Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Sep. 21, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Green Plains Inc)
GPRE latest price $24.9000 (-3.49%) ($24.6000 - $26.0000) on Fri. Feb. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $24.9000(-3.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GPRE advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GPRE advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GPRE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(17%)    OIH(14%)    DIA(12%)    USO(12%)    KWEB(9%)
Factors Impacting GPRE price   GPRE will decline at least -1.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-10%)    BNDX(-10%)    XLRE(-9%)    VCSH(-9%)    INDA(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.265% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.16(3.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.42(6.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.17(7.47%)
To recent high   -16%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $888m

Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil; provision of grain handling; and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. It operates through the following segments: Ethanol Production; Agribusiness and Energy Services; Food and Ingredients; and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces ethanol, distillers grain, and corn oil at ethanol plants in Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Tennessee, and Texas. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment includes grain procurement and its commodity marketing business, which markets, sells, and distributes ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil produced at ethanol plants. The Food and Ingredients segment is involved in cattle food-grade corn oil operations. The Partnership segment provides fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing, and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage tanks, terminals, transportation assets, and other related assets and businesses. The company was founded in June 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. GPRE price fluctuates within 4.23% (three month std-dev: 2.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 4.33%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.43%(50%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 11.23%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.58%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2017	25.8	23.17	23.42	24.16	24.37	25.43	24.9(-3.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	58	330	39	115	1.05	56%	0	-30.7	2.53%	0	1.8	63	0
2	Feb_9_2017	25.8	23.12	23.13	23.73	23.67	24.62	25.8(5.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	62	270	54	85	2.22	56%	0.04	-54.5	2.49%	0	2.9	62	0
3	Feb_8_2017	25.79	23.06	22.75	23.17	22.99	23.32	24.45(5.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	80	27	36	2.34	53%	0	-88.6	2.45%	0	1.7	59	0
4	Feb_7_2017	25.79	23.14	22.54	22.82	22.77	22.73	23.2(3.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	5	-20	8	-5	1.39	49%	-0.08	-80.9	2.36%	0	0.1	44	0
5	Feb_6_2017	25.81	23.29	22.44	22.68	22.68	22.66	22.45(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-5	-10	3	-30	0.71	47%	-0.08	-75.3	2.32%	0	-0.6	39	0

6	Feb_3_2017	25.83	23.48	22.48	22.54	22.58	22.81	22.75(-1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	80	11	-45	0.48	46%	-0.08	-73.6	2.33%	0	-0.5	39	0
7	Feb_2_2017	25.85	23.64	22.53	22.4	22.34	22.71	23(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	110	15	-61	0.98	46%	-0.08	-76.1	2.33%	0	-0.4	37	0
8	Feb_1_2017	25.87	23.82	22.52	22.26	22.19	22.36	22.7(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	40	10	-92	1.62	46%	-0.08	-77.7	2.33%	0	-0.7	29	0
9	Jan_31_2017	25.89	24.06	22.61	22.22	22.13	21.98	22.5(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-60	0	-128	0.9	46%	-0.12	-74	2.33%	0	-0.8	20	0
10	Jan_30_2017	25.92	24.31	22.71	22.18	22.18	22.02	21.75(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-55	-50	-17	-168	0.7	43%	-0.12	-77.3	2.29%	0	-1.4	13	0

11	Jan_27_2017	25.95	24.6	22.92	22.4	22.4	22.28	22.05(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-57	-40	-15	-181	0.45	43%	-0.15	-75.8	2.29%	0	-1.3	14	0
12	Jan_26_2017	25.99	24.89	23.14	22.68	22.63	22.35	22.3(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-55	-90	-12	-184	0.86	43%	-0.12	-75.9	2.29%	0	-1.3	19	0
13	Jan_25_2017	26.02	25.2	23.4	22.82	22.86	22.53	22.5(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-65	-100	-21	-197	1.3	43%	-0.12	-76.1	2.29%	0	-1.4	18	0
14	Jan_24_2017	26.05	25.51	23.79	23.06	23.11	22.92	22.3(-2.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-63	-50	-19	-194	1.4	43%	-0.15	-74.6	2.29%	0	-1.6	13	0
15	Jan_23_2017	26.09	25.83	24.2	23.32	23.35	23.19	22.85(-2.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-56	-40	-11	-191	0.61	44%	-0.08	-76.4	2.28%	0	-1.6	14	0

16	Jan_20_2017	26.11	26.15	24.56	23.51	23.5	23.29	23.45(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-60	-13	-193	0.8	46%	-0.04	-71.7	2.27%	0	-1.4	19	0
17	Jan_19_2017	26.12	26.45	24.84	23.67	23.69	23.51	23(-2.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-68	-50	-23	-204	1.21	46%	-0.04	-66	2.26%	0	-1.9	13	0
18	Jan_18_2017	26.13	26.77	25.22	24.07	24.01	23.7	23.7(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-75	-100	-32	-204	1.04	48%	-0.04	-60.1	2.24%	0	-1.7	12	0
19	Jan_17_2017	26.14	27.07	25.62	24.65	24.53	23.87	23.6(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-77	-200	-40	-187	0.94	48%	0.08	-47.6	2.24%	0	-2	10	0
20	Jan_13_2017	26.12	27.35	26.04	25.23	25.24	24.32	23.8(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-78	-250	-47	-170	0.93	48%	-0.04	-37.5	2.22%	0	-2.1	11	0

21	Jan_12_2017	26.13	27.56	26.44	25.77	25.85	25.18	24.25(-3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-69	-170	-41	-154	1.48	47%	0	-32.9	2.22%	0	-2.2	11	0
22	Jan_11_2017	26.13	27.74	26.8	26.16	26.27	26.16	25(-6.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-53	-20	-23	-143	1.4	49%	0.04	-32.8	2.2%	0	-2.2	11	0
23	Jan_10_2017	26.12	27.89	27.16	26.51	26.47	26.52	26.6(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	10	-8	-133	0.69	55%	0.11	-30	2.07%	0	-1.2	22	0
24	Jan_9_2017	26.09	27.94	27.37	26.74	26.65	26.39	26.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-45	-80	-16	-133	1.04	55%	0.12	-26.3	2.08%	0	-1.4	18	0
25	Jan_6_2017	26.06	27.99	27.59	27.01	27.01	26.43	26.5(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-150	-24	-125	0.76	55%		-19.5	2.09%	0	-1.5	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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