Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Sep. 21, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Green Plains Inc)
GPRE latest price $24.8600 (6.06%) ($23.6600 - $25.0100) on Tue. Aug. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.99% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $24.8600(6.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GPRE advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GPRE advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GPRE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(18%)    OIH(14%)    DIA(12%)    USO(12%)    KWEB(9%)
Factors Impacting GPRE price   GPRE will decline at least -1.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-10%)    VCSH(-9%)    BNDX(-9%)    BND(-9%)    XLRE(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.495% (StdDev 2.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.62(5.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.13(7.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.74(9.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   43.6%
Market Cap   $886m

Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil; provision of grain handling; and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. It operates through the following segments: Ethanol Production; Agribusiness and Energy Services; Food and Ingredients; and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces ethanol, distillers grain, and corn oil at ethanol plants in Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Tennessee, and Texas. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment includes grain procurement and its commodity marketing business, which markets, sells, and distributes ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil produced at ethanol plants. The Food and Ingredients segment is involved in cattle food-grade corn oil operations. The Partnership segment provides fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing, and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage tanks, terminals, transportation assets, and other related assets and businesses. The company was founded in June 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. GPRE price fluctuates within 3.47% (three month std-dev: 2.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 1.54%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 3.8%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.73%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 4.07%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.23%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160923

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_23_2016	19.36	22.74	23.13	23.62	23.49	23.8	24.86(6.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	37	80	24	74	1.4	67%	0.52	49.9	2.99%	0	2.7	76	INF
2	Aug_22_2016	19.26	22.61	22.91	23.21	23.14	23.27	23.44(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	30	4	59	0.77	65%	0.42	41.9	2.92%	0	1.3	68	INF
3	Aug_19_2016	19.18	22.54	22.85	23.16	23.05	23.18	23.48(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	30	8	65	0.47	70%	0.42	41	2.99%	0	1.6	61	INF
4	Aug_18_2016	19.1	22.48	22.74	23.01	22.96	23.01	23.2(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	10	7	55	0.36	71%	0.42	37	3.1%	0	1.3	53	INF
5	Aug_17_2016	19.02	22.41	22.59	22.85	22.82	23.01	23.1(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	30	10	39	0.48	71%	0.42	29	3.13%	0	1.3	50	INF

6	Aug_16_2016	18.94	22.41	22.42	22.85	22.65	22.92	22.81(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	90	7	11	0.43	71%	0.48	15.3	3.13%	0	0.9	48	INF
7	Aug_15_2016	18.85	22.35	22.29	22.57	22.23	22.73	23.23(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	110	8	4	0.66	71%	0.21	23.2	3.12%	0	1.7	55	INF
8	Aug_12_2016	18.81	22.3	22.16	22.49	22.24	22.38	22.69(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	10	11	0	0.94	71%	0.43	32.6	3.14%	0	0.8	54	INF
9	Aug_11_2016	18.73	22.27	22.15	22.45	22.32	21.73	22.43(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	-200	-1	-3	1.58	71%	0.43	44.1	3.17%	0	0.3	52	INF
10	Aug_10_2016	18.65	22.25	22.19	22.3	22.3	22.1	21.67(-5.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-10	-60	-11	-6	4.1	70%	0.38	52.7	3.17%	0	-1.2	51	INF

11	Aug_9_2016	18.58	22.27	22.32	22.21	22.36	22.92	22.85(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	200	19	10	0.45	69%	0.38	61.6	3.09%	0	1.2	59	INF
12	Aug_8_2016	18.51	22.22	22.28	21.94	21.92	22.51	22.8(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	11	190	17	-6	0.83	69%	0.38	56.9	3.2%	0	1.1	49	INF
13	Aug_5_2016	18.44	22.14	22.21	21.8	21.69	21.8	22.52(4.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	-0	20	6	-19	0.74	69%	0.38	45.8	3.2%	0	0.7	51	INF
14	Aug_4_2016	18.37	22.06	22.18	21.83	21.75	21.32	21.64(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-150	-14	-25	0.64	65%	0.33	47	3.21%	0	-0.6	47	INF
15	Aug_3_2016	18.31	22	22.21	22.1	22.05	21.58	21.26(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-160	-23	-18	1.29	60%	0.38	64.8	3.26%	0	-1	45	INF

16	Aug_2_2016	18.24	21.98	22.29	22.43	22.53	22.18	21.49(-2.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-9	-100	-12	2	2.5	60%	0.33	87.7	3.41%	0	-0.6	47	INF
17	Aug_1_2016	18.18	21.93	22.43	22.64	22.53	22.53	22.07(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-50	-6	20	1.2	60%	0.39	111	3.39%	0	0.2	53	INF
18	Jul_29_2016	18.11	21.88	22.47	22.66	22.72	22.88	22.68(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	60	2	34	0.66	60%	0.5	123.9	3.39%	0	0.9	71	INF
19	Jul_28_2016	18.02	21.73	22.42	22.58	22.61	22.92	22.99(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	22	100	14	46	1.15	60%	0.5	112.4	3.39%	0	1.3	77	INF
20	Jul_27_2016	17.93	21.52	22.31	22.34	22.35	22.56	22.94(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	20	70	11	48	2.14	60%	0.45	92.3	3.4%	0	1.3	80	INF

21	Jul_26_2016	17.85	21.28	22.21	22.15	22.35	22.29	22.51(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	40	0	46	1.11	60%	0.39	74	3.4%	0	0.9	69	INF
22	Jul_25_2016	17.78	21.03	22.16	22.22	22.15	22.14	22.19(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10	-0	64	0.54	60%	0.45	62.7	3.4%	0	0.8	71	INF
23	Jul_22_2016	17.7	20.86	22.05	22.26	22.25	22.02	22.26(2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-70	-2	67	0.62	60%	0.4	62.4	3.4%	0	0.9	61	INF
24	Jul_21_2016	17.63	20.72	21.92	22.23	22.28	22.17	21.8(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-30	-6	75	0.44	60%	0.46	66.7	3.4%	0	0.7	68	INF
25	Jul_20_2016	17.55	20.53	21.77	22.27	22.31	22.47	21.99(-3.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	60	2	96	0.84	60%		64.6	3.4%	0	0.9	75	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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