Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $138.6000 (-4.81%) ($138.4000 - $150.0000) on Wed. Aug. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.75% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $138.6000(-4.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(41%)    PEJ(39%)    SPY(34%)    XLY(34%)    XAR(32%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.875% (StdDev 5.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

Resistance Level   $142.69
5 Day Moving Average   $137.72(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $137.39(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.69(-2.87%)
To recent high   -46.9%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $3.976b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 6.24% (three month std-dev: 5.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2012	216.84	142.69	137.39	137.72	139.23	143.05	138.6(-4.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	23	220	36	-16	0.25	53%	-1.01	-78	5.75%	0	-0.5	46	0
2	Aug_7_2012	219.05	143.49	137.92	135.92	135.83	141.45	145.6(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	56	290	76	-5	0.29	55%	-0.97	-83	5.73%	0	0.2	54	0
3	Aug_6_2012	221.2	144.39	137.68	133.44	132.7	135.4	145(10.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	33	130	52	-25	0.42	55%	-0.98	-83	5.77%	0	0.1	52	0
4	Aug_3_2012	223.39	145.77	137.76	132.04	132.14	130.2	131.8(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-100	-27	-68	0.15	52%	-1.02	-91.5	5.63%	0	-1.1	39	0
5	Aug_2_2012	225.69	147.58	139.36	136.04	135.56	130	127.6(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-61	-300	-58	-70	0.26	52%	-0.94	-87.6	5.61%	0	-1.5	34	0

6	Aug_1_2012	227.83	150	141.46	136.96	139.21	134.08	129.6(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-77	-210	-76	-81	0.43	52%	-0.94	-98.4	5.62%	0	-1.5	33	0
7	Jul_31_2012	229.99	152.3	142.79	140	140.26	141.13	133.2(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	50	-45	-66	0.27	52%	-0.89	-101.5	5.65%	0	-1.4	38	0
8	Jul_30_2012	232.05	155.07	144	142.32	142.33	144.35	138(-9.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	19	100	38	-38	0.49	49%	-0.88	-90.8	5.65%	0	-1.2	35	0
9	Jul_27_2012	234.12	158.61	145.52	144.24	142.48	139.4	151.8(14.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	-190	-8	-63	1.02	52%	-0.81	-69.4	5.69%	0	-0.4	36	0
10	Jul_26_2012	236.04	160.71	145.74	143.48	142.91	140.3	132.2(-8.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-83	-140	-75	-106	0.68	48%	-0.92	-68	5.34%	0	-1.4	26	0

11	Jul_25_2012	238.22	164.19	148.52	146.64	146.06	145.55	144.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	-40	-1	-76	0.13	50%	-0.94	-65	5.25%	0	-0.9	27	0
12	Jul_24_2012	240.49	167.12	149.56	145.96	146.63	145.53	144.8(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-40	-5	-93	0.15	50%	-0.91	-65.5	5.27%	0	-1	28	0
13	Jul_23_2012	242.71	169.75	151.6	145.84	145.83	146.56	147.6(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-43	30	-20	-113	0.16	52%	-0.98	-70.1	5.27%	0	-1	24	0
14	Jul_20_2012	245.12	172.71	154.23	147	146.84	147.74	148(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	40	9	-117	0.32	50%	-1	-66.4	5.34%	0	-1.1	19	0
15	Jul_19_2012	247.59	175.77	156.26	148.56	149	145.1	148(4.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-57	-170	-29	-141	0.35	50%	-1.01	-61	5.38%	0	-1.2	30	0

16	Jul_18_2012	250.11	179.02	159.01	150.88	151.71	145.95	141.4(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-109	-250	-88	-172	0.57	49%	-1.03	-55.1	5.34%	0	-1.6	24	0
17	Jul_17_2012	252.72	182.91	162.51	153.68	154.61	152.9	144.2(-6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-94	-60	-69	-170	0.54	49%	-0.98	-50.5	5.36%	0	-1.7	25	0
18	Jul_16_2012	255.23	186.88	167.08	158.08	157.49	157.48	153.4(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10	-20	-142	0.39	51%	-0.94	-44.5	5.31%	0	-1.5	32	0
19	Jul_13_2012	257.64	189.4	172.72	162.56	161.18	156.33	155.8(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-240	-36	-131	0.37	51%	-0.91	-45.1	5.32%	0	-1.6	30	0
20	Jul_12_2012	260.01	191.26	176.83	165.16	164.5	157.5	159.6(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-123	-310	-111	-159	0.79	51%	-0.89	-50.6	5.33%	0	-1.6	30	0

21	Jul_11_2012	262.34	193.07	181.1	168.52	168.73	166.03	155.4(-6.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-96	-110	-81	-142	0.65	51%	-0.93	-55.1	5.34%	0	-2	27	0
22	Jul_10_2012	264.8	195.44	186.16	172.6	172.48	171.5	166.2(-5.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-40	-26	-115	0.38	53%	-0.38	-56.2	5.3%	0	-1.8	28	0
23	Jul_9_2012	265.82	197.59	189.47	177.4	175.46	171.43	175.8(4.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-89	-190	-74	-133	0.28	55%	-0.88	-46.1	5.27%	0	-1.5	29	0
24	Jul_6_2012	268.18	199.6	192.68	184.76	182.49	173.45	168.8(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-122	-380	-120	-129	0.37	55%	-0.91	-28.3	5.24%	0	-2.1	40	0
25	Jul_5_2012	270.63	201.9	196.94	190.4	191.46	179.5	176.4(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-146	-420	-156	-117	0.29	55%		-20.5	5.26%	0	-2	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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