Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 10, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $271.0000 (-2.45%) ($266.0000 - $279.0000) on Tue. Apr. 10, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $271.0000(-2.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -9.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(40%)    PEJ(39%)    SPY(34%)    XLY(33%)    XAR(32%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2% (StdDev 4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $331
5 Day Moving Average   $284.72(-4.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $315.05(-13.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $331(-18.13%)
To recent high   -44.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $7.773b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 9.31% (three month std-dev: 4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.71%(43%) Average negative next day return: -6.75%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 3.63%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -4.84%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 8.83%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.37%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120510

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_10_2012	388.88	331	315.05	284.72	283.32	275.69	271(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-164	-200	-152	-199	0.17	44%	-0.54	-51.3	4%	0	-1.9	26	0
2	Apr_9_2012	390.99	334.53	322.97	291.62	290.84	282.41	277.8(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-208	-210	-208	-208	0.16	44%	-0.92	-56	4.05%	0	-2.1	27	0
3	Apr_5_2012	394.64	338.01	329.41	309.58	300.83	290.95	283.6(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-253	-310	-270	-202	0.22	44%	-0.52	-54.1	4.03%	0	-2.3	27	0
4	Apr_4_2012	396.69	341.13	335.33	323.66	320.33	299.28	290.8(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-249	-490	-273	-178	0.18	44%	-0.5	-56.5	4.06%	0	-2.5	30	0
5	Apr_3_2012	398.68	344.17	341.3	336.7	335.59	310.71	300.4(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-439	-530	-505	-239	0.18	41%	-0.47	-58.7	4.05%	0	-2.6	42	0

6	Apr_2_2012	400.57	347.62	347.08	349.74	350.17	341.39	305.5(-16.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.1	-269	-170	-316	-128	0.5	41%	-0.46	-56.5	4.12%	0	-3	43	0
7	Mar_30_2012	402.44	350.64	352.59	358.16	360.16	360.48	367.6(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	72	20	76	61	0.13	50%	-0.31	-55.7	3.58%	0	1.4	66	0
8	Mar_29_2012	403.69	351.19	351.6	352.2	354.75	358.95	354(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	100	32	36	0.06	47%	-0.33	-61.1	3.57%	0	0.2	57	0
9	Mar_28_2012	405.01	352.78	351.8	348.96	350.06	359.84	356(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	155	210	176	92	0.13	47%	-0.36	-57.3	3.63%	0	0.2	59	0
10	Mar_27_2012	406.49	354.46	350.05	346.96	344.71	350.54	365.6(5.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	140	100	161	78	0.11	47%	-0.39	-52.6	3.62%	0	0.6	59	0

11	Mar_26_2012	408.09	355.77	347.5	344.72	342.8	340.28	347.6(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-70	-12	-8	0.11	43%	-0.44	-52.9	3.56%	0	-0.4	40	0
12	Mar_23_2012	409.91	357.76	346.35	346.48	346.25	338.88	337.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-124	-150	-142	-68	0.1	43%	-0.19	-52.1	3.56%	0	-0.9	38	0
13	Mar_22_2012	410.67	360.33	346.84	351	351.49	345.33	337.8(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-139	-120	-158	-80	0.11	43%	-0.19	-49.9	3.59%	0	-1	30	0
14	Mar_21_2012	411.44	362.82	347.2	354.8	355.83	353.63	346(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-30	-51	-49	0.12	43%	-0.17	-46.6	3.61%	0	-0.8	30	0
15	Mar_20_2012	412.15	364.91	347.25	353.12	355.59	357.65	354.4(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	16	60	34	-40	0.08	43%	-0.15	-47.6	3.61%	0	-0.5	31	0

16	Mar_19_2012	412.77	366.93	348.19	350.46	351.4	358.03	356.4(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	78	140	113	-28	0.05	43%	-0.15	-49.1	3.64%	0	-0.5	31	0
17	Mar_16_2012	413.39	369.25	348.56	346.14	346.07	353.53	360.4(1.01%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	113	150	161	-30	0.1	43%	-0.14	-54.5	3.67%	0	-0.4	36	0
18	Mar_15_2012	413.98	371.4	350.43	342.3	341.66	344.78	356.8(5.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	62	60	104	-65	0.18	43%	-0.15	-59.6	3.67%	0	-0.6	34	0
19	Mar_14_2012	414.62	373.07	353.32	338.86	339.86	338.61	337.6(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-35	-20	-6	-120	0.07	38%	-0.21	-80.6	3.6%	0	-1.4	24	0
20	Mar_13_2012	415.5	375.69	358.79	340.62	340.29	338.54	341.1(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-102	-40	-87	-146	0.1	38%	-0.21	-101	3.62%	0	-1.5	25	0

21	Mar_12_2012	416.36	378.23	364.28	345.72	345.5	341.1	334.8(-1.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-80	-90	-65	-125	0.06	38%	-0.23	-117.5	3.67%	0	-2	17	0
22	Mar_9_2012	417.3	382.56	369.92	351.28	350.76	342.05	341.2(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-175	-180	-179	-163	0.1	38%	-0.22	-129	3.72%	0	-2	17	0
23	Mar_8_2012	418.2	386.71	374.98	359.84	358.29	349.9	339.6(-1.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-218	-180	-234	-171	0.22	38%	-0.22	-132	3.79%	0	-2.3	15	0
24	Mar_7_2012	419.13	394.04	380.12	369.96	370.03	359.48	346.4(-5.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-161	-200	-173	-126	0.12	47%	-0.21	-80	3.85%	0	-1.7	31	0
25	Mar_6_2012	420.01	400.73	384.65	379.54	378.6	366.68	366.6(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-220	-230	-249	-134	0.08	50%		-54	4%	0	-1.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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