	-40.9	5.97%	0	1.3	54	NAN
17	Aug_10_2012	212.74	141.17	137.35	142.2	140.95	138.85	148.8(11.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-130	11	1	0.53	56%	-0.9	-55.4	5.96%	0	0.9	51	NAN
18	Aug_9_2012	214.67	141.4	137.36	138.8	140.23	139	133(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-30	-27	-26	0.3	53%	-1	-67.6	5.76%	0	-1	44	NAN
19	Aug_8_2012	216.84	142.69	137.39	137.72	139.23	143.05	138.6(-4.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	23	220	36	-16	0.25	53%	-1.01	-78	5.75%	0	-0.5	46	NAN
20	Aug_7_2012	219.05	143.49	137.92	135.92	135.83	141.45	145.6(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	56	290	76	-5	0.29	55%	-0.97	-83	5.73%	0	0.2	54	NAN

21	Aug_6_2012	221.2	144.39	137.68	133.44	132.7	135.4	145(10.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	33	130	52	-25	0.42	55%	-0.98	-83	5.77%	0	0.1	52	NAN
22	Aug_3_2012	223.39	145.77	137.76	132.04	132.14	130.2	131.8(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-100	-27	-68	0.15	52%	-1.02	-91.5	5.63%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
23	Aug_2_2012	225.69	147.58	139.36	136.04	135.56	130	127.6(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-61	-300	-58	-70	0.26	52%	-0.94	-87.6	5.61%	0	-1.5	34	NAN
24	Aug_1_2012	227.83	150	141.46	136.96	139.21	134.08	129.6(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-77	-210	-76	-81	0.43	52%	-0.94	-98.4	5.62%	0	-1.5	33	NAN
25	Jul_31_2012	229.99	152.3	142.79	140	140.26	141.13	133.2(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	50	-45	-66	0.27	52%		-101.5	5.65%	0	-1.4	38	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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