Trading Signals: GRFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: GRFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 2, 2011 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Grifols, S.A.)
GRFS latest price $15.5500 (3.67%) ($14.8200 - $15.8500) on Thu. Oct. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.55% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $15.5500(3.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRFS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRFS declines -7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(42%)    XLV(41%)    EWG(40%)    SPY(40%)    EWP(39%)
Factors Impacting GRFS price   GRFS will decline at least -1.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-6%)    GDXJ(-1%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.275% (StdDev 2.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $2.06(-86.75%)
Resistance Level   $16.83
5 Day Moving Average   $15.14(2.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.91(-2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.83(-7.61%)
To recent high   -26.7%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $4.018b

Grifols SA engages in the production of plasma derivatives. It operates through the following segments: Bioscience, Hospital, Diagnostic, Bio Supplies, and Others. The Bioscience Segment includes all activities related with products deriving from human plasma for therapeutic use. The Hospital Segment comprises of all non-biological pharmaceutical products and medical supplies manufactured by group companies earmarked for hospital pharmacy. The Diagnostic Segment deals with the marketing of diagnostic testing equipment, reagents, and other equipment. The Bio Supplies segment consists of all transactions related to biological products for non-therapeutic use. The Others segment focuses on the rendering of manufacturing services to third party companies. The company was founded by JosÃ© Antonio Grifols Roig on November 18, 1940 and is headquartered in Barcelona, Spain.

$. GRFS price fluctuates within 7.31% (three month std-dev: 2.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.57%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -8.01%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.6%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2014	19.64	16.83	15.91	15.14	15.11	15.06	15.55(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-39	-30	4	-166	2.81	21%	-0.25	-68.4	2.55%	0	-1	28	0
2	Oct_15_2014	19.69	16.97	16.1	15.1	15.15	14.96	15(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-68	-80	-28	-187	0.87	16%	-0.3	-71.7	2.52%	0	-1.6	18	0
3	Oct_14_2014	19.75	17.16	16.33	15.5	15.42	15.16	14.97(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-63	-130	-27	-169	1.87	20%	-0.25	-71	2.52%	0	-1.9	16	0
4	Oct_13_2014	19.8	17.34	16.59	15.87	15.89	15.33	14.88(-2.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-62	-240	-34	-146	1.33	20%	-0.3	-72.8	2.56%	0	-2.3	24	0
5	Oct_10_2014	19.86	17.52	16.88	16.33	16.33	15.69	15.29(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-63	-270	-42	-125	2.96	25%	-0.3	-75.8	2.57%	0	-2.4	22	0

6	Oct_9_2014	19.92	17.71	17.13	16.79	16.83	16.44	15.35(-9.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-52	-160	-35	-103	3.08	25%	-0.3	-76.6	2.57%	0	-2.8	21	0
7	Oct_8_2014	19.98	17.91	17.38	17.23	17.23	16.97	17.02(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-110	-9	-81	1.99	29%	-0.2	-77.1	2.29%	0	-1.2	31	0
8	Oct_7_2014	20.02	18.03	17.49	17.27	17.38	17.21	16.8(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-50	-16	-85	2.07	27%	-0.2	-79.2	2.31%	0	-1.7	28	0
9	Oct_6_2014	20.06	18.15	17.58	17.43	17.5	17.49	17.21(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	10	-6	-80	3.02	28%	-0.15	-78.3	2.33%	0	-1.3	32	0
10	Oct_3_2014	20.09	18.27	17.7	17.52	17.55	17.54	17.55(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	0	-0	-71	2.01	28%	-0.15	-75.4	2.34%	0	-1	37	0

11	Oct_2_2014	20.12	18.38	17.81	17.54	17.57	17.5	17.55(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-20	-3	-75	2.69	28%	-0.2	-74.5	2.34%	0	-1.1	31	0
12	Oct_1_2014	20.16	18.48	17.9	17.56	17.6	17.56	17.25(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-30	-10	-12	-85	0.77	28%	-0.15	-72.8	2.32%	0	-1.5	24	0
13	Sep_30_2014	20.19	18.62	18.04	17.74	17.71	17.63	17.57(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-22	-40	-2	-80	0.54	28%	-0.15	-65.6	2.32%	0	-1.3	23	0
14	Sep_29_2014	20.22	18.74	18.13	17.76	17.78	17.65	17.7(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-50	-11	-93	0.51	28%	-0.15	-67.4	2.32%	0	-1.4	30	0
15	Sep_26_2014	20.25	18.85	18.2	17.91	17.85	17.79	17.61(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-30	-15	-98	3.93	28%	-0.1	-58.7	2.33%	0	-1.6	26	0

16	Sep_25_2014	20.27	18.97	18.33	18.12	18.07	17.91	17.68(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-70	-11	-93	0.98	27%	-0.15	-50.6	2.33%	0	-1.7	25	0
17	Sep_24_2014	20.3	19.09	18.48	18.3	18.26	17.92	18.16(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-140	-12	-87	0.54	28%	-0.1	-40.9	2.33%	0	-1.3	32	0
18	Sep_23_2014	20.32	19.16	18.61	18.37	18.43	18.22	17.66(-4.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-37	-70	-18	-92	1.48	23%	-0.15	-34.6	2.31%	0	-2.2	20	0
19	Sep_22_2014	20.35	19.27	18.77	18.37	18.59	18.6	18.44(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	10	-0	-84	0.47	25%	-0.15	-19.9	2.27%	0	-1.4	27	0
20	Sep_19_2014	20.38	19.32	18.88	18.54	18.56	18.64	18.68(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	30	-1	-92	1.99	25%	-0.1	-7.9	2.27%	0	-1.1	28	0

21	Sep_18_2014	20.4	19.36	18.99	18.58	18.54	18.59	18.56(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	10	-4	-92	1.61	25%	-0.1	5.7	2.27%	0	-1.5	31	0
22	Sep_17_2014	20.42	19.38	19.09	18.69	18.62	18.59	18.53(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-60	-11	-93	0.57	25%	-0.1	23.6	2.27%	0	-1.7	29	0
23	Sep_16_2014	20.44	19.4	19.24	18.89	18.78	18.49	18.48(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-130	-16	-75	0.78	25%	-0.1	43.7	2.28%	0	-1.8	39	0
24	Sep_15_2014	20.46	19.39	19.39	19.05	19.02	18.76	18.43(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-100	-20	-64	1.36	25%	-0.05	51.8	2.28%	0	-1.7	35	0
25	Sep_12_2014	20.47	19.37	19.56	19.27	19.22	19.08	18.88(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-60	-15	-39	0.7	26%		57.5	2.27%	0	-0.8	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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