Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Sep. 21, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Green Plains Inc)
GPRE latest price $23.2500 (-1.69%) ($22.2700 - $23.5000) on Tue. Mar. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.44% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $23.2500(-1.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GPRE advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GPRE declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GPRE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(17%)    OIH(14%)    DIA(12%)    USO(12%)    KWEB(9%)
Factors Impacting GPRE price   GPRE will decline at least -1.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-10%)    BNDX(-10%)    XLRE(-9%)    VCSH(-9%)    INDA(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.22% (StdDev 2.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.42(-29.38%)
Resistance Level   $23.61
5 Day Moving Average   $22.86(1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.31(-0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.61(-1.52%)
To recent high   -21.6%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $829m

Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil; provision of grain handling; and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. It operates through the following segments: Ethanol Production; Agribusiness and Energy Services; Food and Ingredients; and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces ethanol, distillers grain, and corn oil at ethanol plants in Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Tennessee, and Texas. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment includes grain procurement and its commodity marketing business, which markets, sells, and distributes ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil produced at ethanol plants. The Food and Ingredients segment is involved in cattle food-grade corn oil operations. The Partnership segment provides fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing, and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage tanks, terminals, transportation assets, and other related assets and businesses. The company was founded in June 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. GPRE price fluctuates within 3.43% (three month std-dev: 2.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.02%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.06%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.44%(18%) Average negative next three day return: -1.67%(82%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.01%(27%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.35%(73%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2017	25.18	23.61	23.31	22.86	22.81	23.23	23.25(-1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	120	11	-57	0.53	50%	-0.12	-53.9	2.44%	0	-0.4	48	0
2	Mar_13_2017	25.21	23.68	23.47	22.74	22.68	23	23.65(2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	90	19	-51	0.78	50%	-0.16	-44.8	2.44%	0	-0	49	0
3	Mar_10_2017	25.25	23.74	23.5	22.6	22.54	22.39	23(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-21	-50	-5	-68	0.63	49%	-0.12	-36.7	2.42%	0	-0.8	46	0
4	Mar_9_2017	25.28	23.87	23.55	22.71	22.64	22.37	22.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-40	-90	-28	-76	0.77	47%	-0.16	-18.2	2.39%	0	-1.7	40	0
5	Mar_8_2017	25.32	23.99	23.73	23.13	23.09	22.69	22.2(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-130	-36	-54	1.2	47%	-0.16	2.2	2.39%	0	-2	41	0

6	Mar_7_2017	25.36	24.05	23.9	23.82	23.66	22.91	22.65(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-240	-37	-18	0.89	47%	-0.16	30.3	2.38%	0	-1.7	41	0
7	Mar_6_2017	25.4	24.05	24.04	24.3	24.33	23.49	22.95(-2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-22	-240	-31	5	1.24	47%	-0.12	50.4	2.38%	0	-1.3	38	0
8	Mar_3_2017	25.43	24.06	24.14	24.51	24.71	24.41	23.55(-3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-7	-60	-14	14	0.9	49%	-0.12	61.6	2.36%	0	-0.6	40	0
9	Mar_2_2017	25.46	24.04	24.17	24.48	24.65	25.16	24.3(-5.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	170	10	2	0.76	51%	-0.12	63.7	2.35%	0	0.3	38	0
10	Mar_1_2017	25.49	23.97	24.11	24.4	24.33	25.01	25.65(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	30	190	39	1	1.27	55%	-0.08	59.2	2.25%	0	1.8	57	0

11	Feb_28_2017	25.51	23.81	23.93	24.01	23.96	24.14	25.05(4.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	11	50	21	-21	2.19	55%	-0.12	51	2.35%	0	1.4	63	0
12	Feb_27_2017	25.54	23.65	23.88	23.78	23.75	23.66	24(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-30	-2	-23	0.63	52%	-0.12	35.6	2.3%	0	0.4	63	0
13	Feb_24_2017	25.57	23.56	23.96	23.74	23.82	23.78	23.4(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-0	-4	-6	0.43	51%	-0.2	26.4	2.28%	0	-0.2	58	0
14	Feb_23_2017	25.62	23.51	24.18	23.81	23.84	23.84	23.9(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	0	2	28	0.58	52%	-0.16	24.4	2.28%	0	0.4	59	0
15	Feb_22_2017	25.66	23.44	24.24	23.77	23.79	23.86	23.7(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	20	-1	43	0.64	52%	-0.16	18.2	2.3%	0	0.3	60	0

16	Feb_21_2017	25.7	23.38	24.21	23.83	23.77	23.84	23.9(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	10	-5	53	0.58	54%	-0.12	13.9	2.31%	0	0.5	63	0
17	Feb_17_2017	25.73	23.32	24.09	24	23.86	23.72	23.8(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-60	-11	70	0.58	54%	-0.08	14.7	2.32%	0	0.5	67	0
18	Feb_16_2017	25.75	23.3	24	24.22	24.14	23.69	23.75(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-140	-26	87	0.79	54%	-0.12	17.6	2.32%	0	0.4	64	0
19	Feb_15_2017	25.78	23.3	23.93	24.63	24.55	24	23.7(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	13	-170	-24	125	1.16	56%	-0.04	20.3	2.32%	0	0.4	61	0
20	Feb_14_2017	25.79	23.26	23.85	24.78	25.01	24.59	24(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	34	-90	-3	146	0.74	59%	-0.04	11.6	2.37%	0	0.7	61	0

21	Feb_13_2017	25.8	23.23	23.71	24.62	24.86	25.1	24.73(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	100	15	147	0.57	61%	0	-5.4	2.4%	0	1.5	67	0
22	Feb_10_2017	25.8	23.17	23.42	24.16	24.37	25.43	24.9(-3.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	58	330	39	115	1.05	56%	0	-30.7	2.53%	0	1.8	63	0
23	Feb_9_2017	25.8	23.12	23.13	23.73	23.67	24.62	25.8(5.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	62	270	54	85	2.22	56%	0.04	-54.5	2.49%	0	2.9	62	0
24	Feb_8_2017	25.79	23.06	22.75	23.17	22.99	23.32	24.45(5.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	80	27	36	2.34	53%	0	-88.6	2.45%	0	1.7	59	0
25	Feb_7_2017	25.79	23.14	22.54	22.82	22.77	22.73	23.2(3.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	5	-20	8	-5	1.39	49%		-80.9	2.36%	0	0.1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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