Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 29, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $212.6000 (7.92%) ($200.0000 - $213.4000) on Fri. Jun. 29, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.4% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $212.6000(7.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(41%)    PEJ(39%)    SPY(34%)    XLY(34%)    XAR(33%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.7% (StdDev 5.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $203(4.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $208.44(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $204.67(3.87%)
To recent high   -42.2%
To recent low   18.8%
Market Cap   $6.098b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 5.19% (three month std-dev: 5.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.81%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2012	278.53	204.67	208.44	203	202.63	202.59	212.6(7.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10	30	23	0.33	56%	-0.77	-38.3	5.4%	0	0.7	53	NAN
2	Jun_28_2012	280.68	203.74	207.33	202.08	201.1	200.4	197(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-40	-43	-15	0.31	54%	-1.06	-58.6	5.29%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
3	Jun_27_2012	283.68	204.52	206.81	204.68	204.03	202.66	202.6(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-60	-9	-5	0.25	55%	-1	-60.8	5.29%	0	-0.2	46	NAN
4	Jun_26_2012	286.55	205.41	205.95	206.84	206.31	201.8	205(3.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-160	-59	-29	0.22	55%	-0.94	-54.5	5.34%	0	-0	47	NAN
5	Jun_25_2012	289.26	206.79	205.42	209.56	210.01	205.4	197.8(-4.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-70	-150	-83	-29	0.24	55%	-1.02	-52.3	5.33%	0	-0.7	54	NAN

6	Jun_22_2012	292.23	208.82	206.39	214.6	214.22	210.82	208(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-28	-120	-43	17	0.19	55%	-0.88	-35.2	5.31%	0	-0.1	66	NAN
7	Jun_21_2012	294.81	210.17	207	213.24	215.92	214.62	209.98(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-0	7	45	0.22	55%	-0.76	-37.7	5.31%	0	-0	58	NAN
8	Jun_20_2012	297.06	211.54	207.15	208.96	211.08	217.63	213.4(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	250	55	51	0.28	55%	-0.66	-46.7	5.31%	0	0.1	51	NAN
9	Jun_19_2012	299.04	212.68	206.94	204.68	203.34	217.23	218.6(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	140	460	161	76	0.63	55%	-0.59	-51.6	5.31%	0	0.3	49	NAN
10	Jun_18_2012	300.82	213.92	204.62	200.76	197.3	204.53	223(10.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	135	200	165	46	0.68	55%	-0.6	-50.8	5.31%	0	0.5	46	NAN

11	Jun_15_2012	302.63	214.22	200.25	197.52	194.26	189.45	201.2(6.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	-220	-40	-78	0.89	54%	-0.63	-47.9	5.11%	0	-0.6	37	NAN
12	Jun_14_2012	304.56	216.48	199.56	200.32	199.01	190.08	188.6(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-133	-330	-134	-130	0.38	52%	-0.71	-32.9	5.09%	0	-1.3	33	NAN
13	Jun_13_2012	306.74	220.04	201.98	205.08	205.16	199.08	192(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-126	-210	-126	-127	0.51	52%	-0.72	-14.6	5.09%	0	-1.3	33	NAN
14	Jun_12_2012	308.98	222.66	204.9	209.2	210.48	207.95	199(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-70	-35	-87	0.49	52%	-0.71	-2.3	5.09%	0	-1.1	35	NAN
15	Jun_11_2012	311.19	224.53	208.35	208.54	211.09	211.25	206.8(-3.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	40	29	-70	0.29	52%	-0.68	2.3	5.07%	0	-0.9	35	NAN

16	Jun_8_2012	313.33	224.34	211.47	202.98	205.11	213	215.2(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	33	300	66	-67	0.32	52%	-0.68	-5.3	5.06%	0	-0.4	45	NAN
17	Jun_7_2012	315.46	223.66	213.44	198.7	198.93	210.93	212.4(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	113	430	165	-44	0.43	50%	-0.64	-12.2	5.06%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
18	Jun_6_2012	317.49	223.3	216.02	198.78	193.96	197.21	212.6(8.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	45	40	87	-83	0.67	50%	-0.57	-13.9	5.09%	0	-0.5	36	NAN
19	Jun_5_2012	319.3	223.15	218.5	200.66	195.69	186.94	195.7(9.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-124	-390	-111	-163	0.54	45%	-0.4	-13.7	4.96%	0	-1.2	37	NAN
20	Jun_4_2012	320.58	224.06	223.72	208.68	205.21	190.7	179(-7.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-233	-540	-246	-194	0.63	42%	-0.65	-5.2	4.82%	0	-2	34	NAN

21	Jun_1_2012	322.68	225.47	229.47	221.08	218.05	204.45	193.8(-8.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-224	-480	-249	-148	1.17	44%	-0.61	2.6	4.75%	0	-1.6	55	NAN
22	May_31_2012	324.65	226.37	235.17	229.88	229.44	219.73	212.8(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-149	-300	-176	-69	0.3	47%	-0.53	7.9	4.72%	0	-0.7	61	NAN
23	May_30_2012	326.38	226.46	240.02	235.44	235.76	231.65	222(-5.85%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-78	-120	-106	6	0.18	47%	-0.51	8.2	4.7%	0	-0.2	62	NAN
24	May_29_2012	328.04	226.29	242.35	238.84	238.98	239.15	235.8(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	10	-20	72	0.16	50%	-0.49	8.1	4.66%	0	0.5	64	NAN
25	May_25_2012	329.65	225.21	242.4	241.24	240.24	239.88	241(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	43	-20	19	114	0.11	50%		6.4	4.59%	0	0.8	64	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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