Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $248.2000 (-4.9%) ($243.2000 - $258.0000) on Thu. May. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.49% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $248.2000(-4.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 4.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(41%)    PEJ(39%)    SPY(34%)    XLY(34%)    XAR(32%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.245% (StdDev 4.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $237.06(4.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $221.12(12.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $223.49(11.06%)
To recent high   -38.7%
To recent low   25.7%
Market Cap   $7.119b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 8.46% (three month std-dev: 4.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2012	338.42	223.49	221.12	237.06	248.64	251.78	248.2(-4.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	230	1	73	0.33	49%	-0.62	-9.5	4.49%	0	1.3	52	0
2	May_16_2012	340.53	222.64	216.72	226.9	235.36	261.43	261(7.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	251	890	290	135	0.35	52%	-0.6	-33.1	4.45%	0	2.1	56	0
3	May_15_2012	342.59	221.31	211.27	214.98	222.5	245.51	243.4(3.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	451	830	543	175	1.23	48%	-0.3	-57.3	4.38%	0	1.2	48	0
4	May_14_2012	343.63	221.44	208.2	207.62	205.93	209.29	234.7(18.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	107	90	149	-21	0.82	48%	-0.67	-70	4.35%	0	0.7	47	0
5	May_11_2012	345.94	222.14	205.77	202.52	202.41	199.49	198(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-86	-100	-62	-158	0.07	32%	-0.73	-75.9	3.65%	0	-1.2	28	0

6	May_10_2012	348.48	225.3	209.69	202.8	204.78	202.56	197.4(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-70	-50	-46	-140	0.07	32%	-0.78	-75.7	3.67%	0	-1.3	40	0
7	May_9_2012	351.21	228.92	213.67	204.56	205.16	205.33	201.4(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-60	10	-37	-128	0.06	27%	-0.75	-78.4	3.67%	0	-1.3	36	0
8	May_8_2012	353.85	231.94	217.92	206.6	206.25	207	206.6(-1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-19	20	6	-93	0.08	27%	-0.68	-82.3	4%	0	-1.2	36	0
9	May_7_2012	356.28	235.11	221.12	208.74	208.1	205	209.2(4.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	-110	-31	-107	0.13	27%	-0.73	-83.6	4.02%	0	-1.1	33	0
10	May_4_2012	358.9	238.48	223.91	209.74	211.13	205.5	199.4(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-140	-170	-135	-156	0.13	23%	-0.75	-100.3	3.96%	0	-1.8	26	0

11	May_3_2012	361.63	242.69	226.56	217.76	217.02	211.2	206.2(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-147	-200	-144	-155	0.2	28%	-0.7	-105.2	3.98%	0	-1.7	26	0
12	May_2_2012	364.18	246.9	229.63	224.2	224.9	216.76	211.6(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-139	-240	-136	-148	0.17	33%	-0.73	-108.5	4.08%	0	-1.6	25	0
13	May_1_2012	366.84	251.28	232.67	230.96	231.33	222.84	217.3(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-167	-250	-173	-150	0.26	36%	-0.64	-108.3	4.21%	0	-1.4	33	0
14	Apr_30_2012	369.21	255.62	236.11	235.34	237.31	233.04	214.2(-10.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-109	-100	-106	-119	0.14	36%	-0.72	-106.5	4.29%	0	-1.7	28	0
15	Apr_27_2012	371.87	262.95	240.13	239.9	239.98	239.81	239.5(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-0	-0	-78	0.07	40%	-0.57	-75.1	4.11%	0	-0.7	32	0

16	Apr_26_2012	374.01	268.36	242.21	236.52	238.01	241.58	238.4(-2.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	120	39	-84	0.05	40%	-0.51	-66.9	4.13%	0	-0.8	30	0
17	Apr_25_2012	375.94	273.97	245.25	235.88	235.26	240.15	245.4(2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	40	140	79	-79	0.05	40%	-0.38	-61.3	4.13%	0	-0.7	29	0
18	Apr_24_2012	377.39	279.7	246.72	234.96	234.08	234.45	239.2(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-0	32	-120	0.15	40%	-0.39	-56.5	4.11%	0	-0.9	23	0
19	Apr_23_2012	378.86	285.02	249.77	237.44	235.78	230.38	237(6.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-107	-180	-84	-176	0.25	40%	-0.39	-55.4	4.11%	0	-1.1	21	0
20	Apr_20_2012	380.34	290.1	253.75	240.72	240.87	233.7	222.6(-5.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-184	-210	-164	-242	0.12	36%	-0.43	-56.5	4%	0	-1.5	6	0

21	Apr_19_2012	381.97	296.03	259.95	248.68	248.14	241.18	235.2(-2.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-176	-200	-152	-247	0.1	38%	-0.31	-57.2	3.96%	0	-1.4	14	0
22	Apr_18_2012	383.17	301.69	265.53	255.88	254.86	248.05	240.8(-4.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-183	-200	-158	-256	0.12	42%	-0.21	-55	3.99%	0	-1.4	15	0
23	Apr_17_2012	383.99	307.47	271.46	260.04	263.12	255.1	251.6(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-158	-180	-125	-255	0.09	44%	-0.15	-53.7	4.04%	0	-1.4	15	0
24	Apr_16_2012	384.55	312.8	276.77	263.92	267.95	261.68	253.4(-3.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-184	-120	-154	-273	0.08	44%	-0.22	-51.3	4.05%	0	-1.5	24	0
25	Apr_13_2012	385.4	318.27	287.6	268.8	271.74	271.15	262.4(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-106	20	-69	-215	0.1	44%		-48.7	4.06%	0	-1.5	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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