Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Sep. 21, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Green Plains Inc)
GPRE latest price $20.7800 (3.08%) ($20.0200 - $21.0400) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.33% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $20.7800(3.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GPRE advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GPRE advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GPRE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(18%)    OIH(15%)    USO(13%)    DIA(12%)    KWEB(9%)
Factors Impacting GPRE price   GPRE will decline at least -1.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-9%)    VCSH(-9%)    BNDX(-9%)    BND(-9%)    XLRE(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.665% (StdDev 3.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.57(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.56(6.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.04(9.14%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   41%
Market Cap   $741m

Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil; provision of grain handling; and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. It operates through the following segments: Ethanol Production; Agribusiness and Energy Services; Food and Ingredients; and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces ethanol, distillers grain, and corn oil at ethanol plants in Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Tennessee, and Texas. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment includes grain procurement and its commodity marketing business, which markets, sells, and distributes ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil produced at ethanol plants. The Food and Ingredients segment is involved in cattle food-grade corn oil operations. The Partnership segment provides fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing, and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage tanks, terminals, transportation assets, and other related assets and businesses. The company was founded in June 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. GPRE price fluctuates within 5.46% (three month std-dev: 3.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.27%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.18%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.18%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2016	16.91	19.04	19.56	20.57	20.46	20.58	20.78(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	30	9	109	0.58	63%	0.42	24.7	3.33%	0	1.7	61	INF
2	Jul_7_2016	16.84	18.97	19.42	20.36	20.4	20.44	20.16(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	20	14	109	0.65	63%	0.36	23.2	3.44%	0	1.2	60	INF
3	Jul_6_2016	16.78	18.95	19.2	20.03	20.02	20.34	20.66(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	110	20	95	0.59	65%	0.42	19.9	3.43%	0	1.8	63	INF
4	Jul_5_2016	16.71	18.93	18.96	19.49	19.52	20.37	20.26(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	310	33	69	0.69	65%	0.42	13.8	3.49%	0	1.4	59	INF
5	Jul_1_2016	16.64	18.9	18.75	18.9	18.88	19.7	20.99(6.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	36	300	35	40	0.82	65%	0.48	5.1	3.46%	0	2.3	64	INF

6	Jun_30_2016	16.56	18.79	18.48	18.43	18.25	18.67	19.72(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10	130	12	4	0.95	65%	0.3	-9.3	3.42%	0	1.2	54	INF
7	Jun_29_2016	16.51	18.75	18.33	18.37	18.1	18.06	18.52(3.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-60	6	-14	0.49	62%	0.18	-10.2	3.35%	0	-0.3	42	INF
8	Jun_28_2016	16.48	18.76	18.3	18.27	18.23	17.83	17.95(3.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-160	-7	-41	0.55	62%	0.06	-11.7	3.34%	0	-1.1	37	INF
9	Jun_27_2016	16.47	18.8	18.37	18.34	18.3	18.13	17.31(-7.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-26	-70	-15	-58	0.95	61%	0	-3	3.32%	0	-2	29	INF
10	Jun_24_2016	16.47	18.85	18.47	18.54	18.37	18.62	18.64(-4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	70	2	-57	0.85	66%	0	7.5	3.22%	0	-0.3	41	INF

11	Jun_23_2016	16.47	18.86	18.47	18.53	18.45	18.48	19.44(8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-4	-0	14	-56	0.83	66%	0.12	19.7	3.16%	0	0.8	54	INF
12	Jun_22_2016	16.45	18.83	18.5	18.3	18.38	18.13	18(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-80	-6	-74	0.36	62%	0	31.4	3.07%	0	-1.2	43	INF
13	Jun_21_2016	16.45	18.85	18.69	18.34	18.39	18.43	18.29(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	20	-6	-61	0.53	62%	0	57.5	3.1%	0	-0.8	48	INF
14	Jun_20_2016	16.45	18.82	18.91	18.41	18.45	18.63	18.33(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	70	6	-35	0.56	62%	0	71.6	3.12%	0	-0.7	50	INF
15	Jun_17_2016	16.45	18.8	19.06	18.39	18.35	18.36	18.57(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-0	-1	-23	1.25	62%	0.06	87.9	3.12%	0	-0.3	56	INF

16	Jun_16_2016	16.44	18.72	19.11	18.46	18.36	18.26	18.3(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-50	-13	-23	0.56	62%	0.06	89.5	3.14%	0	-0.5	48	INF
17	Jun_15_2016	16.43	18.61	19.2	18.74	18.62	18.34	18.21(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-120	-17	-7	0.93	62%	0.06	80.4	3.15%	0	-0.4	47	INF
18	Jun_14_2016	16.42	18.47	19.27	19.1	18.97	18.45	18.62(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-15	-210	-25	14	1	62%	0.12	74.9	3.14%	0	0.1	54	INF
19	Jun_13_2016	16.4	18.31	19.28	19.5	19.45	18.9	18.24(-3.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-6	-210	-24	48	0.59	62%	0	75.1	3.14%	0	-0	60	INF
20	Jun_10_2016	16.4	18.16	19.3	19.83	19.89	19.48	18.94(-3.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-140	-9	79	0.44	68%	0.12	70.9	3.19%	0	0.5	62	INF

21	Jun_9_2016	16.38	17.98	19.29	19.84	19.93	20	19.69(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	40	1	105	0.7	72%	0.18	66.6	3.15%	0	1	74	INF
22	Jun_8_2016	16.35	17.77	19.2	19.71	19.76	20.3	20.02(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	200	19	139	0.71	64%	0.25	63.4	3.13%	0	1.2	81	INF
23	Jun_7_2016	16.31	17.53	19.03	19.46	19.41	19.86	20.59(3.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	150	27	156	0.81	64%	0.25	55.3	3.32%	0	1.7	87	INF
24	Jun_6_2016	16.27	17.24	18.71	19.05	18.96	19.23	19.92(5.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	90	17	157	0.64	63%	0.18	41.4	3.33%	0	1.5	87	INF
25	Jun_3_2016	16.24	17.02	18.49	18.7	18.73	18.96	18.96(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	90	7	170	0.56	63%		31.2	3.28%	0	1.2	86	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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