Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $390.2000 (1.88%) ($374.0000 - $397.6000) on Tue. Jan. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.26% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $390.2000(1.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(40%)    PEJ(39%)    SPY(34%)    XLY(33%)    XAR(32%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.63% (StdDev 5.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

Resistance Level   $409.49
5 Day Moving Average   $384.28(1.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $376.59(3.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $409.49(-4.71%)
To recent high   -25.5%
To recent low   28%
Market Cap   $11.192b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 9.09% (three month std-dev: 5.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_17_2012	426.4	409.49	376.59	384.28	382.3	384.15	390.2(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	12	20	36	-60	0.09	36%	-0.18	-47.7	5.26%	0	-0.5	28	0
2	Jan_13_2012	427.15	412.92	378.3	379.44	381.18	381.53	383(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	21	20	50	-68	0.04	36%	-0.22	-48.2	5.31%	0	-0.8	32	0
3	Jan_12_2012	428.09	416.32	382.22	374.08	375.12	380.45	385.2(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	110	37	-88	0.07	36%	-0.22	-48.3	5.36%	0	-0.8	29	0
4	Jan_11_2012	429.02	420.32	388.23	368.56	368.89	380.83	380(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	82	230	129	-59	0.08	36%	-0.25	-43.8	5.41%	0	-1	29	0
5	Jan_10_2012	430.11	423.7	395.74	367.72	364.25	369.79	383(4.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	76	80	121	-58	0.08	36%	-0.25	-38	5.48%	0	-1	36	0

6	Jan_9_2012	431.18	428.05	402.71	368.2	363.53	356.96	366(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-97	-160	-83	-140	0.09	36%	-0.35	-29.1	5.48%	0	-1.6	26	0
7	Jan_6_2012	432.7	432.31	410.42	377.52	374.04	358.71	356.2(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-196	-310	-202	-179	0.07	36%	-0.42	-16.2	5.52%	0	-2.1	22	0
8	Jan_5_2012	434.52	436.16	420.95	391.8	389.88	370.09	357.6(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-272	-370	-297	-197	0.14	36%	-0.43	4	5.59%	0	-2.5	27	0
9	Jan_4_2012	436.4	438.26	431.16	410.76	409.94	389.38	375.8(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-269	-360	-300	-177	0.07	36%	-0.34	38	5.62%	0	-2.4	27	0
10	Jan_3_2012	437.91	439.18	438.2	427.8	429.61	409.68	385.4(-6.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-242	-310	-274	-146	0.13	36%	-0.31	76.2	5.68%	0	-2.2	38	0

11	Dec_30_2011	439.26	439.48	446.18	442.08	444.69	430.5	412.6(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-186	-210	-213	-105	0.06	39%	-0.16	90.9	5.67%	0	-1	37	0
12	Dec_29_2011	439.96	438.27	451.34	447.96	452.26	449.55	427.6(-5.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-84	-10	-96	-48	0.04	39%	-0.07	97.4	5.72%	0	-0.4	48	0
13	Dec_28_2011	440.29	434.9	453.98	454.28	454.18	458.88	452.4(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	70	36	19	0.04	39%	0.08	82	5.74%	0	0.5	60	0
14	Dec_27_2011	439.96	428.77	455.27	454.8	453.68	454.98	461(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	10	62	47	0.04	39%	0.14	51.7	5.81%	0	0.7	70	0
15	Dec_23_2011	439.35	421.4	453.71	450.6	451.39	449.48	456.8(3.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-15	-20	-26	20	0.06	39%	0.12	20.6	5.9%	0	0.7	70	0

16	Dec_22_2011	438.84	415.53	454.8	451.4	451.58	452.38	442(-3.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-14	10	-31	39	0.06	39%	0.02	6.9	5.95%	0	0.5	69	0
17	Dec_21_2011	438.75	410.6	455.39	455.32	455.64	453.3	459.2(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-30	12	78	0.05	39%	0.15	-3.1	6.01%	0	0.9	73	0
18	Dec_20_2011	438.11	407.44	452.04	453.68	457.69	450.78	455(3.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-27	-80	-58	65	0.06	39%	0.13	-10.8	6.1%	0	0.9	77	0
19	Dec_19_2011	437.56	407.63	445.65	455.96	457.19	457.98	440(-4.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-35	20	-73	81	0.06	39%	0.02	-10.4	6.17%	0	0.6	80	0
20	Dec_16_2011	437.48	411	440.42	456.96	460.96	464.61	460.8(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	103	80	82	167	0.23	39%	0.18	-6.3	6.22%	0	0.8	87	0

21	Dec_15_2011	436.68	411.98	432.56	458.72	457.29	456.41	461.6(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	39	-20	1	153	0.06	39%	0.2	-4.9	6.33%	0	0.8	75	0
22	Dec_14_2011	435.79	412.27	424.44	455.48	456.03	457.3	451(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	56	20	18	170	0.12	39%	0.13	-6.4	6.43%	0	0.6	72	0
23	Dec_13_2011	435.22	413.21	414.71	449.88	451.44	458.18	466.4(4.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	125	110	104	187	0.12	39%	0.28	-9.9	6.53%	0	0.8	59	0
24	Dec_12_2011	434.02	413.3	400.35	433.56	436.98	454.75	445(-5.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	162	310	165	153	0.11	39%	0.1	-19.3	6.58%	0	0.5	46	0
25	Dec_9_2011	433.58	414.75	386.68	420.72	419.66	444.7	469.6(5.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	254	410	292	138	0.14	39%		-26.5	6.64%	0	0.8	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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