Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Sep. 21, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Green Plains Inc)
GPRE latest price $16.8200 (7.13%) ($15.4200 - $17.1700) on Thu. May. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.42% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $16.8200(7.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GPRE advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GPRE declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GPRE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(19%)    OIH(15%)    DIA(13%)    USO(13%)    MCHI(10%)
Factors Impacting GPRE price   GPRE will decline at least -1.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-9%)    VCSH(-9%)    BNDX(-9%)    BND(-9%)    XLRE(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.71% (StdDev 3.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.47(8.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.41(9.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.49(2%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   24.3%
Market Cap   $600m

Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil; provision of grain handling; and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. It operates through the following segments: Ethanol Production; Agribusiness and Energy Services; Food and Ingredients; and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces ethanol, distillers grain, and corn oil at ethanol plants in Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Tennessee, and Texas. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment includes grain procurement and its commodity marketing business, which markets, sells, and distributes ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil produced at ethanol plants. The Food and Ingredients segment is involved in cattle food-grade corn oil operations. The Partnership segment provides fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing, and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage tanks, terminals, transportation assets, and other related assets and businesses. The company was founded in June 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. GPRE price fluctuates within 8.73% (three month std-dev: 3.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2016	16.36	16.49	15.41	15.47	15.46	15.84	16.82(7.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	170	24	-65	1.47	56%	-0.37	-37.1	3.42%	0	0.2	40	0
2	May_18_2016	16.42	16.54	15.27	15.14	15.16	15.27	15.7(4.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-29	50	3	-124	0.87	52%	-0.42	-41.2	3.33%	0	-0.6	30	0
3	May_17_2016	16.49	16.64	15.3	15.12	15.18	15.09	15.04(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-39	-30	-1	-153	0.63	50%	-0.42	-41.6	3.31%	0	-1.1	22	0
4	May_16_2016	16.56	16.77	15.47	15.14	15.26	15.05	15.04(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-70	-2	-166	0.34	50%	-0.06	-42	3.34%	0	-1.2	26	0
5	May_13_2016	16.57	16.9	15.77	15.1	15.25	15.27	14.74(-2.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-53	40	-12	-174	0.51	50%	-0.48	-44.7	3.35%	0	-1.6	23	0

6	May_12_2016	16.65	17.04	16.1	15.32	15.29	15.47	15.17(-2.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-40	80	-0	-160	0.49	52%	-0.42	-41.8	3.35%	0	-1.5	24	0
7	May_11_2016	16.72	17.16	16.41	15.41	15.32	15.24	15.62(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-41	-50	-3	-153	0.65	45%	-0.36	-36.8	3.36%	0	-1.3	32	0
8	May_10_2016	16.78	17.27	16.71	15.51	15.41	15.1	15.13(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-160	-19	-131	0.43	42%	-0.36	-30.4	3.77%	0	-1.9	31	0
9	May_9_2016	16.84	17.39	17.04	15.86	15.83	15.41	14.86(-6.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-190	-29	-112	0.97	42%	-0.36	-14.8	3.86%	0	-2.5	27	0
10	May_6_2016	16.9	17.52	17.41	16.54	16.35	15.72	15.83(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-300	-26	-73	0.67	42%	-0.29	16.1	3.82%	0	-2	37	0

11	May_5_2016	16.95	17.59	17.68	17	17.03	16.24	15.62(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-35	-320	-31	-47	0.76	41%	-0.35	37.2	3.85%	0	-2.3	35	0
12	May_4_2016	17.01	17.59	17.94	17.56	17.65	16.97	16.13(-4.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-26	-250	-29	-15	1.14	41%	-0.29	55.9	3.86%	0	-1.7	39	0
13	May_3_2016	17.06	17.61	18.12	18.07	18.13	17.81	16.87(-7.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-10	-110	-18	16	0.97	43%	-0.23	69.7	3.82%	0	-0.8	45	0
14	May_2_2016	17.1	17.54	18.22	18.38	18.47	18.33	18.27(0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-40	-3	42	0.8	44%	-0.18	72.2	3.71%	0	0.7	71	0
15	Apr_29_2016	17.13	17.39	18.14	18.41	18.5	18.45	18.1(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-0	-4	46	0.67	46%	-0.23	74.5	3.75%	0	0.6	70	0

16	Apr_28_2016	17.17	17.27	18.08	18.47	18.53	18.61	18.42(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	40	4	57	0.51	48%	-0.17	80.7	3.83%	0	1	84	0
17	Apr_27_2016	17.2	17.15	17.98	18.39	18.43	18.56	18.71(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	60	9	71	0.46	48%	-0.17	82.6	3.85%	0	1.3	96	0
18	Apr_26_2016	17.23	16.97	17.85	18.18	18.22	18.45	18.41(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	90	8	75	0.44	49%	-0.17	76.6	3.85%	0	1.2	87	0
19	Apr_25_2016	17.26	16.79	17.74	18.03	17.99	18.31	18.43(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	120	12	91	1.1	47%	-0.23	67	3.87%	0	1.3	90	0
20	Apr_22_2016	17.3	16.59	17.62	17.82	17.8	18	18.4(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	80	12	99	0.5	49%	-0.35	58	3.96%	0	1.5	87	0

21	Apr_21_2016	17.36	16.4	17.46	17.62	17.56	17.68	17.98(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	40	5	98	0.81	49%	-0.34	49.3	3.98%	0	1.3	75	0
22	Apr_20_2016	17.42	16.23	17.23	17.51	17.43	17.6	17.67(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	50	3	92	0.73	49%	-0.34	44	3.98%	0	1.2	68	0
23	Apr_19_2016	17.48	16.1	17.06	17.48	17.42	17.44	17.67(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-0	5	100	0.63	47%	-0.4	46.3	3.99%	0	1.4	73	0
24	Apr_18_2016	17.55	16	16.81	17.4	17.36	17.27	17.4(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-40	-1	99	0.53	47%	-0.28	49.9	4.02%	0	1.3	75	0
25	Apr_15_2016	17.6	15.93	16.59	17.38	17.34	17.4	17.4(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	29	20	3	108	0.53	47%		56.1	4.05%	0	1.4	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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