Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Sep. 21, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Green Plains Inc)
GPRE latest price $21.8000 (-0.86%) ($21.6900 - $22.4100) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.4% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $21.8000(-0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GPRE declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GPRE advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GPRE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(18%)    OIH(15%)    USO(13%)    DIA(12%)    KWEB(9%)
Factors Impacting GPRE price   GPRE will decline at least -1.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-10%)    VCSH(-9%)    BNDX(-9%)    BND(-9%)    XLRE(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.7% (StdDev 3.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.23(-1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.92(-0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.72(5.21%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   47.9%
Market Cap   $777m

Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil; provision of grain handling; and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. It operates through the following segments: Ethanol Production; Agribusiness and Energy Services; Food and Ingredients; and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces ethanol, distillers grain, and corn oil at ethanol plants in Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Tennessee, and Texas. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment includes grain procurement and its commodity marketing business, which markets, sells, and distributes ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil produced at ethanol plants. The Food and Ingredients segment is involved in cattle food-grade corn oil operations. The Partnership segment provides fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing, and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage tanks, terminals, transportation assets, and other related assets and businesses. The company was founded in June 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. GPRE price fluctuates within 7.53% (three month std-dev: 3.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.56%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.27%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 3.05%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.94%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.22%(89%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.6%(11%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2016	17.63	20.72	21.92	22.23	22.28	22.17	21.8(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-30	-6	75	0.44	60%	0.46	66.7	3.4%	0	0.7	68	INF
2	Jul_20_2016	17.55	20.53	21.77	22.23	22.31	22.47	21.99(-3.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	60	2	96	0.84	60%	0.46	64.6	3.4%	0	0.9	75	INF
3	Jul_19_2016	17.47	20.35	21.65	22.27	22.23	22.39	22.84(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	40	9	125	0.71	62%	0.58	63.2	3.36%	0	1.5	84	INF
4	Jul_18_2016	17.37	20.12	21.39	22.1	22.1	22.14	22.41(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	10	10	146	0.7	62%	0.46	63.8	3.36%	0	1.4	85	INF
5	Jul_15_2016	17.29	19.92	21.23	21.82	21.97	22.08	22.11(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	60	10	157	0.37	62%	0.52	60.3	3.36%	0	1.4	69	INF

6	Jul_14_2016	17.2	19.73	21	21.56	21.68	22.05	22(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	140	17	152	0.38	62%	0.41	53.4	3.36%	0	1.5	62	INF
7	Jul_13_2016	17.13	19.53	20.66	21.19	21.31	21.86	21.98(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	50	200	19	143	0.86	62%	0.47	42.8	3.36%	0	1.8	68	INF
8	Jul_12_2016	17.05	19.35	20.27	20.92	20.94	21.3	21.98(4.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	120	21	132	0.96	62%	0.41	33.7	3.36%	0	2.1	66	INF
9	Jul_11_2016	16.98	19.16	19.81	20.58	20.6	20.76	21.04(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	60	4	103	0.62	60%	0.41	22.7	3.32%	0	1.6	64	INF
10	Jul_8_2016	16.91	19.04	19.56	20.57	20.46	20.58	20.78(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	30	9	109	0.58	63%	0.42	24.7	3.33%	0	1.7	61	INF

11	Jul_7_2016	16.84	18.97	19.42	20.36	20.4	20.44	20.16(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	20	14	109	0.65	63%	0.36	23.2	3.44%	0	1.2	60	INF
12	Jul_6_2016	16.78	18.95	19.2	20.03	20.02	20.34	20.66(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	110	20	95	0.59	65%	0.42	19.9	3.43%	0	1.8	63	INF
13	Jul_5_2016	16.71	18.93	18.96	19.49	19.52	20.37	20.26(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	310	33	69	0.69	65%	0.42	13.8	3.49%	0	1.4	59	INF
14	Jul_1_2016	16.64	18.9	18.75	18.9	18.88	19.7	20.99(6.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	36	300	35	40	0.82	65%	0.48	5.1	3.46%	0	2.3	64	INF
15	Jun_30_2016	16.56	18.79	18.48	18.43	18.25	18.67	19.72(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10	130	12	4	0.95	65%	0.3	-9.3	3.42%	0	1.2	54	INF

16	Jun_29_2016	16.51	18.75	18.33	18.37	18.1	18.06	18.52(3.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-60	6	-14	0.49	62%	0.18	-10.2	3.35%	0	-0.3	42	INF
17	Jun_28_2016	16.48	18.76	18.3	18.27	18.23	17.83	17.95(3.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-160	-7	-41	0.55	62%	0.06	-11.7	3.34%	0	-1.1	37	INF
18	Jun_27_2016	16.47	18.8	18.37	18.34	18.3	18.13	17.31(-7.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-26	-70	-15	-58	0.95	61%	0	-3	3.32%	0	-2	29	INF
19	Jun_24_2016	16.47	18.85	18.47	18.54	18.37	18.62	18.64(-4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	70	2	-57	0.85	66%	0	7.5	3.22%	0	-0.3	41	INF
20	Jun_23_2016	16.47	18.86	18.47	18.53	18.45	18.48	19.44(8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-4	-0	14	-56	0.83	66%	0.12	19.7	3.16%	0	0.8	54	INF

21	Jun_22_2016	16.45	18.83	18.5	18.3	18.38	18.13	18(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-80	-6	-74	0.36	62%	0	31.4	3.07%	0	-1.2	43	INF
22	Jun_21_2016	16.45	18.85	18.69	18.34	18.39	18.43	18.29(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	20	-6	-61	0.53	62%	0	57.5	3.1%	0	-0.8	48	INF
23	Jun_20_2016	16.45	18.82	18.91	18.41	18.45	18.63	18.33(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	70	6	-35	0.56	62%	0	71.6	3.12%	0	-0.7	50	INF
24	Jun_17_2016	16.45	18.8	19.06	18.39	18.35	18.36	18.57(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-0	-1	-23	1.25	62%	0.06	87.9	3.12%	0	-0.3	56	INF
25	Jun_16_2016	16.44	18.72	19.11	18.46	18.36	18.26	18.3(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-50	-13	-23	0.56	62%		89.5	3.14%	0	-0.5	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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