Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 15, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $356.8000 (5.69%) ($334.2000 - $366.4000) on Thu. Mar. 15, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.67% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $356.8000(5.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -6.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(40%)    PEJ(39%)    SPY(34%)    XLY(33%)    XAR(32%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.835% (StdDev 3.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.9%

Resistance Level   $371.4
5 Day Moving Average   $342.3(4.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $350.43(1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $371.4(-3.93%)
To recent high   -27.4%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $10.234b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 6.64% (three month std-dev: 3.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.45%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.45%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.5%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2012	413.98	371.4	350.43	342.3	341.66	344.78	356.8(5.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	62	60	104	-65	0.18	43%	-0.15	-59.6	3.67%	0	-0.6	34	NAN
2	Mar_14_2012	414.62	373.07	353.32	338.86	339.86	338.61	337.6(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-35	-20	-6	-120	0.07	38%	-0.21	-80.6	3.6%	0	-1.4	24	NAN
3	Mar_13_2012	415.5	375.69	358.79	340.62	340.29	338.54	341.1(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-102	-40	-87	-146	0.1	38%	-0.21	-101	3.62%	0	-1.5	25	NAN
4	Mar_12_2012	416.36	378.23	364.28	345.72	345.5	341.1	334.8(-1.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-80	-90	-65	-125	0.06	38%	-0.23	-117.5	3.67%	0	-2	17	NAN
5	Mar_9_2012	417.3	382.56	369.92	351.28	350.76	342.05	341.2(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-175	-180	-179	-163	0.1	38%	-0.22	-129	3.72%	0	-2	17	NAN

6	Mar_8_2012	418.2	386.71	374.98	359.84	358.29	349.9	339.6(-1.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-218	-180	-234	-171	0.22	38%	-0.22	-132	3.79%	0	-2.3	15	NAN
7	Mar_7_2012	419.13	394.04	380.12	369.96	370.03	359.48	346.4(-5.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-161	-200	-173	-126	0.12	47%	-0.21	-80	3.85%	0	-1.7	31	NAN
8	Mar_6_2012	420.01	400.73	384.65	379.54	378.6	366.68	366.6(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-220	-230	-249	-134	0.08	50%	-0.15	-54	4%	0	-1.1	41	NAN
9	Mar_5_2012	420.66	405.76	387.78	385.7	387.63	380.58	362.6(-5.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-156	-110	-178	-91	0.15	50%	-0.17	-37	4%	0	-1.3	37	NAN
10	Mar_2_2012	421.38	411.9	392.17	391.14	393.88	390.53	384(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-40	-53	-35	0.07	55%	-0.11	-20.5	3.94%	0	-0.8	31	NAN

11	Mar_1_2012	421.85	415.7	394.34	392.34	393.76	394.69	390.2(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	30	-27	-28	0.06	60%	-0.09	-11.1	3.93%	0	-0.7	32	NAN
12	Feb_29_2012	422.25	417.77	394.44	391.86	393.11	397.24	394.3(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	49	80	72	-21	0.07	65%	-0.09	-8.3	4.19%	0	-0.6	19	NAN
13	Feb_28_2012	422.61	418.66	393.79	390.64	390.68	392.83	397.4(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	28	40	57	-58	0.12	58%	-0.08	-9.9	4.23%	0	-0.6	23	NAN
14	Feb_27_2012	422.93	418.69	392.95	390.52	389.15	388.98	389.8(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-46	-10	-24	-112	0.06	58%	-0.1	-12.7	4.39%	0	-0.8	27	NAN
15	Feb_24_2012	423.37	419.52	395.8	393.6	392.93	388.53	390(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-64	-80	-41	-133	0.07	58%	-0.1	-12.6	4.39%	0	-0.8	24	NAN

16	Feb_23_2012	423.81	419.88	398.94	396.8	397	389.33	387.8(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-125	-130	-111	-166	0.08	50%	-0.12	-14.2	4.43%	0	-0.9	34	NAN
17	Feb_22_2012	424.3	420.86	408.55	397.28	400.03	397.33	388.2(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-86	-30	-73	-125	0.06	43%	-0.12	-15.4	4.86%	0	-0.9	44	NAN
18	Feb_21_2012	424.79	422.29	417.64	397.04	399.71	404.68	396.8(-2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	21	110	46	-55	0.07	40%	-0.09	-13.4	5.21%	0	-0.7	52	NAN
19	Feb_17_2012	425.18	423.4	424.75	395.48	395.26	402.73	405.2(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	51	130	77	-27	0.12	44%	-0.07	-11	5.37%	0	-0.5	57	NAN
20	Feb_16_2012	425.46	424.13	432.73	398.56	394.35	394.75	406(4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	19	-20	32	-22	0.13	44%	-0.07	-4.6	5.38%	0	-0.5	55	NAN

21	Feb_15_2012	425.74	425.13	438.38	402.04	399.59	387.8	390.2(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-113	-220	-128	-66	0.07	44%	-0.12	4.2	5.36%	0	-1	54	NAN
22	Feb_14_2012	426.26	426.46	443.06	422.32	409.06	393.95	387(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-276	-350	-331	-111	0.11	44%	-0.14	25.5	5.35%	0	-1.2	51	NAN
23	Feb_13_2012	426.84	427.03	446.2	441.68	436.04	411.38	389(-7.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-182	-430	-228	-42	0.27	44%	-0.13	46.7	5.35%	0	-1.1	49	NAN
24	Feb_10_2012	427.4	427.17	447.79	457.92	452.96	424.18	420.6(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-358	-480	-442	-105	0.1	46%	-0.02	65.5	5.27%	0	-0.2	54	NAN
25	Feb_9_2012	427.5	425.65	446.59	471.52	467.75	460.7	423.4(-13.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-214	-130	-278	-20	0.56	45%		80.2	5.28%	0	-0.1	54	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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