Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $491.6000 (1.61%) ($473.0000 - $516.7900) on Wed. Feb. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.99% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $491.6000(1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 8.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(40%)    PEJ(39%)    SPY(34%)    XLY(33%)    XAR(32%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.495% (StdDev 4.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $479.16(2.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $444.11(10.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $423.71(16.02%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   61.3%
Market Cap   $14.101b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 8.49% (three month std-dev: 4.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 4.69%(33%) Average negative next day return: -4.61%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.67%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.07%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2012	427.57	423.71	444.11	479.16	480.56	481.75	491.6(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	148	30	144	161	0.44	49%	0.23	85.7	4.99%	0	1.9	66	0
2	Feb_7_2012	426.57	418.08	434.9	466.8	469.91	474.8	483.8(2.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	90	45	100	0.13	48%	0.21	81.9	5.02%	0	2	68	0
3	Feb_6_2012	425.66	412.06	427.31	451.6	456.99	479.38	470.2(-3.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	252	380	277	176	0.12	48%	0.17	65.7	5%	0	1.9	71	0
4	Feb_3_2012	424.94	406.3	421.37	436.08	437.18	465.03	488.6(5.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	388	450	442	226	0.15	48%	0.25	41.6	5.02%	0	2.7	77	0
5	Feb_2_2012	423.9	399.51	413.41	418.52	416.76	434.6	461.6(7.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	305	290	350	170	0.26	46%	0.15	12.5	5.01%	0	2.5	73	0

6	Feb_1_2012	423.27	394.97	408.94	404.32	402.85	409.33	429.8(5.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	127	100	144	77	0.11	42%	0.03	-22.5	4.95%	0	1.7	69	0
7	Jan_31_2012	423.16	392.59	406.82	398.68	397.39	398.93	407.8(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	20	20	26	0.08	39%	-0.06	-49	4.94%	0	0.8	62	0
8	Jan_30_2012	423.42	392.63	405.23	399.52	398.16	396.38	392.6(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-40	-20	18	0.12	39%	-0.13	-54.6	4.95%	0	-0	65	0
9	Jan_27_2012	423.96	394.19	404.64	404.04	401.61	395.85	400.8(2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-53	-120	-75	13	0.06	39%	-0.1	-54.3	4.99%	0	0.3	72	0
10	Jan_26_2012	424.38	396.42	403.32	407.28	406.68	399.95	390.6(-2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-78	-120	-109	14	0.06	39%	-0.14	-47.6	5.02%	0	-0.3	69	0

11	Jan_25_2012	424.99	399.63	402.64	413.92	411.41	407.37	401.6(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-54	-90	-85	38	0.09	39%	-0.1	-30.2	5.06%	0	0.1	62	0
12	Jan_24_2012	425.42	402.08	400.97	415.88	415.38	413.42	412(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-40	-2	75	0.05	39%	-0.06	-25.3	5.09%	0	0.3	60	0
13	Jan_23_2012	425.68	403.32	396.56	411.52	413.03	415.45	415.2(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	50	31	69	0.06	39%	-0.05	-31.8	5.14%	0	0.4	49	0
14	Jan_20_2012	425.88	405.17	390.81	405.08	405.64	417.35	417(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	108	210	119	74	0.05	39%	-0.04	-33.8	5.19%	0	0.4	44	0
15	Jan_19_2012	426.05	406.75	384.86	398.72	397.38	410.6	423.8(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	187	220	223	79	0.08	39%	-0.01	-39.5	5.24%	0	0.5	39	0

16	Jan_18_2012	426.1	407.3	379.65	389.96	387.73	393.93	411.4(5.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	98	90	129	5	0.09	39%	-0.07	-44.5	5.27%	0	0.1	34	0
17	Jan_17_2012	426.4	409.49	376.59	384.28	382.3	384.15	390.2(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	12	20	36	-60	0.09	36%	-0.18	-47.7	5.26%	0	-0.5	28	0
18	Jan_13_2012	427.15	412.92	378.3	379.44	381.18	381.53	383(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	21	20	50	-68	0.04	36%	-0.22	-48.2	5.31%	0	-0.8	32	0
19	Jan_12_2012	428.09	416.32	382.22	374.08	375.12	380.45	385.2(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	110	37	-88	0.07	36%	-0.22	-48.3	5.36%	0	-0.8	29	0
20	Jan_11_2012	429.02	420.32	388.23	368.56	368.89	380.83	380(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	82	230	129	-59	0.08	36%	-0.25	-43.8	5.41%	0	-1	29	0

21	Jan_10_2012	430.11	423.7	395.74	367.72	364.25	369.79	383(4.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	76	80	121	-58	0.08	36%	-0.25	-38	5.48%	0	-1	36	0
22	Jan_9_2012	431.18	428.05	402.71	368.2	363.53	356.96	366(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-97	-160	-83	-140	0.09	36%	-0.35	-29.1	5.48%	0	-1.6	26	0
23	Jan_6_2012	432.7	432.31	410.42	377.52	374.04	358.71	356.2(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-196	-310	-202	-179	0.07	36%	-0.42	-16.2	5.52%	0	-2.1	22	0
24	Jan_5_2012	434.52	436.16	420.95	391.8	389.88	370.09	357.6(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-272	-370	-297	-197	0.14	36%	-0.43	4	5.59%	0	-2.5	27	0
25	Jan_4_2012	436.4	438.26	431.16	410.76	409.94	389.38	375.8(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-269	-360	-300	-177	0.07	36%		38	5.62%	0	-2.4	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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